Substantial-Town — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$404

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 04-18 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Politics

28% 0% $-5

Other

18% 0% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say jesus this week march 8	2	$70	65	65	+0	open	—	03-10 16:33
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	2	$41	56	56	+0	open	—	03-21 13:54
btc updown 5m 1774385100	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	03-24 20:50
btc updown 5m 1773492000	3	$19	19	10	+9	open	—	03-14 12:45
btc updown 5m 1772733000	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	03-05 17:55
btc updown 5m 1773593100	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 16:50
btc updown 5m 1772919900	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-07 21:50
btc updown 5m 1774046100	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-20 22:40
btc updown 5m 1773592800	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	03-15 16:45
btc updown 5m 1773593400	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 16:51
btc updown 5m 1773947400	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	03-19 19:07
btc updown 5m 1772733300	4	$10	195	4	+191	open	—	03-05 17:59
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	2	$9	116	116	+0	open	—	03-21 12:30
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 0 19	2	$9	1,971	0	+1,971	open	—	03-13 21:30
btc updown 5m 1772920200	3	$8	54	4	+50	open	—	03-07 21:56
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$8	45	17	+29	open	—	03-21 21:15
btc updown 5m 1773606000	2	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	03-15 20:22
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	2	$6	13	13	+0	open	—	03-19 18:32
bitcoin above 58k on march 4	2	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	03-04 16:21
btc updown 5m 1772919600	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-07 21:44
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	1	$5	31	0	+31	Yes	$-5	04-18 21:27
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	1	$5	385	0	+385	open	—	03-05 18:07
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	03-21 21:18
btc updown 5m 1774552200	2	$4	18	0	+18	open	—	03-26 19:13
btc updown 5m 1774443000	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	03-25 12:47
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$4	27	27	+0	open	—	03-20 19:48
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-16 20:31
btc updown 5m 1773947100	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	03-19 19:01
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	03-26 19:11
btc updown 5m 1773945600	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	03-19 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-18 21:27:50	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4e0524…
04-16 20:31:18	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf1c1ca…
04-16 20:28:22	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb5a2d3…
04-14 21:15:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x86a0fb…
04-02 17:27:09	btc updown 5m 1775150700	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7867da…
03-29 13:14:44	btc updown 5m 1774790100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7b8def…
03-26 19:13:23	btc updown 5m 1774552200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4b7cdd…
03-26 19:11:31	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7c672b…
03-26 19:09:01	btc updown 5m 1774552200	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x29f76a…
03-25 12:47:27	btc updown 5m 1774443000	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x44a321…
03-24 20:50:55	btc updown 5m 1774385100	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7f960c…
03-24 20:46:37	btc updown 5m 1774385100	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x53ce08…
03-24 20:46:19	btc updown 5m 1774385100	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc65778…
03-22 09:36:49	will trumps remarks not air 272 986	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x390d27…
03-21 21:18:27	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x14e4c0…
03-21 21:18:17	ethereum above 2200 on march 22	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x476498…
03-21 21:15:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xd01867…
03-21 13:54:17	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	SELL	56	56¢	$31	0x0c9925…
03-21 12:30:09	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$4	0x01e989…
03-21 12:29:59	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xfe4d45…
03-21 12:29:31	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x864bb5…
03-21 12:26:25	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x8c8e7d…
03-20 22:40:11	btc updown 5m 1774046100	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd7530b…
03-20 22:33:33	btc updown 5m 1774046100	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9bccb9…
03-20 22:32:11	nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	Nets	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x366b68…
03-20 19:48:49	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x27d792…
03-20 19:48:01	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x05d78e…
03-19 20:13:51	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	430	0¢	$2	0xb07536…
03-19 19:07:51	btc updown 5m 1773947400	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xba960c…
03-19 19:01:31	btc updown 5m 1773947100	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf44b50…
03-19 18:41:09	btc updown 5m 1773945600	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x446f23…
03-19 18:35:07	will baile inolvidable bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 115	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0xf89596…
03-19 18:32:29	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0xd902e4…
03-19 18:30:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x6a6f3e…
03-16 21:13:07	will baile inolvidable bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 115	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd29594…
03-16 21:06:11	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 215 239	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2895a4…
03-15 20:22:03	btc updown 5m 1773606000	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe12342…
03-15 20:20:59	btc updown 5m 1773606000	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1c3c8e…
03-15 16:51:55	btc updown 5m 1773593400	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x48c550…
03-15 16:50:37	btc updown 5m 1773593100	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x35a1f1…
03-15 16:48:37	btc updown 5m 1773593400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x71c23a…
03-15 16:45:25	btc updown 5m 1773592800	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xa38308…
03-15 16:42:17	btc updown 5m 1773592800	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbb7511…
03-15 16:41:33	btc updown 5m 1773593100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x823f74…
03-14 21:53:47	will mom be said at the oscars	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x317a19…
03-14 21:04:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x8a6d22…
03-14 12:45:31	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x383cd7…
03-14 12:41:01	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x654a4e…
03-14 12:40:25	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe82588…
03-13 21:31:19	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 40 59	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x74e739…
03-13 21:31:01	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 20 39	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x7d604e…
03-13 21:30:53	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 0 19	Yes	BUY	971	1¢	$5	0x34b939…
03-12 17:50:17	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb6f920…
03-12 15:42:11	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xdad155…
03-12 15:22:11	will trumps remarks not air 853 336 288 923 235	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x097631…
03-12 12:52:01	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x4a02de…
03-11 10:18:53	btc updown 5m 1773224100	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x53382c…
03-11 10:17:25	btc updown 5m 1773224100	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6d512b…
03-11 10:03:49	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 0 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x996a22…
03-11 09:53:07	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 40 59	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0xecd9e1…
03-11 09:52:59	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 20 39	Yes	BUY	764	0¢	$2	0xefcb73…
03-10 16:33:07	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x815bde…
03-08 18:11:21	por ama gil 2026 03 08 gil	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1d653f…
03-08 18:11:05	por ama gil 2026 03 08 ama	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x281d37…
03-08 18:10:33	bun uni wer 2026 03 08 uni	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9ec593…
03-08 18:09:23	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6dccf6…
03-08 18:06:37	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x33d13c…
03-07 22:15:49	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9f1c26…
03-07 22:11:47	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xae9b49…
03-07 22:07:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x830a4e…
03-07 21:56:09	btc updown 5m 1772920200	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x71067e…
03-07 21:54:59	btc updown 5m 1772920200	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9bb86c…
03-07 21:51:05	btc updown 5m 1772920200	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7327b4…
03-07 21:50:41	btc updown 5m 1772919900	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe7155a…
03-07 21:47:11	btc updown 5m 1772919900	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x08a750…
03-07 21:44:29	btc updown 5m 1772919600	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x31b6de…
03-07 21:43:37	btc updown 5m 1772919600	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6f836c…
03-05 19:41:29	btc updown 5m 1772739600	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xdc5a07…
03-05 18:14:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf63422…
03-05 18:07:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x253988…
03-05 18:04:49	will the climate fund initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xf40164…
03-05 18:04:13	will the cash initiative or counter proposal be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x281588…
03-05 17:59:41	btc updown 5m 1772733300	Up	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0x7ecac3…
03-05 17:59:05	btc updown 5m 1772733300	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x7c8fc0…
03-05 17:57:09	btc updown 5m 1772733300	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x21ff1f…
03-05 17:56:11	btc updown 5m 1772733300	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0c88bd…
03-05 17:55:35	btc updown 5m 1772733000	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7fe782…
03-05 17:51:07	btc updown 5m 1772733000	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xeccc31…
03-05 17:45:21	btc updown 5m 1772732700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x01c916…
03-05 17:35:35	btc updown 5m 1772731800	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xe16843…
03-04 21:03:03	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x57622f…
03-04 21:01:37	bitcoin above 60k on march 5	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xac85be…
03-04 16:21:53	bitcoin above 58k on march 4	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xf790da…
03-04 14:28:59	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x818584…
03-04 14:04:53	bitcoin above 58k on march 4	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf764e2…
03-04 14:01:03	will iran strike three countries in march	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a4ed3…
03-04 13:59:23	will hillary say president 5 times during her epstein testimony	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$1	0x311441…
03-04 13:51:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe9eecf…