Fresh-Economics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

+$449

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

453

Trades

1,068

lifetime

Volume

$90.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$14

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Sports

49% 75% +$1,858

Other

41% 57% +$206

Crypto

10% 33% -$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	+29	$8	48¢	$14	+$6	10-01 13:59
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+0	-$148	97¢	$0	+$148	10-06 19:47
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+0	-$97	98¢	$0	+$97	10-06 23:13
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+0	-$198	64¢	$0	+$198	10-20 21:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5.0K	5,081	0	+5,081	No	+$81	03-09 23:07
Will Gabriel Magalhães be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?	2	$4.0K	4,061	0	+4,061	Yes	+$61	08-25 19:06
Will Erling Haaland be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?	3	$2.8K	2,829	0	+2,829	Yes	+$29	08-25 19:48
Will João Pedro be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?	2	$2.5K	2,551	0	+2,551	No	+$51	08-25 19:03
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$2.1K	0	2,212	-2,212	No	-$95	04-23 15:39
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$1.7K	915	915	+0	open	—	10-06 23:13
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	8	$1.3K	779	779	+0	open	—	10-06 19:47
Will Rodrygo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$1.2K	616	616	+0	No	+$13	09-08 14:51
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	29	$1.2K	1,165	1,002	+163	No	+$387	09-01 10:57
will lionel messi announce his retirement in 2025	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-01 01:09
will the announcers say counter attack during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742640	9	$954	1,154	0	+1,154	Yes	+$200	06-30 02:54
will the announcers say ronaldo during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402830	2	$900	909	0	+909	Yes	+$9	07-04 01:33
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	1	$878	888	0	+888	Yes	+$10	08-25 19:32
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$852	467	467	+0	open	—	10-06 20:10
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	28	$843	1,194	894	+300	Yes	+$296	09-01 15:16
will cole palmer finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	2	$800	818	0	+818	No	+$18	08-07 16:33
footballfun fdv above 300m one day after launch	3	$692	0	744	-744	No	-$52	01-14 03:09
will there be 40 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750580	3	$682	689	0	+689	No	+$7	06-11 16:35
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	19	$672	866	377	+489	Yes	+$61	08-31 16:10
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$634	345	345	+0	open	—	10-06 20:17
will there be 45 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750581	1	$628	634	0	+634	No	+$6	06-11 16:17
will there be 30 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750578	1	$628	634	0	+634	No	+$6	06-11 16:36
will there be 35 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750579	1	$628	634	0	+634	No	+$6	06-11 16:21
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	3	$608	421	421	+0	open	—	10-20 21:31
Will Julian Alvarez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$608	309	309	+0	No	+$8	09-08 14:20
Will Desire Doue finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$608	309	309	+0	No	+$8	09-08 14:18
Will Cristiano Ronaldo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$605	306	306	+0	No	+$5	09-09 09:55
Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	2	$600	638	0	+638	Yes	+$38	10-26 20:00
will the announcers say messi during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023978	5	$583	605	0	+605	Yes	+$22	06-23 00:29
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	4	$580	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$420	06-19 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:46:38	Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	No	SELL	155	32¢	$50	0xf54c83…
10-29 17:46:37	Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4f6e69…
10-27 15:18:42	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	28¢	$26	0xe22e24…
10-27 13:44:11	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x5f6831…
10-27 13:28:24	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$42	0x1b9279…
10-27 12:04:02	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0xc62e63…
10-27 12:03:38	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	271	8¢	$22	0x961ebd…
10-27 00:43:24	Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	No	SELL	307	32¢	$98	0x991814…
10-26 20:00:35	Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x97b789…
10-26 12:14:54	Hawks vs. Rockets	Hawks	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xbf4613…
10-26 11:44:27	Hawks vs. Rockets	Hawks	BUY	606	34¢	$206	0xeddbf1…
10-25 19:37:15	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0x11d2c7…
10-23 15:14:14	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	531	81¢	$430	0xe5e654…
10-21 19:05:02	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x09c380…
10-21 18:34:33	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbf9009…
10-21 18:22:54	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8eca90…
10-20 21:38:03	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	445	67¢	$298	0x2a7e03…
10-20 21:31:17	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	421	85¢	$358	0xd9d8a7…
10-19 22:57:11	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xf1c63b…
10-19 22:53:59	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	445	22¢	$100	0x7fbca8…
10-17 20:14:32	Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x013473…
10-15 10:42:04	Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x28b65c…
10-11 21:34:38	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x6fae24…
10-07 01:16:47	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x907723…
10-07 01:16:45	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x5ba1fb…
10-07 01:16:18	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xd209c2…
10-07 01:16:18	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x55debf…
10-07 01:16:12	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xd10d15…
10-07 01:16:12	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb72937…
10-07 01:16:12	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xaa1a0a…
10-07 01:14:44	Will Messi play 86-89 minutes vs. Benin?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x618e38…
10-06 23:13:26	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8009c6…
10-06 20:50:36	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x96aa7d…
10-06 20:34:21	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	874	98¢	$857	0x6723e7…
10-06 20:17:05	Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	345	97¢	$334	0xc9ec23…
10-06 20:10:23	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	467	97¢	$452	0x07a183…
10-06 19:47:18	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x4fb5e0…
10-06 19:46:20	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x7f6c9c…
10-06 19:46:03	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xb9df55…
10-06 19:45:41	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x225ffd…
10-06 19:44:15	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x894277…
10-06 19:44:09	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	185	96¢	$178	0x3a0df1…
10-06 19:41:35	Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xe12946…
10-06 19:40:20	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xf8f6b8…
10-06 19:40:11	Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	347	86¢	$300	0x7cc802…
10-06 19:39:57	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	467	86¢	$400	0xb5442f…
10-06 19:39:27	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x3eb74a…
10-06 19:39:12	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xfd1c17…
10-06 17:40:36	Will Messi's sons join him on the pitch?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4da43c…
10-02 09:21:47	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x564f7f…
10-02 09:19:18	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x54b529…
10-02 09:19:17	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf1d861…
10-01 13:59:15	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xfa0503…
10-01 13:58:48	will manchester city be relegated from the premier league in 2026 27	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x2b87be…
09-25 22:48:00	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xba5ba4…
09-25 21:28:23	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xee51ae…
09-24 23:54:24	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$5	0x16e1a6…
09-24 19:31:11	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x40bcba…
09-24 15:56:05	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	BUY	78	23¢	$18	0xbbb485…
09-24 08:26:41	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xd9fe65…
09-24 08:26:41	will theunitedstrand get a haircut by 2026 27 season end	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xa129a1…
09-12 14:01:31	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x52276a…
09-09 09:55:16	Will Cristiano Ronaldo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$305	0x30431e…
09-08 19:03:34	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xb6146e…
09-08 16:22:30	Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x5a93d5…
09-08 15:13:42	Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbc1a5d…
09-08 15:03:58	Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3e79ba…
09-08 15:01:52	Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x1ca3ec…
09-08 15:01:00	Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x695a11…
09-08 14:56:55	Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xeb0c12…
09-08 14:55:04	Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3af056…
09-08 14:51:28	Will Rodrygo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	616	100¢	$613	0xd1a44d…
09-08 14:50:46	Will Mohamed Salah finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x1a3e1b…
09-08 14:20:00	Will Julian Alvarez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	309	100¢	$308	0x680f3c…
09-08 14:18:37	Will Desire Doue finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	309	100¢	$308	0x238852…
09-07 05:09:46	Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	97	96¢	$93	0x4fd901…
09-06 17:22:45	Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0xbaf600…
09-03 19:44:19	Will Rodrygo finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x45af29…
09-01 15:57:18	Will Cody Gakpo join Tottenham Hotspur?	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0x3a213f…
09-01 15:52:55	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	No	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xf75bea…
09-01 15:16:19	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	79	94¢	$74	0xc43c58…
09-01 14:29:01	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	No	SELL	53	15¢	$8	0x5f96aa…
09-01 10:57:51	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x30d4c3…
08-31 17:55:33	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	59	88¢	$52	0x58a23c…
08-31 16:10:13	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	No	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0xc878cf…
08-31 16:08:24	Will Cody Gakpo stay at Liverpool?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x01c3e0…
08-31 16:07:54	Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?	No	SELL	294	0¢	$1	0x8cb81c…
08-31 15:36:24	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x8a644b…
08-31 15:25:15	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x01de20…
08-31 15:25:13	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xbf5884…
08-31 13:35:25	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xe22e81…
08-31 13:35:25	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc560fb…
08-31 13:27:54	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2a07cb…
08-31 13:27:16	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf38fcb…
08-31 13:27:12	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcd45ac…
08-31 13:27:10	Will Cody Gakpo join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x145f00…
08-31 01:10:37	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	80	74¢	$60	0x8d0be9…
08-30 23:41:48	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	SELL	173	91¢	$157	0x93471c…
08-30 12:54:43	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	No	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0xc28040…
08-29 19:53:51	Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xa13ac0…