Starchy-Anesthesiology — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$316

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

152

1,377 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$23.5K

$91.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$632

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-07 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Politics

67% 49% +$2,149

Crypto

19% 70% -$289

Other

10% 33% -$361

Sports

4% 31% -$285

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,053	$600	60¢	$632	+$32	11-03 23:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	15	$7.5K	19,885	19,885	+0	Yes	-$546	11-03 22:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	26	$3.5K	3,346	3,346	+0	No	+$43	05-01 11:55
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	22	$2.5K	7,169	7,169	+0	No	+$286	06-12 00:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	4	$2.4K	2,667	2,667	+0	Yes	+$169	09-14 16:37
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	18	$1.8K	5,638	5,638	+0	No	+$86	06-20 13:28
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	6	$1.7K	4,917	4,917	+0	No	-$5	07-25 22:34
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	5	$1.6K	2,271	2,271	+0	No	+$628	08-17 16:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	5	$1.4K	1,232	1,232	+0	No	+$16	07-28 23:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	4	$1.3K	779	779	+0	No	+$117	10-23 12:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$1.3K	1,602	1,602	+0	No	+$146	04-29 13:27
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	4	$1.3K	2,158	2,158	+0	No	+$34	07-21 22:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.2K	992	992	+0	No	+$121	05-24 00:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	5	$1.2K	1,402	1,402	+0	Yes	-$285	08-07 23:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$1.1K	890	890	+0	Yes	+$57	04-05 10:58
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	3	$1.1K	1,039	729	+310	No	+$388	09-28 14:44
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	10	$1.0K	4,195	4,195	+0	No	-$122	07-15 18:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	9	$1.0K	7,169	5,657	+1,512	Yes	-$46	09-30 15:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$1.0K	2,876	2,876	+0	Yes	+$22	07-24 18:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	7	$954	3,265	3,265	+0	Yes	-$150	08-02 01:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	8	$945	754	754	+0	No	+$105	04-21 17:12
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	20	$916	3,199	3,199	+0	No	-$28	06-14 19:57
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	7	$910	1,165	1,165	+0	Yes	-$86	06-16 20:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	10	$857	1,222	820	+403	No	+$152	09-28 15:58
iran closes its airspace by june 15	11	$845	1,120	1,120	+0	Yes	+$201	06-07 23:15
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$819	2,822	2,822	+0	No	-$42	05-23 20:35
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$818	1,147	1,147	+0	Yes	+$18	07-16 10:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$772	765	765	+0	No	-$42	06-17 17:28
will iran target a arab country on august 18 2026 20260801004719135	2	$741	520	520	+0	No	+$141	08-18 19:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	4	$734	749	749	+0	No	-$26	08-05 15:24
israel closes its airspace by august 15	2	$711	1,716	1,716	+0	No	+$111	08-02 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 02:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xca3a15…
11-07 02:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbe7966…
11-07 02:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x54107a…
11-07 02:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6eae81…
11-07 02:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2ffd4e…
11-07 02:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6228ef…
11-07 01:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2fe564…
11-07 01:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd0837f…
11-07 01:49:15	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	2¢	$5	0x5aee5c…
11-07 00:18:33	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	14¢	$30	0x060e49…
11-06 21:30:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	47	67¢	$32	0x1c4bc9…
11-04 17:29:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x15a419…
11-03 23:25:15	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	57¢	$600	0x58806b…
11-03 22:57:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,016	0¢	$5	0xb59b32…
11-03 00:45:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,016	25¢	$500	0x973585…
11-03 00:44:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	549	2¢	$11	0xf64644…
11-02 23:41:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	549	36¢	$200	0x51c18d…
10-30 00:38:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,109	21¢	$230	0xa9a4fa…
10-30 00:38:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,371	21¢	$284	0xa16728…
10-29 21:59:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,480	19¢	$478	0x22cf5c…
10-26 01:32:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,500	18¢	$447	0x001467…
10-25 12:49:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,500	18¢	$450	0x38be9e…
10-25 08:12:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,182	16¢	$509	0x61011f…
10-25 08:11:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,460	15¢	$219	0x29455e…
10-23 15:43:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,182	22¢	$700	0x6f2065…
10-23 12:04:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,333	22¢	$733	0xcb717c…
10-23 12:04:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	286	92¢	$263	0x070187…
10-22 00:46:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	3,411	8¢	$284	0x559aa8…
10-21 19:46:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,460	17¢	$250	0x63c1fb…
10-21 19:46:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	275	92¢	$253	0x7cf75d…
10-21 19:45:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,690	12¢	$200	0xa59f9a…
10-21 19:44:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	218	92¢	$201	0x21bdae…
10-21 19:33:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	88	7¢	$6	0xe5bcd0…
10-21 18:46:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,333	21¢	$700	0x6d7548…
10-21 18:45:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	1,633	5¢	$80	0x418e40…
10-20 01:35:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	3,736	21¢	$784	0x9159db…
10-19 13:47:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,736	16¢	$580	0xda78d5…
10-18 14:14:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	1,750	0¢	$7	0x0a8ab0…
10-18 03:03:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,638	19¢	$501	0x8f9c5a…
10-17 08:13:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	SELL	6,918	1¢	$76	0x8be98d…
10-16 20:34:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	5,013	4¢	$201	0x9c6fb5…
10-16 20:19:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa56f05…
10-16 20:11:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x57dedc…
10-16 20:10:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	478	4¢	$19	0xc7a684…
10-16 19:19:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,168	5¢	$54	0xb220d6…
10-16 19:11:47	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	SELL	302	94¢	$284	0xdbe07b…
10-16 04:49:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	459	4¢	$18	0xc82f27…
10-16 04:08:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x63c967…
10-16 04:02:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x03b28e…
10-16 03:59:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xc94565…
10-16 03:56:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	696	4¢	$28	0x21fba1…
10-16 03:23:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb62140…
10-16 03:21:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x45aabe…
10-16 03:16:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	397	4¢	$16	0xbbd0fc…
10-11 01:47:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	1,737	4¢	$70	0x94eeee…
10-10 19:57:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,737	7¢	$118	0xeb505b…
10-09 23:56:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	SELL	1,395	6¢	$88	0x6ce3d5…
10-09 17:50:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	No	SELL	3,889	1¢	$20	0xa3b10b…
10-09 17:45:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	No	BUY	3,889	1¢	$30	0x6dc2f0…
10-09 12:58:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	1,395	7¢	$100	0x521f70…
10-09 09:55:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,638	24¢	$633	0x8abf37…
10-06 14:28:39	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	714	8¢	$57	0xc2c295…
10-06 14:28:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	779	77¢	$600	0x9abb40…
10-06 09:16:42	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	SELL	416	5¢	$20	0xef0a71…
10-04 23:47:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	SELL	1,200	2¢	$29	0xe078ba…
10-03 12:43:48	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xb58c9e…
09-30 15:21:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	416	36¢	$150	0x6a5dab…
09-30 15:20:23	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	618	16¢	$100	0x4a7db7…
09-30 15:04:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,512	1¢	$20	0x7d310c…
09-30 15:04:12	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0xfc481c…
09-30 15:03:42	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	No	BUY	472	12¢	$57	0xeee9cc…
09-30 03:05:48	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	178	67¢	$119	0x9ad414…
09-30 00:23:44	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc2c9f6…
09-30 00:22:51	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0x9f2647…
09-29 15:04:32	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	148	62¢	$92	0xe9ff32…
09-29 15:04:26	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	262	62¢	$163	0xdddc78…
09-29 14:46:03	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	652	13¢	$85	0xc76f7f…
09-29 14:40:56	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	652	23¢	$150	0xf4d29a…
09-28 16:22:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	1,163	4¢	$48	0xa184e9…
09-28 16:05:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,163	4¢	$50	0x844f14…
09-28 15:58:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	402	62¢	$250	0x1dee90…
09-28 15:55:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	SELL	469	37¢	$173	0xf79690…
09-28 15:52:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	SELL	302	37¢	$112	0x7b5ab5…
09-28 15:48:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	SELL	49	37¢	$18	0x3a1f77…
09-28 14:44:23	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	310	70¢	$217	0xb955f0…
09-27 22:18:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	1,100	7¢	$77	0xcbb7ad…
09-27 16:25:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	96	37¢	$36	0x32fc41…
09-27 16:24:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	129	37¢	$48	0xb6a2d7…
09-27 16:24:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	259	37¢	$96	0xa98497…
09-27 16:15:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0x6ac8f9…
09-27 16:15:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	87	37¢	$32	0x1ffa24…
09-27 16:01:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	205	37¢	$76	0xdb6d9e…
09-27 14:47:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,100	6¢	$66	0x4a0c2c…
09-26 17:52:05	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	729	82¢	$595	0x7d1505…
09-25 23:04:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	1,818	9¢	$164	0x23af21…
09-25 20:37:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,818	11¢	$200	0x7a9ace…
09-24 21:48:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	1,576	13¢	$202	0x992982…
09-24 16:57:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,576	13¢	$200	0xf59531…
09-20 17:59:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	No	SELL	1,699	1¢	$14	0x661b3f…
09-20 15:48:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	No	BUY	1,699	3¢	$50	0xe3cc3d…