Alert-Pincenez — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-03 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 52% -$71

Other

2% 45% -$3

Sports

2% 67% +$3

Politics

1% 57% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:30 UTC	13	$137	209	207	+2	Down	+$8	03-18 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:10 UTC	2	$101	184	183	+1	Up	+$20	03-18 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 13:45 UTC	11	$99	190	180	+10	Up	+$13	04-03 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:45 UTC	4	$94	191	189	+2	Down	-$17	03-18 18:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:30 UTC	12	$92	72	71	+1	Up	-$5	03-18 16:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:00 UTC	2	$78	42	42	+0	Up	+$3	03-18 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:40 UTC	4	$70	53	53	+1	Down	+$6	03-18 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:00 UTC	8	$66	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	03-18 16:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 19:45 UTC	6	$64	114	97	+17	Up	-$20	03-18 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:55 UTC	4	$63	107	106	+1	Up	-$8	03-18 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:25 UTC	3	$53	47	20	+27	Down	-$16	03-18 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:30 UTC	5	$51	35	35	+1	Down	-$3	04-03 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:55 UTC	3	$50	31	31	+1	Down	+$11	04-03 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 19:15 UTC	8	$50	69	69	+1	Down	-$2	03-18 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:15 UTC	9	$49	43	43	+1	Down	-$2	03-18 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:20 UTC	2	$46	54	54	+1	Down	+$9	03-18 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:55 UTC	4	$45	61	61	+0	Down	+$19	03-18 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	5	$45	51	51	+0	Down	+$7	05-14 05:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:40 UTC	2	$42	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	03-18 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	8	$42	55	55	+0	Down	-$6	06-30 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:50 UTC	5	$42	61	60	+1	Down	+$6	03-18 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	11	$41	34	34	+0	Up	+$5	05-14 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:45 UTC	2	$40	23	23	+0	Up	-$2	03-18 17:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC	6	$39	36	35	+1	Down	+$8	03-18 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:50 UTC	2	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	03-18 17:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 13:15 UTC	12	$38	59	54	+5	Up	+$8	04-03 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:15 UTC	2	$37	19	19	+0	Up	+$0	03-18 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 19:15 UTC	5	$37	283	283	+1	Up	-$16	03-18 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	8	$37	47	47	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 04:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 13:30 UTC	15	$36	270	80	+190	Down	-$9	04-03 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 06:45:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf894df…
07-03 04:04:14	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xa6828d…
06-30 23:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xbfdf9c…
06-30 23:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x70ad8e…
06-30 23:32:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0x98d5d1…
06-30 23:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x42445a…
06-30 23:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x828eed…
06-30 23:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xdb159b…
06-30 23:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc85a76…
06-30 23:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8b296c…
06-30 23:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x6d25a7…
06-30 23:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x7520fa…
06-30 23:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x4a13b3…
06-30 23:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xe9872c…
06-30 23:27:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x42b253…
06-30 23:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x1d5868…
06-30 23:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc24b89…
06-30 23:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf69f55…
06-30 23:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x2ac779…
06-30 23:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x1a20cf…
06-30 23:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0e88ad…
06-30 23:21:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xeb8573…
06-30 23:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0692d4…
06-30 23:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$10	0x65a1a8…
06-30 23:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x3b8b99…
06-30 23:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0xa62c29…
06-30 23:16:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1f63b7…
06-30 23:15:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xcb5fbe…
06-30 20:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbf517c…
06-30 19:18:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2387a7…
06-30 19:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc4040d…
06-30 18:54:58	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x0e5f6a…
06-30 18:49:53	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xdff470…
06-30 18:43:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbb0a46…
06-30 18:38:50	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2fcfed…
06-30 18:38:41	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x236f32…
06-30 18:26:23	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x48be78…
06-30 18:23:25	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5b0acd…
06-30 17:38:11	Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x7d1832…
06-30 17:36:05	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x32318d…
06-30 17:29:53	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe14585…
06-30 17:24:29	Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x157593…
06-30 17:24:14	Norway leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd9e498…
06-30 17:10:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaae396…
06-30 16:55:46	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xaeb346…
06-17 08:03:34	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x47233d…
06-17 08:00:10	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0xe3518c…
05-30 20:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb684f4…
05-30 20:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2e6d6c…
05-30 20:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd79526…
05-30 20:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x55c161…
05-30 20:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa7d69e…
05-30 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x556ac1…
05-30 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0xa33677…
05-30 20:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x58fef7…
05-30 20:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xae4b7f…
05-30 20:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xea53c9…
05-30 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x808a8d…
05-30 20:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x6b3b3c…
05-30 20:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3fd65b…
05-30 20:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf00ab4…
05-30 20:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x03f7e9…
05-30 20:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x12e668…
05-30 20:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xd3e23b…
05-30 20:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf4c2d5…
05-30 20:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x63fe6c…
05-30 20:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2202a…
05-26 10:52:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x6ae00e…
05-26 10:49:53	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x7323b6…
05-25 17:51:44	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8fbb08…
05-14 16:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdcc023…
05-14 16:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x65b1fd…
05-14 16:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb6681c…
05-14 16:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x966be6…
05-14 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb59eb3…
05-14 16:35:25	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xd3bfd9…
05-14 16:34:20	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xf90f42…
05-14 06:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xe1332f…
05-14 06:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0cfe3a…
05-14 06:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x6d2624…
05-14 06:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x21808f…
05-14 06:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x80d87e…
05-14 06:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x1ac88d…
05-14 06:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x26a421…
05-14 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x994181…
05-14 06:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x036f64…
05-14 06:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd034cd…
05-14 05:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x61411c…
05-14 05:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd84fd3…
05-14 05:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5d66dd…
05-14 05:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5e85e9…
05-14 05:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xacdb0e…
05-14 05:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x13c55f…
05-14 05:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	65	6¢	$4	0x0ebde4…
05-14 05:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x400e46…
05-14 05:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x832efd…
05-14 05:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc079f6…
05-14 05:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xba1d26…
05-14 05:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf9c3f3…
05-14 05:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xb6973f…