Ill-Prelude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$287

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

348

Trades

2,956

lifetime

Volume

$7.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-10 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$287

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on march 12	106	$256	541	90	+451	open	—	03-12 15:58
ethereum up or down on march 13	39	$80	1,236	10	+1,226	open	—	03-13 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	33	$74	205	0	+205	Up	+$41	05-08 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	23	$68	115	0	+115	Up	+$47	05-08 12:14
bitcoin up or down on march 11	10	$42	45	20	+25	open	—	03-11 16:14
ethereum up or down on march 14	18	$38	80	0	+80	open	—	03-13 18:45
btc updown 15m 1772586900	4	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	03-04 01:23
btc updown 15m 1772559900	4	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	03-03 17:53
btc updown 15m 1772553600	5	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	03-03 16:08
btc updown 15m 1772550900	5	$24	44	0	+44	open	—	03-03 15:23
btc updown 15m 1772565300	4	$24	44	0	+44	open	—	03-03 19:23
btc updown 15m 1772646300	4	$23	33	0	+33	open	—	03-04 17:53
btc updown 15m 1772632800	4	$22	44	0	+44	open	—	03-04 14:08
btc updown 15m 1772595900	6	$21	43	0	+43	open	—	03-04 03:53
btc updown 15m 1772601300	4	$21	46	0	+46	open	—	03-04 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$21	25	0	+25	Down	+$4	05-09 14:56
btc updown 15m 1772608500	8	$21	44	0	+44	open	—	03-04 07:23
btc updown 15m 1772598600	5	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	03-04 04:36
btc updown 15m 1772546400	4	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	03-03 14:02
btc updown 15m 1772611200	4	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	03-04 08:06
btc updown 15m 1772577000	4	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	03-03 22:33
btc updown 15m 1772578800	6	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	03-03 23:04
btc updown 15m 1772558100	6	$19	44	0	+44	open	—	03-03 17:18
btc updown 15m 1772590500	4	$19	44	0	+44	open	—	03-04 02:22
btc updown 15m 1772634600	4	$19	44	0	+44	open	—	03-04 14:31
btc updown 15m 1772580600	4	$19	46	0	+46	open	—	03-03 23:36
btc updown 15m 1772396100	6	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	03-01 20:24
btc updown 15m 1772560800	6	$19	43	0	+43	open	—	03-03 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$18	25	0	+25	Down	+$7	05-09 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:38:37	btc updown 15m 1781058600	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4c650e…
06-10 02:08:52	btc updown 15m 1781056800	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa7c1c7…
06-10 01:29:52	btc updown 15m 1781054100	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x683e78…
06-10 01:21:34	btc updown 15m 1781054100	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9ddeeb…
06-10 01:06:57	btc updown 15m 1781053200	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd81507…
06-10 00:19:49	btc updown 15m 1781050500	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x855128…
06-09 23:18:43	btc updown 15m 1781046900	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa6a47d…
06-09 23:02:33	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xce1d97…
06-09 22:29:03	btc updown 15m 1781043300	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x127e0d…
06-09 22:25:34	btc updown 15m 1781043300	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa83691…
06-09 22:06:13	btc updown 15m 1781042400	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x18392c…
06-09 21:02:00	btc updown 15m 1781038800	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x05dc69…
06-09 20:56:07	btc updown 15m 1781037900	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb9e3ac…
06-09 20:41:36	btc updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5ae0ec…
06-09 20:11:04	btc updown 15m 1781035200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x73b696…
06-09 19:50:21	btc updown 15m 1781034300	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcf8951…
06-09 19:14:34	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x0e9337…
06-09 19:11:42	btc updown 15m 1781031600	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xcb47fa…
06-09 18:45:57	btc updown 15m 1781030700	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3dd777…
06-09 18:40:06	btc updown 15m 1781029800	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb9003f…
06-09 18:10:48	btc updown 15m 1781028000	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x90b6cf…
06-09 17:50:40	btc updown 15m 1781027100	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x44908c…
06-09 17:10:37	btc updown 15m 1781024400	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd3283b…
06-09 16:49:40	btc updown 15m 1781023500	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x226ee4…
06-09 16:38:36	btc updown 15m 1781022600	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3ace22…
06-09 16:29:01	btc updown 15m 1781021700	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x1a1924…
06-09 16:21:22	btc updown 15m 1781021700	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe4cd08…
06-09 15:45:55	btc updown 15m 1781019900	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9b7139…
06-09 15:45:03	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbfbf9b…
06-09 15:39:51	btc updown 15m 1781019000	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x91ea93…
06-09 15:06:24	btc updown 15m 1781017200	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfe49af…
06-09 14:56:25	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4229fb…
06-09 14:34:16	btc updown 15m 1781015400	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x470ac3…
06-09 14:00:09	btc updown 15m 1781013600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7274e5…
06-09 13:00:54	btc updown 15m 1781010000	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdd199d…
06-09 12:41:10	btc updown 15m 1781008200	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe90760…
06-09 12:15:45	btc updown 15m 1781007300	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x72e4c7…
06-09 11:54:34	btc updown 15m 1781005500	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xddb49b…
06-09 11:16:01	btc updown 15m 1781003700	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfcbcb8…
06-09 10:54:49	btc updown 15m 1781001900	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf07c67…
06-09 10:15:42	btc updown 15m 1781000100	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xaa3337…
06-09 10:14:01	btc updown 15m 1780999200	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb4e35a…
06-09 10:07:00	btc updown 15m 1780999200	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb9d40c…
06-09 09:14:55	btc updown 15m 1780995600	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x037430…
06-09 09:03:01	btc updown 15m 1780995600	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3783d9…
06-09 08:47:45	btc updown 15m 1780994700	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x668a6e…
06-09 08:37:19	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9afe62…
06-09 07:24:10	btc updown 15m 1780989300	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3cf4c6…
06-09 07:14:42	btc updown 15m 1780988400	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x0bcbf8…
06-09 07:07:31	btc updown 15m 1780988400	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2600c8…
06-09 06:59:42	btc updown 15m 1780987500	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x817c55…
06-09 06:49:55	btc updown 15m 1780987500	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x31f73a…
06-09 06:07:15	btc updown 15m 1780984800	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x958d26…
06-09 05:59:22	btc updown 15m 1780983900	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb6460d…
06-09 05:29:34	btc updown 15m 1780982100	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x34e0b8…
06-09 05:21:58	btc updown 15m 1780982100	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x38a9db…
06-09 04:46:39	btc updown 15m 1780980300	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc23ef0…
06-09 04:21:09	btc updown 15m 1780978500	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x253a66…
06-09 03:49:58	btc updown 15m 1780976700	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2be7be…
06-09 03:41:37	btc updown 15m 1780975800	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc87d5a…
06-09 03:05:55	btc updown 15m 1780974000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2ffdb4…
06-09 02:51:34	btc updown 15m 1780973100	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6222da…
06-09 02:25:37	btc updown 15m 1780971300	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4a2de5…
06-09 02:14:01	btc updown 15m 1780970400	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xecb976…
06-09 02:08:27	btc updown 15m 1780970400	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6d2809…
06-09 01:34:27	btc updown 15m 1780968600	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x13d2dc…
06-09 01:19:54	btc updown 15m 1780967700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x449161…
06-08 23:44:22	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xc8563c…
06-08 23:39:13	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x090ba7…
06-08 21:29:01	btc updown 15m 1780953300	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6cb53e…
06-08 21:20:40	btc updown 15m 1780953300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfc3f36…
06-08 20:26:31	btc updown 15m 1780949700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfd62d3…
06-08 13:21:01	btc updown 15m 1780924500	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8d439d…
06-08 13:14:42	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x56f7ad…
06-08 13:10:10	btc updown 15m 1780923600	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb25a81…
06-08 12:54:30	btc updown 15m 1780922700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93c280…
06-08 12:16:55	btc updown 15m 1780920900	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x94b014…
06-08 11:44:45	btc updown 15m 1780918200	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x2d86e8…
06-08 11:35:16	btc updown 15m 1780918200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd5bc41…
06-08 11:07:09	btc updown 15m 1780916400	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6de317…
06-08 10:51:06	btc updown 15m 1780915500	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x87cff0…
06-08 10:34:19	btc updown 15m 1780914600	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6b4450…
06-08 09:36:51	btc updown 15m 1780911000	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xde2aaa…
06-08 08:38:58	btc updown 15m 1780907400	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x384bda…
06-08 08:10:16	btc updown 15m 1780905600	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xedaba7…
06-08 07:04:03	btc updown 15m 1780902000	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc77f06…
06-08 06:18:19	btc updown 15m 1780899300	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x00c5cc…
06-08 05:25:09	btc updown 15m 1780895700	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x54599b…
06-08 05:02:18	btc updown 15m 1780894800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x34f2e4…
06-08 03:20:42	btc updown 15m 1780888500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7f3600…
06-08 02:49:46	btc updown 15m 1780886700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe57c6c…
06-08 02:39:25	btc updown 15m 1780885800	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1788ea…
06-08 02:07:18	btc updown 15m 1780884000	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7bb618…
06-08 01:02:21	btc updown 15m 1780880400	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3ebcf0…
06-08 00:19:48	btc updown 15m 1780877700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc70a4d…
06-08 00:05:16	btc updown 15m 1780876800	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x44faff…
06-07 23:49:40	btc updown 15m 1780875900	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xda2c2e…
06-07 23:40:45	btc updown 15m 1780875000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc8cfc4…
06-07 23:08:04	btc updown 15m 1780873200	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd58e71…
06-07 22:49:01	btc updown 15m 1780872300	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x98c9f9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	968	$586.0K	163,419	06-10 02:09
(anonymous) 0x4336…e51c	968	$1.71K	5,024	06-10 02:12
XGBAWS 0x3f72…bb40	899	$61.0K	3,938	06-10 02:08
Periodic-Setback 0x8e84…cb71	886	$1.67K	3,173	06-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x912a…0f92	867	$109.9K	14,468	06-10 02:11
(anonymous) 0x74a2…e32f	821	$145.5K	30,306	06-10 02:10
Leafy-Blackbird 0x3abb…3405	802	$73.8K	3,663	06-10 01:29
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	764	$94.1K	15,005	06-10 02:09