Calculating-Suspect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$5.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-13 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 42% $-117

Other

16% 100% +$7

Politics

12% 0% $-30

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$893	1,192	608	+585	Down	$-124	05-13 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	7	$415	599	581	+19	open	—	04-30 15:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	7	$401	387	387	+0	No	$-30	04-30 15:46
eth updown 5m 1773580200	3	$321	380	142	+238	open	—	03-15 13:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$263	232	232	+0	Down	+$51	05-13 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$228	176	176	+0	Up	+$48	05-13 08:16
eth updown 5m 1773572700	2	$224	180	179	+2	open	—	03-15 11:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$219	181	181	+0	open	—	04-24 14:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$216	0	348	-348	open	—	05-12 09:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$178	109	109	+0	open	—	04-23 04:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$173	188	188	+0	Up	+$53	05-13 01:49
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$146	88	88	+0	open	—	04-20 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$135	257	82	+175	Up	$-127	05-13 08:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$100	820	820	+0	open	—	03-31 15:50
btc updown 5m 1773549600	2	$100	91	91	+0	open	—	03-15 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	6	$96	273	58	+216	open	—	04-30 15:42
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$85	295	170	+125	open	—	03-15 13:34
eth updown 5m 1773573600	1	$80	351	0	+351	open	—	03-15 11:21
eth updown 5m 1773572400	2	$77	49	48	+1	open	—	03-15 11:05
btc updown 5m 1773630300	2	$74	92	91	+1	open	—	03-16 03:09
btc updown 5m 1773579300	7	$67	67	54	+13	open	—	03-15 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$60	341	45	+296	open	—	04-25 07:54
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	03-16 03:05
btc updown 5m 1773569100	1	$50	238	0	+238	open	—	03-15 10:08
btc updown 5m 1773512400	2	$50	57	57	+1	open	—	03-14 18:22
eth updown 15m 1776345300	2	$49	73	69	+4	open	—	04-16 13:21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	2	$47	42	42	+0	Patrick Kypson	+$7	05-05 13:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$46	243	243	+0	open	—	04-27 01:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$45	37	37	+0	open	—	04-30 09:01
dota2 bb4 liquid 2026 03 15	2	$35	42	42	+0	open	—	03-15 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	207	9¢	$18	0x11ef78…
05-13 08:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xbc0005…
05-13 08:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x4a4885…
05-13 08:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	82	5¢	$4	0xb1aec0…
05-13 08:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	257	51¢	$131	0x848e16…
05-13 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	176	78¢	$138	0xb82f42…
05-13 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	176	51¢	$90	0xc3ff42…
05-13 01:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	551	34¢	$188	0xcc7c43…
05-13 01:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x4d5403…
05-13 01:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	311	70¢	$217	0x74fd3c…
05-13 01:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	311	51¢	$158	0xbc3d60…
05-13 01:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	296	57¢	$168	0xebc885…
05-13 01:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	296	50¢	$148	0xabd26b…
05-13 01:51:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	232	68¢	$157	0xa34649…
05-13 01:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	232	45¢	$106	0x07a5fb…
05-13 01:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	188	60¢	$113	0x4901f8…
05-13 01:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	188	32¢	$60	0xd1c617…
05-12 09:47:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	292	61¢	$178	0x054d77…
05-11 08:24:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x48753b…
05-11 07:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x0bf30c…
05-11 07:56:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0x8253d9…
05-11 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	320	2¢	$6	0x9df628…
05-11 07:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	73	10¢	$7	0x43d351…
05-11 07:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	73	9¢	$7	0xd20492…
05-11 07:52:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x173bdd…
05-08 15:31:30	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6ef419…
05-08 13:29:15	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	38	49¢	$18	0x5ed9d0…
05-08 06:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x484c71…
05-08 06:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4e4a93…
05-08 06:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	34	43¢	$15	0x5eea61…
05-08 06:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x961a48…
05-08 06:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x2c3ee3…
05-06 12:55:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	174	1¢	$1	0x91d149…
05-05 13:47:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	Patrick Kypson	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x8b2aad…
05-05 13:45:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	Patrick Kypson	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xbfc191…
05-05 13:40:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	174	1¢	$2	0x2b15a8…
05-05 13:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0xf77f9c…
05-05 13:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0xcf8598…
05-05 13:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x314156…
05-05 13:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x7d2ab3…
04-30 15:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	131	3¢	$4	0x93bb19…
04-30 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x016e56…
04-30 15:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	131	53¢	$70	0x3e3a56…
04-30 15:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	211	38¢	$80	0x600b48…
04-30 15:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0x876f71…
04-30 15:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	239	38¢	$91	0x2f3ae7…
04-30 15:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	239	36¢	$85	0xa1f7a7…
04-30 15:46:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0x2d96d4…
04-30 15:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3ba51b…
04-30 15:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xbda0f6…
04-30 15:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0xe536c2…
04-30 15:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6a9e14…
04-30 15:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	58	59¢	$34	0xcbb23b…
04-30 15:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xebe5ea…
04-30 15:32:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	241	6¢	$14	0x291734…
04-30 15:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x2a19ab…
04-30 15:26:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x8a996e…
04-30 09:01:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xf9ec1f…
04-29 07:17:10	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	241	6¢	$14	0xe1f566…
04-29 07:13:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x5158dd…
04-27 01:58:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x421f44…
04-27 01:57:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	243	8¢	$20	0x9d8a29…
04-26 13:25:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	11¢	$25	0x2c9bda…
04-26 13:25:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$7	0x7eb918…
04-26 13:23:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0x13ff27…
04-26 13:15:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xbdb844…
04-26 08:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xd2ab9c…
04-25 07:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x2e3460…
04-25 07:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xd11c8a…
04-25 07:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	341	17¢	$59	0x51d43c…
04-25 07:53:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	241	24¢	$59	0xee0fb3…
04-24 14:27:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	241	48¢	$116	0xb9ca47…
04-24 14:24:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	181	64¢	$116	0x4a0640…
04-23 04:56:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	181	57¢	$103	0xa563c4…
04-23 04:54:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0xee5201…
04-20 13:44:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	109	69¢	$75	0x2e8e6f…
04-20 13:43:38	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	88	85¢	$75	0xfafac1…
04-16 13:46:32	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	88	81¢	$71	0x6b111d…
04-16 13:25:56	eth updown 5m 1776345900	Down	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0x3cd527…
04-16 13:24:32	eth updown 5m 1776345600	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x26abc1…
04-16 13:21:26	eth updown 15m 1776345300	Down	SELL	69	37¢	$26	0x245a11…
04-16 13:20:40	eth updown 15m 1776345300	Down	BUY	73	32¢	$23	0x38bdd4…
04-16 13:19:26	eth updown 5m 1776345300	Down	SELL	83	10¢	$8	0x1b3505…
04-16 13:18:42	eth updown 5m 1776345300	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xddd60d…
04-16 13:17:36	eth updown 5m 1776345300	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2da2e5…
04-16 13:14:32	eth updown 5m 1776345000	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0xe25928…
04-16 13:11:50	eth updown 5m 1776345000	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf46962…
04-16 13:07:52	btc updown 5m 1776344700	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x6e65f0…
04-16 13:06:34	btc updown 5m 1776344700	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x5e4151…
03-31 15:50:43	btc updown 5m 1774972200	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xd87e91…
03-31 15:50:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	820	0¢	$1	0xb74e26…
03-17 15:59:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	820	12¢	$98	0x88e2a3…
03-16 07:03:07	eth updown 15m 1773644400	Down	BUY	89	15¢	$13	0x71fbdd…
03-16 07:01:47	eth updown 15m 1773644400	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xa4e7cd…
03-16 07:00:19	eth updown 15m 1773644400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc118ea…
03-16 06:58:57	eth updown 15m 1773643500	Up	BUY	1,701	0¢	$5	0xd64634…
03-16 06:56:49	btc updown 5m 1773644100	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x160377…
03-16 06:55:31	btc updown 5m 1773644100	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1af48c…
03-16 06:44:01	eth updown 5m 1773643200	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2736e3…
03-16 03:09:47	btc updown 5m 1773630300	Up	SELL	91	49¢	$44	0x4e36ac…