Ill-Prelude — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

10 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$26

$26 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-08 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up		+5	$2	42¢	$2	$-0	05-08 08:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-07 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-06 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-07 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-08 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-08 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-08 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	05-08 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 08:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x715169…
05-08 07:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xaf370a…
05-08 06:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd7b312…
05-08 04:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa26738…
05-08 02:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xadb5a6…
05-07 21:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x138ce1…
05-07 09:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb9449a…
05-06 18:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x47105e…
05-05 20:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x7567cf…
05-05 20:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd83695…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$1.91K	282	05-08 08:59
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	10	$1.57K	172	05-08 09:00
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	9	$984	82	05-08 08:59
Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d	9	$896	46	05-08 08:59
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	9	$882	45	05-08 08:59
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	9	$735	107	05-08 08:49
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	8	$3.46K	119	05-08 08:59
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	8	$605	57	05-08 08:59