Extra-Large-Joke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$632

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-15 05:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 38% -$81

Sports

9% 100% +$33

Other

7% 0% -$11

Politics

2% 50% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		+20	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	05-24 16:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	4	$164	230	230	+0	No	-$119	06-01 13:22
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	16	$81	1,714	1,214	+500	No	+$17	05-25 14:05
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	5	$42	3,960	2,100	+1,860	Yes	+$16	04-20 05:40
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	2	$40	50	0	+50	Yes	+$10	05-10 08:38
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	3	$38	4,500	1,000	+3,500	Yes	-$2	04-13 08:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$36	220	20	+200	Yes	-$5	01-31 04:57
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	3	$33	60	0	+60	Seahawks	+$27	01-25 23:23
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	14	$33	2,332	1,826	+506	Yes	+$13	03-01 22:42
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	5	$31	1,000	1,544	-544	Yes	+$21	03-22 21:35
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 6 12	8	$27	1,777	2,230	-453	Yes	+$13	01-12 10:06
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	5	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	01-30 22:44
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	2	$16	70	0	+70	No	-$16	01-19 06:06
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	4	$16	2,500	1,000	+1,500	No	-$4	05-04 10:53
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$10	1,970	0	+1,970	Yes	-$10	03-15 23:53
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	5	$9	50	50	+0	No	+$1	02-25 04:05
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	8	$7	1,346	187	+1,159	Yes	-$4	03-09 11:25
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	28	$7	1,900	0	+1,900	No	-$7	03-05 17:28
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	3	$7	200	200	+0	No	-$6	03-30 14:30
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?	1	$6	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$6	04-27 05:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$4	20	0	+20	Yes	-$4	03-08 18:51
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 3 9	1	$4	100	0	+100	Yes	-$4	02-09 03:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	05-24 16:33
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	5	$0	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	06-15 05:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 05:03:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x38c5fe…
06-14 19:48:31	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe3acbe…
06-14 19:39:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4efc8b…
06-14 18:19:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0e1484…
06-14 17:21:21	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8d1fbf…
06-01 13:22:37	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x094c1c…
05-31 21:27:09	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xc0d55b…
05-28 22:51:09	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xf8af7e…
05-28 07:20:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xedbca4…
05-25 14:05:38	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	281	0¢	$0	0xa0b41b…
05-25 09:32:20	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0x4b10c8…
05-25 09:03:59	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	387	1¢	$3	0x15d23d…
05-25 01:35:38	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$1	0x3d1e87…
05-25 00:59:39	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$1	0xbe4e0f…
05-24 22:02:03	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xba8b57…
05-24 21:06:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	999	0¢	$5	0x295290…
05-24 16:33:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2043e6…
05-24 05:58:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x69c69c…
05-23 16:56:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd6fc58…
05-23 10:49:20	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x2377ad…
05-23 10:47:47	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	97	7¢	$7	0xd91ff3…
05-22 23:44:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x7d7767…
05-22 21:36:05	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x9a5b48…
05-20 01:15:38	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	89	13¢	$12	0x60b06a…
05-20 00:49:11	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0xadc2e7…
05-19 19:27:37	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0xac53e0…
05-10 08:38:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$22	0x115660…
05-09 16:46:13	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x1fae3c…
05-04 10:53:00	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0x8385bc…
05-03 19:55:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xd07c14…
05-03 16:35:56	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x28b1a9…
05-03 15:41:00	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,400	0¢	$10	0x3c756b…
04-27 05:51:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0x3f9eb0…
04-20 05:40:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	No	SELL	1,000	2¢	$16	0xf590da…
04-20 05:40:00	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0xaeb700…
04-20 02:35:50	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf9512f…
04-19 17:23:50	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x031782…
04-19 15:23:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	No	BUY	1,460	0¢	$3	0x032b32…
04-13 08:49:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x8d4912…
04-13 05:55:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	SELL	1,000	2¢	$18	0x7f8695…
04-12 23:50:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 7 13	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xe81427…
03-30 14:30:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x2422a2…
03-29 18:15:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x35ef75…
03-29 17:04:56	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x2ac5f4…
03-22 21:35:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	SELL	589	2¢	$10	0xc0b17d…
03-22 20:32:17	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x91e907…
03-22 20:21:23	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	SELL	389	2¢	$7	0x2cae5d…
03-22 18:50:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	SELL	544	2¢	$9	0xff616a…
03-22 18:27:35	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x0440c5…
03-15 23:53:03	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2b8fb5…
03-15 23:19:29	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x164d33…
03-15 22:31:33	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	No	BUY	371	0¢	$2	0x8495e3…
03-15 22:02:15	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xed2d85…
03-15 21:41:55	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	No	BUY	628	0¢	$3	0xebc42d…
03-15 20:57:49	will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	No	BUY	960	0¢	$5	0xb4faac…
03-09 11:25:13	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	SELL	187	1¢	$2	0x1d40ab…
03-09 00:11:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	634	0¢	$3	0xe8ba81…
03-08 23:17:29	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xaa25d3…
03-08 18:51:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xbb7cef…
03-08 18:45:17	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xa6d28e…
03-08 18:43:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xd4ed91…
03-08 18:43:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xed0690…
03-08 18:42:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x190240…
03-08 16:37:01	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x789e8c…
03-08 15:29:53	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	No	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0x332187…
03-05 17:28:37	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xee8ebb…
03-05 17:27:31	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe4d4b1…
03-05 17:21:55	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xf53cef…
03-05 17:19:53	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	192	0¢	$1	0xb35642…
03-05 17:18:19	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x5ac2a2…
03-05 17:18:19	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	229	0¢	$1	0x219962…
03-05 17:16:27	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x345d54…
03-05 17:15:17	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x67f9dc…
03-05 17:09:47	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x5a1600…
03-05 16:57:19	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcce447…
03-05 16:54:39	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xee9599…
03-05 16:52:37	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0ecf94…
03-05 16:42:49	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe07109…
03-05 16:32:37	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd65067…
03-05 16:27:53	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x075201…
03-05 16:27:47	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdf2358…
03-05 16:27:47	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x212320…
03-05 16:27:47	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	68	0¢	$0	0x01415d…
03-05 16:26:21	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc41c3e…
03-05 16:22:51	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x31d1cd…
03-05 16:21:49	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf08d08…
03-05 16:20:31	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x4620c6…
03-05 16:12:35	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	174	0¢	$1	0xffa0e2…
03-05 16:12:15	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xeb8327…
03-05 16:06:37	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x76a26d…
03-05 15:42:21	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x6e688f…
03-05 03:02:41	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x9afb0e…
03-01 22:42:09	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	SELL	284	2¢	$5	0xa5ac78…
03-01 22:39:21	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x9f7672…
03-01 22:33:03	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	SELL	131	2¢	$2	0x60dbee…
03-01 22:00:25	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x63241e…
03-01 21:53:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	SELL	280	2¢	$5	0x4b2867…
03-01 20:54:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	SELL	613	1¢	$6	0x61de9b…
03-01 20:29:17	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	132	0¢	$1	0x0bef7b…
03-01 20:05:55	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0xd547ec…