Lovely-Knot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-15 09:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 66% +$235

Other

47% 52% +$1,244

Politics

6% 67% +$280

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$2.3K	1,456	1,456	+0	No	+$604	07-15 09:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$768	477	477	+0	No	+$185	07-06 21:38
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$725	426	426	+0	Yes	+$127	05-20 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$325	185	185	+0	No	+$45	06-01 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	7	$324	412	202	+210	Down	-$16	05-31 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$311	191	191	+0	Up	+$1	05-30 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	4	$285	280	164	+116	Down	+$1	05-31 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$284	167	167	+0	Down	+$44	06-01 20:44
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	3	$275	210	210	+0	Yes	+$135	05-17 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$271	385	114	+271	Up	-$129	06-01 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$240	282	0	+282	Down	+$42	05-31 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$226	353	138	+216	Up	+$42	06-01 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$225	338	178	+161	Up	-$15	05-31 02:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	5	$216	417	417	+0	Yes	+$16	06-18 13:33
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$208	423	0	+423	Yes	+$215	05-07 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$200	268	0	+268	Down	+$68	05-31 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$199	248	46	+202	Down	+$51	05-31 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$167	221	55	+166	Up	-$1	05-31 00:59
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$166	107	107	+0	No	+$47	05-16 23:01
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	8	$166	227	95	+132	No	+$58	05-31 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$150	174	0	+174	Down	+$24	05-31 01:43
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$147	103	103	+0	Yes	-$1	05-17 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$142	120	60	+60	Up	+$2	05-31 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$136	180	95	+85	Up	-$19	06-01 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$120	187	0	+187	Down	+$13	05-31 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$116	75	75	+0	Up	-$4	05-30 18:05
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$114	119	119	+0	Yes	+$70	05-14 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$113	84	84	+0	Up	+$53	05-30 17:20
starmer out by august 31 2026	1	$111	157	0	+157	Yes	+$46	06-18 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$100	132	0	+132	Up	+$32	05-31 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 09:46:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,456	99¢	$1,439	0xa2bd03…
07-06 21:38:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	477	100¢	$476	0xca96ec…
07-03 21:52:23	Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x5a7f3a…
07-03 21:47:38	Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x636068…
07-03 10:04:52	Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xed99b0…
07-02 23:13:19	Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0b711e…
07-02 04:13:56	Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x3b637c…
07-01 20:48:49	Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x508904…
07-01 20:36:56	Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0x2bb321…
06-22 12:04:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	509	56¢	$285	0x2f9347…
06-18 13:40:19	starmer out by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	157	71¢	$111	0xfbd5d5…
06-18 13:33:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	27¢	$30	0x997a5c…
06-18 13:33:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	305	28¢	$85	0xd0c29c…
06-16 18:29:02	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	128	44¢	$56	0x4fe95d…
06-16 18:27:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0x535358…
06-16 18:27:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xed9db9…
06-16 18:26:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x97d568…
06-12 21:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	352	54¢	$190	0x1fcb68…
06-09 22:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x67be9b…
06-09 22:35:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc3414a…
06-09 22:33:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x133942…
06-09 22:32:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb52858…
06-09 22:30:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x4bad7e…
06-09 21:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x085656…
06-09 21:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x968a9c…
06-09 14:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x05aa39…
06-09 14:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4520e7…
06-09 14:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf64329…
06-09 13:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd51a5f…
06-09 13:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1f1e9f…
06-09 12:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0477b3…
06-09 12:05:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x81b310…
06-02 20:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbc4cfe…
06-02 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x189bb2…
06-02 20:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc10e99…
06-02 20:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x94def7…
06-02 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	41	76¢	$31	0x310899…
06-02 20:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xf29672…
06-02 20:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4f08e8…
06-02 20:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd6f303…
06-02 15:46:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0xe7309b…
06-01 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	286	21¢	$60	0x35f672…
06-01 21:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x93166e…
06-01 20:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	57¢	$40	0xb3fe8b…
06-01 20:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x5de36f…
06-01 20:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	167	98¢	$164	0x048788…
06-01 20:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	107	75¢	$80	0xba6461…
06-01 20:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x07d336…
06-01 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xf2990e…
06-01 20:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	104	68¢	$71	0xaf0340…
06-01 20:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	202	40¢	$80	0x1f1c14…
06-01 20:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0x01e081…
06-01 20:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0xd0f1ae…
06-01 20:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	235	5¢	$12	0xf70546…
06-01 20:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0xde9e9a…
06-01 20:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xc71aef…
06-01 20:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x57c46f…
06-01 20:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	138	19¢	$26	0x57b1c3…
06-01 20:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xbfa50b…
06-01 20:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0xed2a76…
06-01 11:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	95	17¢	$16	0xfa4cb2…
06-01 11:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	85	70¢	$60	0x942e4f…
06-01 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x48b720…
06-01 11:05:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x645393…
05-31 19:47:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x5eb983…
05-31 19:15:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	55	35¢	$19	0x9fb3a7…
05-31 18:09:13	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xcf3792…
05-31 18:04:51	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x91412a…
05-31 18:04:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0xe978d8…
05-31 17:57:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xef95d4…
05-31 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x5dc1a7…
05-31 16:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	42¢	$19	0xbff914…
05-31 16:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x0e233f…
05-31 16:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x620f11…
05-31 03:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xc4fc99…
05-31 02:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	161	25¢	$40	0x662882…
05-31 02:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	178	59¢	$105	0x4ee87c…
05-31 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	178	45¢	$80	0x26ab3b…
05-31 02:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0x9ae5e6…
05-31 02:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0x1d1121…
05-31 02:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	164	52¢	$85	0xc2ca3b…
05-31 02:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	109	73¢	$80	0x0a9353…
05-31 02:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x127618…
05-31 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	193	83¢	$160	0xe6278c…
05-31 02:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x332a9d…
05-31 02:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x5bd936…
05-31 02:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	126	80¢	$100	0xb6413f…
05-31 02:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x3de06c…
05-31 02:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xce34fe…
05-31 02:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x380d48…
05-31 02:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xc0ce2e…
05-31 02:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x200c19…
05-31 02:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xd536a0…
05-31 01:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa7226c…
05-31 01:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x3717f6…
05-31 01:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x3b4b51…
05-31 01:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0xaf08cb…
05-31 01:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x14389d…
05-31 01:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xd01d05…
05-31 01:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7536cf…