Superficial-Gaffe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$343

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-25 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Sports

79% 36% +$8

Other

19% 100% +$21

Politics

2% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	2	$60	41	41	+0	Knicks	+$20	05-20 02:21
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	2	$51	35	35	+0	Knicks	+$11	06-04 02:16
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	2	$50	31	31	+0	Yes	+$10	10-25 22:41
nothing ever happens us strike edition	2	$41	37	37	+0	No	+$1	01-20 03:34
nothing ever happens january 581	1	$25	45	0	+45	No	+$20	01-09 21:25
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$12	09-06 15:25
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	1	$15	29	0	+29	No	-$15	06-06 01:35
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	1	$15	24	0	+24	Knicks	-$15	06-06 01:41
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	09-11 16:55
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	1	$10	71	0	+71	No	-$10	05-14 03:33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	1	$9	67	0	+67	No	-$9	09-12 16:20
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$7	44	0	+44	Yes	+$37	06-04 00:52
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$7	73	0	+73	No	-$7	06-04 00:51
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	05-14 03:37
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	05-14 03:42
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	1	$5	72	0	+72	No	-$5	05-23 20:40
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	1	$5	33	0	+33	No	-$5	07-25 20:19
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	05-14 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:41:30	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xd83244…
10-24 21:04:26	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x22cb16…
09-12 16:20:01	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0x30b167…
09-11 16:55:18	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x891607…
09-06 15:25:42	Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x419f0d…
09-05 20:56:55	Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x74bbcf…
07-25 20:19:16	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xfd6b57…
06-06 01:41:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	Spurs	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x22e4ce…
06-06 01:35:27	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xd3f689…
06-04 02:16:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Spurs	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0xcece81…
06-04 00:52:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0xba3ef1…
06-04 00:51:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x0f5252…
06-04 00:50:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 1pt5	Spurs	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x8f6d34…
05-23 20:40:38	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xfb3a1e…
05-20 02:21:36	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xdd0eda…
05-20 00:24:16	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x7d3b84…
05-14 03:42:02	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb758d4…
05-14 03:41:48	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x21a24c…
05-14 03:37:03	Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9f7e7d…
05-14 03:33:47	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8fa57e…
01-20 03:34:16	nothing ever happens us strike edition	No	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0x477672…
01-09 22:10:12	nothing ever happens us strike edition	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7079bc…
01-09 21:25:42	nothing ever happens january 581	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8433f4…