Even-Fall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

5,060

lifetime

Volume

$7.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-07 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 40% $-6

Other

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	11	$82	173	81	+92	Down	+$24	05-04 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	12	$65	74	52	+22	Up	$-10	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$35	69	0	+69	Up	$-3	05-05 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	8	$35	45	64	-19	open	—	04-27 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$35	45	6	+39	Down	$-7	05-05 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	9	$34	44	20	+24	Up	+$2	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	9	$33	46	19	+27	Down	+$0	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$32	34	14	+20	Up	$-2	05-05 01:49
foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	15	$28	14	14	-0	open	—	04-17 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$27	46	17	+29	Down	$-7	05-05 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$25	35	9	+26	Up	$-2	05-05 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$24	43	0	+43	Up	$-3	05-05 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$24	39	11	+28	Up	+$8	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	6	$23	30	11	+19	Up	$-1	05-05 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$23	27	9	+18	Down	$-2	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$23	24	9	+15	Down	$-2	05-04 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$22	29	20	+8	Up	+$5	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	9	$22	30	16	+14	Up	+$1	05-05 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	9	$22	28	15	+13	Up	+$2	05-05 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$21	22	9	+13	Up	$-2	05-05 01:24
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	21	$21	12	11	+1	open	—	04-21 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	7	$21	26	14	+12	Down	$-2	05-04 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	15	$20	24	21	+3	open	—	05-04 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	12	$20	20	10	+10	open	—	05-04 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$19	27	9	+18	Down	$-7	05-05 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	8	$18	25	15	+9	Up	+$5	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$16	16	5	+11	Up	$-4	05-05 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$16	23	3	+19	Up	$-0	05-05 02:33
btc updown 5m 1776919200	3	$15	18	9	+9	open	—	04-23 04:44
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	7	$13	78	10	+68	open	—	04-27 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 17:53:25	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x0c39bd…
07-24 09:15:16	sol updown 5m 1784884500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe0c451…
07-24 09:15:16	eth updown 5m 1784884500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2d09bd…
07-24 09:10:19	eth updown 5m 1784884200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa74028…
07-24 09:10:18	sol updown 5m 1784884200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ab1e5…
07-24 09:05:07	eth updown 5m 1784883900	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x095d57…
07-24 08:29:13	eth updown 5m 1784881500	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xde0fc6…
07-24 08:25:07	eth updown 5m 1784881500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb6b0e8…
07-24 05:00:09	eth updown 5m 1784869200	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x941646…
07-24 04:11:03	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa98a73…
07-24 04:00:13	btc updown 15m 1784865600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x30e68e…
07-24 04:00:12	solana up or down july 24 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf8928d…
07-24 03:45:13	btc updown 15m 1784864700	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf887af…
07-24 03:23:34	solana up or down july 23 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xb63648…
07-24 03:00:15	solana up or down july 23 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcb6194…
07-24 02:50:07	eth updown 5m 1784861400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xec0a5b…
07-24 02:35:15	eth updown 5m 1784860500	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0db451…
07-24 02:05:12	solana up or down july 23 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x29e0d6…
07-24 01:29:34	solana up or down july 23 2026 9pm et	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x5bf4ca…
07-24 01:00:12	solana up or down july 23 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x46771f…
07-24 00:44:58	eth updown 5m 1784853600	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaaec72…
07-24 00:40:07	eth updown 5m 1784853600	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x58491a…
07-24 00:10:31	eth updown 5m 1784851800	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbe6692…
07-24 00:10:25	sol updown 5m 1784851800	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xeaf593…
07-24 00:05:07	eth updown 5m 1784851500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x56d7cb…
07-23 23:58:48	eth updown 5m 1784850900	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf3da8f…
07-23 23:56:40	sol updown 5m 1784850900	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd7a2fc…
07-23 23:55:13	eth updown 5m 1784850900	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf03934…
07-23 23:50:19	eth updown 5m 1784850600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc74470…
07-23 23:00:12	solana up or down july 23 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc9d28d…
07-23 22:40:06	solana up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xe1db9c…
07-23 22:23:19	eth updown 5m 1784845200	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xcf7424…
07-23 22:20:12	eth updown 5m 1784845200	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6d59c6…
07-23 22:16:00	eth updown 5m 1784844900	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x478aaf…
07-23 22:00:16	solana up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb17948…
07-23 21:01:07	solana up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0371c…
07-23 20:44:06	btc updown 15m 1784838600	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd6981f…
07-23 20:30:18	btc updown 15m 1784838600	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x460c6c…
07-23 20:27:28	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x015b2b…
07-23 20:10:13	sol updown 5m 1784837400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd86f3c…
07-23 20:00:13	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf69874…
07-23 19:50:55	eth updown 5m 1784836200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74f2bf…
07-23 19:03:31	solana up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa3e9ba…
07-23 19:00:13	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x780e91…
07-23 18:53:40	solana up or down july 23 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbf1007…
07-23 18:37:15	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xc8b16b…
07-23 18:04:58	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x17d286…
07-23 18:00:19	sol updown 5m 1784829600	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf4faac…
07-23 18:00:19	eth updown 5m 1784829600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64716f…
07-23 18:00:19	solana up or down july 23 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1e6087…
07-23 17:15:22	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc59cb6…
07-23 17:00:21	solana up or down july 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x73e7df…
07-23 17:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x24eab5…
07-23 16:00:30	ethereum up or down july 23 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xffe282…
07-23 16:00:19	solana up or down july 23 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe3363e…
07-23 15:59:06	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbe5af1…
07-23 15:00:21	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x520c8c…
07-23 15:00:15	solana up or down july 23 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfb97bd…
07-23 14:00:15	solana up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x24b357…
07-23 13:10:07	eth updown 5m 1784812200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x32a5f1…
07-23 13:00:19	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1e6a2b…
07-23 13:00:15	solana up or down july 23 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8318f3…
07-23 12:45:21	eth updown 5m 1784810700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa3c99b…
07-23 12:40:12	sol updown 5m 1784810400	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xd6434b…
07-23 12:40:07	eth updown 5m 1784810400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x34427d…
07-23 12:35:19	sol updown 5m 1784810100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x089509…
07-23 12:28:25	eth updown 5m 1784809500	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x5b4e6c…
07-23 08:41:45	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfe2823…
07-23 08:41:31	solana up or down july 23 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2f2840…
07-23 08:00:15	solana up or down july 23 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x200559…
07-23 08:00:13	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x708ee9…
07-23 07:30:06	eth updown 5m 1784791800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1c1ee2…
07-23 07:00:10	solana up or down july 23 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd0f3b0…
07-23 06:59:51	solana up or down july 23 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xab792b…
07-23 06:00:22	solana up or down july 23 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xceccd3…
07-23 06:00:04	solana up or down july 23 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x718cbd…
07-23 05:57:07	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 1am et	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf540a2…
07-23 05:00:48	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x50aa87…
07-23 05:00:18	solana up or down july 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x610832…
07-23 03:50:07	eth updown 5m 1784778600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd8d6c4…
07-23 03:20:04	eth updown 5m 1784776500	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb59d19…
07-23 03:15:06	eth updown 5m 1784776500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa6fbeb…
07-23 01:44:16	eth updown 5m 1784770800	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x536de7…
07-23 01:40:21	eth updown 5m 1784770800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x41fbe5…
07-23 00:42:39	btc updown 15m 1784766600	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb06bda…
07-23 00:30:16	btc updown 15m 1784766600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5ebc20…
07-22 23:19:57	eth updown 5m 1784762100	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe0729f…
07-22 23:17:48	eth updown 5m 1784762100	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x44e46c…
07-22 22:04:24	eth updown 5m 1784757600	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf10a2f…
07-22 22:00:31	eth updown 5m 1784757600	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd90756…
07-22 19:18:55	eth updown 5m 1784747700	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x65eecc…
07-22 19:15:07	eth updown 5m 1784747700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9416c3…
07-22 18:44:30	eth updown 5m 1784745600	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe0b114…
07-22 18:40:13	eth updown 5m 1784745600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe616cf…
07-22 18:37:09	eth updown 5m 1784745300	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa936aa…
07-22 18:36:21	sol updown 5m 1784745300	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x929071…
07-22 18:14:13	eth updown 5m 1784743800	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd62476…
07-22 18:10:06	eth updown 5m 1784743800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe860ba…
07-22 17:52:54	solana up or down july 22 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xca0c35…
07-22 17:00:18	solana up or down july 22 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3405e8…