Gullible-Statistics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$400

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-08 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% -$17

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	No	+$1	01-29 02:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$1	01-28 02:13
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	No	+$1	01-27 02:14
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	01-26 01:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$2	05-20 01:24
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$2	05-21 02:01
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	No	+$2	01-25 02:01
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$1	01-23 01:38
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$2	05-19 02:05
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$2	05-17 02:07
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$2	01-22 01:35
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 18?	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$2	05-18 01:50
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$2	01-21 01:48
ethereum above 3200 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	01-24 02:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$2	05-15 01:10
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	No	+$1	01-20 02:21
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$2	05-16 01:55
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$2	05-13 02:42
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 14?	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$2	05-14 02:08
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	No	+$2	01-19 05:32
bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	08-18 01:29
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	08-06 02:13
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	07-21 02:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	07-29 01:28
xrp above 1pt9 on february 7	1	$12	1,128	0	+1,128	No	-$12	02-07 01:27
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-19 08:56
will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-14 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-08 02:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 14	1	$4	1,079	0	+1,079	No	-$4	02-14 09:45
ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	1	$4	2,063	0	+2,063	No	-$4	06-27 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec62cf…
08-18 01:29:37	bitcoin above 60k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd646b9…
08-06 02:13:59	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x25a7e1…
07-29 01:28:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x8a633b…
07-21 02:36:00	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb827e4…
07-14 07:52:32	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x84fbd8…
07-08 13:29:55	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9d8cdf…
07-03 08:22:08	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xe00865…
06-27 02:04:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2,063	0¢	$4	0x6c2cf9…
06-13 02:53:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1,049	0¢	$2	0xe7768b…
06-04 02:44:48	ethereum above 2000 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$2	0x9b6a09…
06-02 02:48:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x20dc18…
05-26 02:18:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$2	0x15a5e6…
05-22 00:57:12	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb4e097…
05-21 02:01:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0xa12f3c…
05-20 01:24:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x618bf8…
05-19 02:05:12	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,074	0xaefbf5…
05-18 01:50:01	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0x38f764…
05-17 02:07:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0x7d0112…
05-16 01:55:03	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0xe7c58d…
05-15 01:10:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x60b02f…
05-14 02:08:02	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0xdb6717…
05-13 02:42:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0xa3a9a7…
05-08 00:59:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$3	0xc26010…
05-06 03:27:42	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e09e2…
04-29 01:57:28	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0xde304e…
04-18 01:24:06	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	Yes	BUY	1,093	0¢	$2	0xa61c8d…
04-14 02:45:25	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x344e11…
04-09 01:05:33	xrp above 1pt6 on april 9	Yes	BUY	1,104	0¢	$2	0x8c607f…
04-06 10:54:55	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5ac1f8…
03-31 03:23:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$2	0xdff821…
03-24 02:07:23	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$2	0x7c5d60…
03-17 02:28:11	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$2	0x0f8cd4…
03-11 03:34:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,105	0¢	$3	0xf8fdaa…
03-06 02:39:35	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,090	0¢	$2	0x3e9961…
03-02 00:51:59	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$2	0x0e5a05…
02-25 01:06:58	ethereum above 2200 on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,064	0¢	$2	0x9760bb…
02-14 09:45:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,079	0¢	$4	0x6fd0a1…
02-07 01:27:17	xrp above 1pt9 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,128	1¢	$12	0xa47d6c…
02-02 03:30:52	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf0a06…
01-30 06:16:28	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96761c…
01-29 02:14:52	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,082	0x601a32…
01-28 02:13:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0x53f046…
01-27 02:14:31	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,080	0xc5560f…
01-26 01:42:42	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0x3b48aa…
01-25 02:01:10	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,077	0x8b2c62…
01-24 02:54:00	ethereum above 3200 on january 24	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x2ac51d…
01-23 01:38:02	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0x82ed09…
01-22 01:35:44	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0x94d4f3…
01-21 01:48:10	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 21	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,071	0xaf847d…
01-20 02:21:58	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0x76499e…
01-19 08:56:56	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x502d7e…
01-19 05:32:52	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 19	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,061	0xda2655…
01-18 09:17:30	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ef2cb…