Prickly-Simplification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-17 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$0

Other

28% 83% +$15

Sports

21% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$548	275	275	+0	open	—	04-26 11:42
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$318	160	160	+0	open	—	04-04 09:25
will maverick mcnealy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$310	156	156	+0	open	—	03-29 08:35
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$309	155	155	+0	No	$-0	04-08 04:38
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$296	149	149	+0	open	—	03-20 12:48
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$285	143	143	+0	open	—	03-09 07:01
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$285	143	143	+0	open	—	03-12 07:08
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$284	143	143	+0	open	—	03-09 07:26
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$283	141	141	+0	open	—	03-03 08:34
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$283	142	142	+0	open	—	03-02 07:50
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	03-18 04:04
Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$273	137	137	+0	open	—	04-20 06:01
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$263	131	131	+0	open	—	04-24 04:34
bitcoin above 72k on april 3	1	$159	159	0	+159	open	—	04-03 03:50
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 2	1	$159	159	0	+159	open	—	04-02 05:59
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	1	$159	159	0	+159	open	—	04-01 06:14
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	1	$159	159	0	+159	open	—	03-30 07:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$159	159	0	+159	open	—	03-31 04:49
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	03-28 10:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	06-26 10:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	03-27 13:08
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 26	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	03-26 15:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	04-07 10:39
ethereum above 1900 on april 8	1	$155	155	0	+155	open	—	04-08 04:41
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$154	155	0	+155	open	—	04-06 06:20
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	1	$154	154	0	+154	open	—	04-04 09:32
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	1	$154	154	0	+154	open	—	05-24 09:11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$154	154	0	+154	open	—	05-22 12:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	05-21 05:23
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 20?	1	$153	153	0	+153	open	—	05-20 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 09:10:52	will spy dip to 720 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x76d435…
07-17 09:06:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc377ed…
06-26 10:36:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x371620…
05-31 07:37:32	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x23d942…
05-31 07:33:18	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x1d5751…
05-30 12:16:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x13ae8e…
05-30 12:11:18	Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x57c368…
05-28 12:59:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xbc7cd6…
05-27 08:31:20	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xeff8bb…
05-26 04:34:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x5c2a5a…
05-26 04:07:52	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb7317b…
05-24 09:11:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x1110ad…
05-24 09:04:03	Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka	Reilly Opelka	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6aba9b…
05-23 10:32:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x448893…
05-23 09:12:35	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc4030b…
05-22 12:04:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xbbdddc…
05-21 05:23:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xf5c833…
05-20 11:20:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xcad5c2…
05-20 11:15:13	Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Vici Gaming	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x067a72…
05-19 11:51:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9792ae…
05-19 11:44:43	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tristan Schoolkate vs Kimmer Coppejans	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xe4e817…
05-18 04:19:37	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x07db4f…
05-15 09:22:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x41b06c…
05-14 08:09:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xbfc15b…
05-12 19:39:54	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	147	94¢	$138	0x531d7a…
05-11 06:32:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x43a07c…
05-11 05:01:52	Zagreb: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Luka Pavlovic	Joao Lucas Da Silva	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x203ff5…
05-09 04:59:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xe4c89e…
05-08 04:29:03	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x10561f…
05-07 08:34:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x52de1d…
05-07 02:48:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdad900…
05-02 06:51:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0x20b29b…
05-01 06:35:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x4008aa…
04-30 06:28:36	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of April?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x008cc6…
04-28 08:09:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xc60bc7…
04-27 03:23:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x927bea…
04-27 03:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0x012a51…
04-27 02:45:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7e4ea4…
04-27 02:45:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	1,025	0¢	$2	0x6d9f43…
04-27 02:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	1,300	0¢	$3	0xbec1d7…
04-27 02:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,605	0¢	$3	0xdaa454…
04-26 12:24:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x68e35c…
04-26 12:11:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0xe98669…
04-26 12:09:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd15a2d…
04-26 12:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,125	0¢	$4	0x4e8bc5…
04-26 11:42:34	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x561de4…
04-26 11:22:26	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x6124f2…
04-25 12:06:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x25e7a1…
04-25 11:56:08	Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb3388c…
04-24 05:07:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xa5555d…
04-24 04:34:46	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x72533f…
04-22 11:28:22	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xb291f5…
04-22 11:26:52	bitcoin above 74k on april 22	No	BUY	805	0¢	$2	0x3fdff3…
04-22 11:24:52	ethereum above 2200 on april 22	No	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0x867b76…
04-21 09:28:38	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xb43295…
04-20 07:54:34	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x3f33e9…
04-20 06:04:48	dota2 liquid vg 2026 04 20	Vici Gaming	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xb86d04…
04-20 06:01:46	Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$136	0xb97122…
04-20 05:16:36	Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x3efb14…
04-19 07:49:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xa793fb…
04-17 10:54:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x1d80a9…
04-17 10:25:42	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe1d188…
04-14 02:44:41	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x20cba7…
04-13 00:55:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 13	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x7220ab…
04-13 00:31:35	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xea2f44…
04-13 00:30:35	ethereum above 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	840	0¢	$2	0x1a55f5…
04-13 00:30:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x1565f3…
04-13 00:29:45	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	No	BUY	1,600	0¢	$3	0xf9a4af…
04-12 10:08:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x3293cf…
04-11 09:46:15	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x4dbaa1…
04-11 07:53:19	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xfc6398…
04-10 10:17:41	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x309b9d…
04-09 06:06:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0x6fa660…
04-09 06:05:03	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	Yes	BUY	660	0¢	$1	0x8b885c…
04-09 06:03:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	685	0¢	$1	0xbdf624…
04-08 04:41:47	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xbf68b8…
04-08 04:38:09	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xaa925d…
04-08 04:21:17	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x6cd544…
04-07 10:39:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xd6278e…
04-06 06:20:41	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0xee42ab…
04-04 09:32:37	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x70f3cb…
04-04 09:27:01	nhl buf wsh 2026 04 04	Sabres	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4b701d…
04-04 09:25:39	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0x4c7ce3…
04-04 09:07:23	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x28a184…
04-03 03:50:59	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x238aee…
04-02 05:59:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 2	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xf7c6c5…
04-01 06:14:17	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x5d051e…
03-31 04:49:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x151187…
03-30 07:31:36	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xf114be…
03-29 08:43:48	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	152	99¢	$151	0x0b5ef8…
03-29 08:35:52	lol png1 vks 2026 03 29	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x69fcec…
03-29 08:35:10	will maverick mcnealy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0x7f3644…
03-29 08:14:50	will maverick mcnealy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	156	99¢	$155	0xd8945b…
03-28 10:37:51	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 28	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x1d0e29…
03-28 02:24:37	will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 27	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6ee88b…
03-28 02:24:29	will xrp reach 1pt4 on march 27	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1314d1…
03-27 13:08:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x202866…
03-26 15:11:03	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 26	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x769fad…
03-25 08:43:03	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x62be1b…
03-25 08:42:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x6df863…