Calculating-Suspect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$581

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

105

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$7.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-13 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 43% -$313

Other

35% 30% -$208

Politics

12% 25% -$53

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$893	1,192	608	+585	Down	-$124	05-13 01:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$460	348	348	+0	No	-$27	05-12 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	7	$415	599	581	+19	Up	-$65	04-30 15:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	7	$401	387	387	+0	No	-$30	04-30 15:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:10 UTC	3	$321	380	142	+238	Up	-$80	03-15 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	5	$317	917	917	+0	No	-$164	05-13 01:42
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$300	404	404	+0	No	+$7	05-13 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$263	232	232	+0	Down	+$51	05-13 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$228	176	176	+0	Up	+$48	05-13 08:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 11:05 UTC	2	$224	180	179	+2	Down	+$131	03-15 11:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$219	181	181	+0	No	+$13	04-24 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 8?	5	$204	127	127	+0	Yes	+$50	05-08 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	6	$188	260	260	+0	No	-$10	05-08 08:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$178	109	109	+0	No	+$28	04-23 04:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$173	188	188	+0	Up	+$53	05-13 01:49
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$146	88	88	+0	No	+$4	04-20 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	7	$137	231	231	+0	No	-$19	05-08 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$135	257	82	+175	Up	-$127	05-13 08:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$100	820	820	+0	No	-$97	03-31 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:40 UTC	2	$100	91	91	+0	Up	+$80	03-15 04:45
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$98	957	0	+957	No	-$98	05-12 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	6	$96	273	58	+216	Down	-$28	04-30 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?	7	$95	122	122	+0	No	-$19	05-08 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	5	$85	95	95	+0	Yes	-$7	05-08 08:13
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$85	295	170	+125	No	-$22	03-15 13:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 11:20 UTC	1	$80	351	0	+351	Up	-$80	03-15 11:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 11:00 UTC	2	$77	49	48	+1	Down	+$19	03-15 11:05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	1	$76	190	0	+190	No	+$114	05-06 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 03:05 UTC	2	$74	92	91	+1	Up	+$16	03-16 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:55 UTC	7	$67	67	54	+13	Up	-$2	03-15 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 08:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	207	9¢	$18	0x11ef78…
05-13 08:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xbc0005…
05-13 08:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x4a4885…
05-13 08:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	82	5¢	$4	0xb1aec0…
05-13 08:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	257	51¢	$131	0x848e16…
05-13 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	176	78¢	$138	0xb82f42…
05-13 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	176	51¢	$90	0xc3ff42…
05-13 08:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	41¢	$96	0xfa7614…
05-13 01:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	551	34¢	$188	0xcc7c43…
05-13 01:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x4d5403…
05-13 01:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	311	70¢	$217	0x74fd3c…
05-13 01:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	311	51¢	$158	0xbc3d60…
05-13 01:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	296	57¢	$168	0xebc885…
05-13 01:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	296	50¢	$148	0xabd26b…
05-13 01:51:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	232	68¢	$157	0xa34649…
05-13 01:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	232	45¢	$106	0x07a5fb…
05-13 01:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	188	60¢	$113	0x4901f8…
05-13 01:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	188	32¢	$60	0xd1c617…
05-13 01:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	876	8¢	$67	0x8e4840…
05-12 14:24:59	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0xedd995…
05-12 14:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	561	2¢	$9	0x19df29…
05-12 14:02:23	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	236	37¢	$86	0xff30a4…
05-12 14:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	561	1¢	$8	0x1bba1c…
05-12 14:00:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x639a1a…
05-12 13:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	11¢	$30	0x64001a…
05-12 13:59:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	34¢	$58	0xd87557…
05-12 13:58:49	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xc4237a…
05-12 13:58:37	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	24¢	$10	0x742499…
05-12 13:56:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	25¢	$50	0xd48ac4…
05-12 13:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	36¢	$60	0xf1c4d6…
05-12 13:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	10¢	$50	0x6d8d33…
05-12 09:50:47	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	644	26¢	$170	0x27d1a8…
05-12 09:47:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	292	61¢	$178	0x054d77…
05-11 08:24:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x48753b…
05-11 07:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x0bf30c…
05-11 07:56:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0x8253d9…
05-11 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	320	2¢	$6	0x9df628…
05-11 07:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	73	10¢	$7	0x43d351…
05-11 07:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	73	9¢	$7	0xd20492…
05-11 07:52:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x173bdd…
05-08 15:39:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	348	70¢	$244	0x8688e1…
05-08 15:36:12	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	57	48¢	$28	0xe9eaeb…
05-08 15:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x503d02…
05-08 15:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 8?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x87f704…
05-08 15:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 8?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x107b4b…
05-08 15:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 8?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xaf6677…
05-08 15:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	127	99¢	$127	0x156615…
05-08 15:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 8?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5bc1ef…
05-08 15:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 8?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7a25a5…
05-08 15:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x978207…
05-08 15:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0fdf5a…
05-08 15:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on May 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x71d3c2…
05-08 15:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc03bf8…
05-08 15:31:30	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6ef419…
05-08 13:29:15	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	38	49¢	$18	0x5ed9d0…
05-08 13:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on May 9?	No	SELL	98	8¢	$7	0xedfeb7…
05-08 13:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xe0be9f…
05-08 13:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	107	1¢	$1	0xc80a60…
05-08 13:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	126	1¢	$1	0x1fff54…
05-08 08:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x855b33…
05-08 08:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	126	2¢	$2	0x5c9802…
05-08 08:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x45edef…
05-08 08:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xd9aec6…
05-08 08:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1460ff…
05-08 08:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x998a0f…
05-08 08:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x76b614…
05-08 08:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 8?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc98cdf…
05-08 08:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	167	21¢	$35	0x82baf6…
05-08 08:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xd8872c…
05-08 08:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xc0c1df…
05-08 08:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	SELL	28	63¢	$18	0x7e965a…
05-08 08:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	No	SELL	66	82¢	$54	0x486168…
05-08 08:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1cb0e2…
05-08 08:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7033a6…
05-08 08:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	114	30¢	$35	0x901fe3…
05-08 07:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	66	81¢	$54	0x2aa24f…
05-08 07:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x9e1c87…
05-08 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x835a89…
05-08 07:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	194	18¢	$35	0x696479…
05-08 07:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x7ae6da…
05-08 07:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	67	32¢	$21	0x58853d…
05-08 07:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x872cba…
05-08 07:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$13	0x12b860…
05-08 07:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0x3c48fd…
05-08 06:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0x633429…
05-08 06:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8e5f6d…
05-08 06:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3a6125…
05-08 06:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0xad3fa5…
05-08 06:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x091b60…
05-08 06:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x4fb35d…
05-08 06:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x484c71…
05-08 06:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4e4a93…
05-08 06:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3b2278…
05-08 06:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0xd05731…
05-08 06:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	75	49¢	$37	0xce54aa…
05-08 06:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x602be3…
05-08 06:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on May 9?	No	SELL	203	1¢	$1	0x4558e1…
05-08 06:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0xf8731f…
05-08 06:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$0	0xd428ac…
05-08 06:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x5dfa83…