Thoughtful-Peacock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,425

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 25% $-25

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No		+40	$12	16¢	$7	$-5	05-29 21:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2000 on march 6	23	$469	450	470	-20	open	—	03-06 15:54
ethereum above 3300 on january 18	3	$356	230	230	+0	open	—	01-18 14:15
ethereum above 2000 on march 3	20	$333	450	450	+0	open	—	03-03 16:31
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$264	240	240	+0	open	—	03-11 12:33
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	10	$263	310	310	+0	open	—	03-11 13:30
ethereum above 2000 on february 25	6	$261	1,120	1,119	+1	open	—	02-25 13:48
ethereum above 2000 on february 26	23	$261	692	705	-13	open	—	02-26 15:34
ethereum above 2100 on march 4	10	$245	300	300	+0	open	—	03-04 15:26
ethereum above 1900 on february 19	24	$232	900	900	+0	open	—	02-19 15:27
bitcoin above 66k on february 19	10	$230	380	376	+4	open	—	02-19 15:44
ethereum above 2200 on march 13	3	$228	500	499	+1	open	—	03-13 13:47
ethereum above 3000 on january 28	7	$226	200	300	-100	open	—	01-28 17:00
ethereum above 3200 on january 9	7	$222	180	180	+0	open	—	01-08 12:34
bitcoin above 68k on february 18	15	$212	300	300	+0	open	—	02-18 15:39
ethereum above 3200 on january 6	12	$209	200	200	+0	open	—	01-06 04:11
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	12	$207	494	320	+174	open	—	01-20 13:24
ethereum above 2100 on march 10	16	$196	750	750	+0	open	—	03-10 15:06
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	3	$193	330	330	+0	open	—	02-03 01:20
ethereum above 2900 on january 29	11	$187	290	290	+0	open	—	01-29 14:52
ethereum above 2700 on january 31	3	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 13:18
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	4	$166	180	180	+0	open	—	03-05 15:18
ethereum above 3300 on january 15	8	$158	250	250	+0	open	—	01-15 15:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?	2	$152	400	400	+0	open	—	05-15 14:00
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	7	$149	220	220	+0	open	—	02-24 15:33
ethereum up or down february 23 11am et	5	$143	200	100	+100	open	—	02-23 16:24
btc updown 4h 1773144000	11	$143	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 15:44
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	8	$135	140	140	+0	open	—	03-03 16:08
ethereum above 2000 on february 13	18	$134	220	220	+0	open	—	02-13 15:51
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	7	$134	150	150	+0	open	—	03-04 15:26
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	2	$129	200	200	+0	open	—	01-20 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 14:13:28	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xb080e0…
07-02 13:13:31	bitcoin above 62k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4977a9…
07-02 13:12:59	btc updown 4h 1782993600	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa39b3c…
07-02 13:12:58	btc updown 4h 1782993600	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa1d8fa…
07-02 13:12:56	btc updown 4h 1782993600	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x6a4ca9…
06-29 13:52:43	ethereum above 1600 on june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xeb7cc9…
06-29 13:46:26	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Down	SELL	77	64¢	$49	0xdf4508…
06-29 13:06:19	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5e8677…
06-29 12:35:05	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x30a0e7…
06-29 12:35:04	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2dace5…
06-29 12:31:22	ethereum above 1600 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x34e803…
06-29 12:25:32	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xcf055d…
06-29 12:24:55	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x47251b…
06-29 12:16:49	ethereum above 1600 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8f4493…
06-29 12:14:31	ethereum above 1600 on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xdbf4be…
06-29 12:12:20	eth updown 4h 1782734400	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xbe29ec…
06-24 13:10:50	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xfc272e…
06-24 13:10:50	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xee9949…
06-24 13:10:50	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xa373af…
06-24 13:10:50	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x47a192…
06-24 11:59:43	bitcoin above 62k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x619fd4…
06-24 11:53:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	175	5¢	$9	0xec6c41…
06-24 11:53:43	bitcoin above 64k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc476d5…
06-16 13:41:10	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x75f420…
06-16 13:05:16	btc updown 4h 1781611200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3850eb…
06-16 13:02:34	btc updown 4h 1781611200	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1755f8…
06-16 13:02:31	btc updown 4h 1781611200	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe6f169…
06-15 12:24:00	btc updown 4h 1781524800	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x29291b…
06-15 12:22:39	bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xbe5a37…
06-15 12:22:15	btc updown 4h 1781524800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6cbab9…
06-15 12:22:15	btc updown 4h 1781524800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57687f…
06-11 11:44:33	bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x8beeec…
06-11 11:41:33	bitcoin above 62k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xe9fd87…
06-09 13:41:55	bitcoin above 62k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xda9b8a…
06-09 13:36:18	ethereum above 1700 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x98f45c…
06-09 13:35:13	btc updown 4h 1781006400	Up	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x1cda57…
06-09 12:00:12	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	206	2¢	$5	0x241808…
06-09 11:59:06	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xc10a29…
06-09 11:50:48	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x0829d2…
06-09 11:36:42	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xc2198d…
06-09 11:36:42	ethereum above 1600 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x32bb7e…
06-08 13:16:01	ethereum above 1700 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x8d5b45…
06-08 13:13:03	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xed026d…
06-08 13:09:27	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x88b7e7…
06-08 13:09:25	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfd9c00…
06-08 13:09:21	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8a944d…
06-08 13:09:19	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x51155b…
06-08 13:09:16	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7a59e7…
06-08 13:00:15	ethereum above 1600 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x258c13…
06-08 12:59:43	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e1411…
06-08 12:57:58	eth updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	19	34¢	$7	0x6effaf…
06-05 13:50:40	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	No	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0x0e732d…
06-05 13:01:21	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xbcd4e4…
06-04 13:38:16	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7cc208…
06-04 13:35:58	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x1b03ed…
06-04 13:14:12	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc92475…
06-04 13:14:10	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb66fe8…
06-04 13:13:01	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x26e43c…
06-04 13:12:07	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x982828…
06-04 13:08:13	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0cca12…
06-04 13:08:07	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x923f06…
06-04 13:06:39	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x4e4445…
06-04 13:05:27	ethereum above 2100 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xba33fd…
06-04 13:04:15	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x44bcfb…
06-04 13:03:58	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x1e4443…
06-04 13:03:46	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7fc7a4…
06-04 13:03:40	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x97ced9…
06-04 13:03:19	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x7789f4…
06-04 13:00:07	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe4e588…
06-04 12:53:54	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x185296…
06-04 12:53:12	eth updown 4h 1780574400	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x466556…
06-02 18:53:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x598ce8…
06-02 01:59:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xdb586a…
06-01 15:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x8e807a…
06-01 12:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x50e459…
06-01 12:48:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x33a5cd…
06-01 12:26:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x042500…
06-01 12:11:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	130	10¢	$13	0x40f19d…
05-30 05:12:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xf48a58…
05-30 05:12:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x884295…
05-29 21:30:42	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x4f38a7…
05-29 20:51:49	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xe489ff…
05-29 19:33:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xc46b47…
05-29 19:12:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0x19f43e…
05-29 19:12:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xce0fa0…
05-29 19:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x07f22c…
05-29 19:09:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x042542…
05-28 14:21:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd0b44b…
05-28 14:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x0a21f2…
05-27 13:45:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	52	25¢	$13	0x38ea85…
05-27 12:21:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x7b7b83…
05-27 12:21:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x73b43d…
05-27 12:06:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x09774b…
05-27 12:01:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x56f634…
05-22 11:41:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	318	2¢	$7	0x6525cf…
05-22 11:40:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x0eb585…
05-21 13:19:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x19dcfe…
05-21 13:19:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x87f637…
05-21 13:18:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x4be7b1…
05-21 12:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2e6eef…