Messy-Eye — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$256

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

170

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$29.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$1.48K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 11-06 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

75% 99% +$191

Politics

17% 100% +$44

Crypto

5% 100% +$9

Sports

3% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+871	$834	98¢	$856	+$22	10-28 02:53
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$192	98¢	$196	+$4	10-28 02:42
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	+160	$157	98¢	$157	$0	10-31 07:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+140	$134	98¢	$137	+$3	10-02 07:03
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$48	97¢	$48	+$1	10-28 02:41
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 6, 2026?	No	+43	$43	100¢	$43	+$0	11-06 01:42
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-125	-$48	32¢	$-41	+$7	05-01 20:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$1.3K	1,297	0	+1,297	Yes	+$9	05-16 07:42
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1.2K	1,236	0	+1,236	Yes	+$9	05-11 02:49
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$834	871	0	+871	open	—	10-28 02:53
will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	2	$705	707	0	+707	No	+$2	07-16 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 27?	1	$680	683	0	+683	No	+$3	05-27 07:57
trump out as president by march 31	4	$664	340	340	+0	No	+$9	03-15 09:49
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 26?	2	$663	680	0	+680	No	+$17	05-26 06:54
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 2?	3	$639	641	0	+641	Yes	+$2	06-02 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on July 2?	2	$551	554	0	+554	No	+$3	07-01 12:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$544	546	0	+546	No	+$2	04-10 12:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 22?	1	$526	527	0	+527	No	+$1	06-21 12:16
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 25?	1	$478	479	0	+479	Yes	+$1	05-25 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 26?	1	$462	465	0	+465	No	+$2	06-25 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 31?	2	$439	441	0	+441	No	+$2	05-30 08:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	7	$423	428	0	+428	No	+$5	04-14 10:32
Megaquake by June 30?	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	07-01 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 21?	1	$386	386	0	+386	No	+$0	06-21 09:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 10?	1	$363	364	0	+364	No	+$1	06-09 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 26?	1	$357	358	0	+358	No	+$1	06-25 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 31?	1	$354	357	0	+357	No	+$3	05-30 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	5	$343	344	0	+344	No	+$1	07-30 11:29
will wti reach 135 by april 6 2026	1	$322	324	0	+324	No	+$2	04-08 08:05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 2?	2	$317	324	0	+324	No	+$6	06-01 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 10?	2	$308	311	0	+311	No	+$3	06-09 08:00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 27?	1	$301	302	0	+302	No	+$1	05-26 01:08
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	02-11 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on June 13?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	06-12 13:36
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	06-29 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?	4	$275	187	100	+87	Yes	+$9	06-21 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on July 2?	1	$264	265	0	+265	No	+$1	07-01 12:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 01:42:57	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x7e638d…
10-31 07:42:51	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x540533…
10-31 07:42:36	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4fb442…
10-31 07:41:42	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc5b5a9…
10-31 07:41:31	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8ea44c…
10-31 07:36:39	Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb8a1e8…
10-28 02:53:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	471	96¢	$451	0x574f7c…
10-28 02:42:15	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x649be0…
10-28 02:41:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x36acd7…
10-28 02:36:02	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xed9bd7…
10-20 08:14:29	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x10a45e…
10-02 07:03:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0xf06c2c…
10-02 07:01:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc67f25…
10-02 06:59:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xf00549…
09-29 07:12:30	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in September?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x5823f0…
09-29 07:08:56	will tsla reach 480 in october 2026	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x00382d…
09-29 07:08:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x05fb82…
09-29 07:08:17	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x54c669…
09-19 03:19:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb579f0…
09-19 03:16:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x724f21…
09-19 03:16:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfa5687…
09-19 03:13:36	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0cd80c…
09-19 03:11:46	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x79f8be…
09-18 22:51:12	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x40ae88…
09-18 10:32:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe0d292…
09-18 10:32:22	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xffe6da…
09-18 10:31:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb46c6f…
09-17 13:11:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xa97457…
09-15 20:04:34	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026?	No	BUY	193	98¢	$190	0xf3b82a…
09-15 07:51:16	Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6f5440…
09-15 07:49:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7e2e09…
09-09 02:04:10	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x45be73…
09-09 01:36:48	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x24ef6d…
09-08 08:07:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0xd30c91…
08-26 01:27:46	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x6500ce…
08-26 01:21:48	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on August 26?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x21b097…
08-26 01:19:42	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 26?	No	BUY	162	98¢	$158	0xc9edc4…
08-21 07:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0e8989…
08-21 07:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xde83a9…
08-21 07:32:03	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on August 21?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xf9fc4b…
08-21 07:31:52	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	119	98¢	$117	0xb3ee7d…
08-21 07:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4432be…
08-21 07:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfeb4b8…
08-17 07:18:55	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x1a0112…
08-17 07:16:03	mcdonalds in cuba announced in 2026 20260626010407076	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x784025…
08-17 07:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x997810…
08-17 07:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf8b81f…
08-17 07:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5d2075…
08-17 07:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x8f47d1…
08-17 07:00:57	nothing ever happens august 20260731190455728	Nothing	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xaaa22a…
08-17 03:43:09	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x72fe2f…
08-17 03:40:31	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbbbd9f…
08-17 03:39:42	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x874a48…
08-17 03:39:09	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by august 31 20260730185522346	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x45ea69…
08-07 11:41:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 8?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x09ad79…
08-07 08:52:46	will ethereum dip to 1000 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbf88a9…
08-07 08:51:58	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5068d2…
08-07 08:50:21	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x791531…
08-07 08:49:46	will spcx dip to 80 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1acf00…
07-30 11:46:38	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x8d5fd1…
07-30 11:38:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x120d5e…
07-30 11:37:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc4088…
07-30 11:36:50	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc4d8d4…
07-30 11:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 30?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd56e94…
07-30 11:34:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1e0697…
07-30 11:34:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 30?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x02ff91…
07-30 11:34:17	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x7f2b0a…
07-30 11:33:47	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 30?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x530228…
07-30 11:33:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 30?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x4259b8…
07-30 11:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf4c938…
07-30 11:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d5447…
07-30 11:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x56eada…
07-30 11:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0db3d…
07-30 11:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3fda4c…
07-30 11:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb777e6…
07-30 11:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0xa20a9f…
07-30 11:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on July 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe40359…
07-30 11:24:51	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xba488d…
07-30 11:18:48	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x76888c…
07-16 02:11:20	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	607	100¢	$606	0x4ac246…
07-15 12:34:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf78c26…
07-15 12:33:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6ea280…
07-15 12:14:07	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x19a9a0…
07-15 12:01:14	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xbb65e6…
07-15 11:53:13	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x55f08b…
07-15 11:48:26	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x79472c…
07-15 11:44:17	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x28eb79…
07-15 10:33:40	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026 457	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x55170d…
07-15 10:30:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8ef120…
07-01 12:49:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xceefae…
07-01 12:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 2?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x6d9607…
07-01 12:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd8d70a…
07-01 12:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x560e93…
07-01 12:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$301	0x5b32de…
07-01 12:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on July 2?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0xb94b65…
07-01 03:48:17	Megaquake by June 30?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x99ef41…
07-01 03:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?	No	BUY	219	99¢	$216	0x6b5c73…
06-30 08:12:10	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf65398…
06-30 02:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x483f53…
06-30 02:02:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 30?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x6e6c3f…