Menacing-Aardvark — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

131 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$247 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 09-12 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 56% -$14

Other

19% 0% -$21

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+6	$2	56¢	$4	+$1	09-12 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 14:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?	3	$18	30	15	+15	No	-$7	05-21 13:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	14	$15	15	8	+8	Up	-$5	05-21 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$13	13	8	+5	Up	-$1	05-21 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$12	15	7	+8	Up	+$0	05-21 20:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$12	106	6	+100	Up	$0	05-21 20:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	7	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-25 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 20:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-04 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	7	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-28 20:44
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$7	7	3	+3	No	+$1	04-04 20:44
efa sot ars 2026 04 04 sot	2	$6	21	21	+0	Yes	-$4	04-04 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$5	8	5	+3	Up	-$1	05-21 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$5	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-28 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$5	7	4	+3	Down	-$1	05-25 17:24
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	28	0	+28	No	-$5	03-15 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-21 20:23
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	03-28 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-21 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$5	7	0	+7	Down	-$4	05-28 20:34
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-23 20:47
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$4	35	1	+34	Up	-$2	05-28 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-21 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-25 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$3	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	05-21 21:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-25 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$3	7	1	+6	Down	-$1	05-25 17:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	09-12 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$2	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 21:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 15:54:19	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5be167…
05-28 21:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xa4aa1c…
05-28 21:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x269c76…
05-28 20:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa18117…
05-28 20:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xda826f…
05-28 20:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9a6b2d…
05-28 20:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x2ae255…
05-28 20:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x83c544…
05-28 20:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x6cbba9…
05-28 20:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2d5f68…
05-28 20:45:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8adf9…
05-28 20:44:55	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-05-28 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb16bd…
05-28 20:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf159de…
05-28 20:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c39b8…
05-28 20:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2df439…
05-28 20:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf2c9b9…
05-28 20:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6063e1…
05-28 20:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf51e91…
05-28 20:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbccd84…
05-28 20:39:33	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x14e8fa…
05-28 20:38:55	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x599fde…
05-28 20:38:25	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x88d3bd…
05-28 20:38:08	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x87a42c…
05-28 20:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x85e2a3…
05-28 20:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xddd461…
05-28 20:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3a5a4b…
05-28 20:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1e224f…
05-28 20:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7b7333…
05-28 20:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb4bafb…
05-28 20:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb6f4de…
05-28 20:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x355bec…
05-28 20:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x642956…
05-28 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd4c862…
05-25 17:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x962de6…
05-25 17:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x69a55e…
05-25 17:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xffa530…
05-25 17:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5756fd…
05-25 17:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe297e2…
05-25 17:28:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5f81c6…
05-25 17:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa205e3…
05-25 17:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdff451…
05-25 17:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xb807f8…
05-25 17:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xca3156…
05-25 17:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x79affe…
05-25 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x320503…
05-25 17:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdaf97b…
05-25 17:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x65a10d…
05-25 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x694d04…
05-25 17:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x74e75f…
05-25 17:09:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc21374…
05-25 17:09:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x2e4678…
05-25 17:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4d0292…
05-25 17:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc9a31b…
05-25 17:03:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x570246…
05-25 17:02:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x108ad0…
05-25 17:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xef9990…
05-25 17:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd5da32…
05-25 17:01:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4b03a8…
05-25 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7c2537…
05-21 21:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xcc499c…
05-21 21:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x6a2dd0…
05-21 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x2318a8…
05-21 21:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc842d4…
05-21 21:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x01dee1…
05-21 21:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xb0e93b…
05-21 21:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x44a485…
05-21 21:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4daedb…
05-21 21:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbe243b…
05-21 21:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd38f63…
05-21 21:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6fb21c…
05-21 21:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xf2b3a3…
05-21 21:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2d0e9f…
05-21 21:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x939b0b…
05-21 21:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe9a977…
05-21 21:24:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeb40bc…
05-21 21:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa3d2b1…
05-21 21:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x66531b…
05-21 21:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa7ea67…
05-21 21:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x21276b…
05-21 21:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7a4e57…
05-21 21:08:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd58d67…
05-21 21:08:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb80445…
05-21 21:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf2b435…
05-21 21:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x640852…
05-21 21:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbb0885…
05-21 21:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xad76af…
05-21 21:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x3219dc…
05-21 21:08:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x77745a…
05-21 21:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd0f5c7…
05-21 21:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xdf4015…
05-21 21:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa5b837…
05-21 21:07:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6843fd…
05-21 21:07:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc76fb0…
05-21 21:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x129cec…
05-21 20:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x931e24…
05-21 20:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd3cdb9…
05-21 20:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x52fad0…
05-21 20:57:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaeb9b8…
05-21 20:57:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf1dd2d…
05-21 20:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xda9865…