Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.44K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

155

Trades

591

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$226

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 10-27 22:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

75% 80% +$2,374

Other

25% 57% +$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+200	$128	66¢	$131	+$3	10-26 09:19
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	+120	$65	78¢	$94	+$29	10-16 06:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+38	$14	2¢	$1	-$13	10-23 16:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	30	$3.3K	3,897	2,543	+1,354	Yes	+$1,561	10-25 23:20
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	35	$1.8K	2,120	2,120	+0	open	—	10-27 20:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$1.5K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	10-27 18:59
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	11	$1.4K	1,465	1,465	+0	open	—	10-27 20:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	35	$862	4,558	4,031	+527	No	+$622	10-25 23:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$697	400	400	+0	open	—	10-27 22:48
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	11	$644	520	520	+0	open	—	10-27 22:50
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	11	$511	754	754	+0	open	—	10-14 03:39
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	3	$388	400	200	+200	open	—	10-26 09:19
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	13	$356	507	507	+0	open	—	10-27 22:51
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	9	$269	278	278	+0	open	—	10-25 18:08
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	6	$198	190	190	+0	Yes	+$2	10-25 16:11
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	7	$192	200	200	+0	No	+$22	10-25 17:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$176	200	200	+0	open	—	10-27 05:01
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	10-25 10:22
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	10-22 18:51
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	9	$151	507	507	+0	open	—	10-27 21:12
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	7	$150	92	92	+0	No	+$34	10-05 15:35
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	10-22 18:49
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	2	$136	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 12:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$110	150	0	+150	Yes	+$40	10-26 20:58
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	3	$92	100	100	+0	No	+$8	10-25 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?	4	$91	67	67	+0	Yes	+$31	07-15 05:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$82	50	50	+0	No	-$2	10-15 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 23?	6	$82	118	60	+58	No	-$31	07-23 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?	9	$77	100	40	+60	Yes	+$40	07-21 07:30
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	2	$74	60	60	+0	open	—	10-22 08:10
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	2	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	10-12 20:23
Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election?	3	$68	120	120	+0	open	—	10-16 04:46
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	2	$66	74	0	+74	Yes	+$8	08-04 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:59:23	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2f0fce…
10-27 22:51:05	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	122	12¢	$15	0xd8779e…
10-27 22:50:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	107	27¢	$29	0xcf25ed…
10-27 22:48:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x9a4a68…
10-27 22:47:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$167	0xd1a1cc…
10-27 21:25:39	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	132	32¢	$42	0xe69e25…
10-27 21:12:03	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	507	0¢	$3	0x1b5fae…
10-27 20:33:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x974939…
10-27 20:32:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xb6e88f…
10-27 20:32:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x29d935…
10-27 20:29:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0x278592…
10-27 20:29:51	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	38	43¢	$16	0xfa900e…
10-27 20:29:51	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	55	43¢	$24	0x6b9669…
10-27 20:27:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	66	18¢	$12	0x1efd11…
10-27 20:26:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	99	17¢	$17	0xe7dfbf…
10-27 20:20:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	46	46¢	$21	0x224579…
10-27 20:14:57	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	260	43¢	$112	0xf39748…
10-27 20:12:18	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	103	29¢	$30	0x7063fe…
10-27 20:12:18	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	150	29¢	$44	0x38f9e9…
10-27 20:11:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	206	18¢	$37	0xd5ced9…
10-27 20:11:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	390	18¢	$70	0x6e5fb8…
10-27 20:11:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xb28c2d…
10-27 20:11:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	166	20¢	$33	0x4fc109…
10-27 20:11:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xa88fd6…
10-27 20:11:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x93fed5…
10-27 20:10:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	253	16¢	$40	0xa4c4c2…
10-27 20:10:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	807	16¢	$129	0x1f232e…
10-27 20:04:12	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,465	25¢	$366	0x6a9090…
10-27 19:13:02	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	48¢	$72	0x74037a…
10-27 19:13:02	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x333289…
10-27 19:13:02	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	127	29¢	$36	0x3076db…
10-27 19:10:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x9304f6…
10-27 19:10:35	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	122	67¢	$82	0x2e3aed…
10-27 19:06:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xf63feb…
10-27 19:01:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0xaec841…
10-27 19:00:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xcf0229…
10-27 18:59:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	196	75¢	$147	0x19c57e…
10-27 18:56:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	196	76¢	$148	0xa6cb0d…
10-27 18:48:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0x5ceebd…
10-27 18:44:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x8f4a2e…
10-27 18:35:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x64ed92…
10-27 18:25:54	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0xab27b9…
10-27 15:32:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	150	82¢	$123	0x967cae…
10-27 15:32:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x3c51bd…
10-27 15:29:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x3d9cf5…
10-27 15:27:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0x762bc5…
10-27 13:22:20	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$23	0xcc7b2d…
10-27 13:20:38	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x5321f9…
10-27 13:20:09	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xa15979…
10-27 12:01:30	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x64876b…
10-27 11:43:45	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xbbaf56…
10-27 11:16:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xa328a8…
10-27 10:14:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x5501e8…
10-27 07:27:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xb10e51…
10-27 07:01:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x18b055…
10-27 05:57:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	137	72¢	$99	0xc52d96…
10-27 05:56:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc95f44…
10-27 05:56:29	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x94531b…
10-27 05:56:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8e0e66…
10-27 05:54:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x9a1621…
10-27 05:51:44	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x233e1c…
10-27 05:02:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0xad7780…
10-27 05:01:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x97734a…
10-26 20:58:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x093ed6…
10-26 20:38:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x0b3229…
10-26 20:09:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0x4f8bf9…
10-26 19:01:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$37	0xd599f8…
10-26 09:19:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x7355ee…
10-26 09:18:30	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf79d6b…
10-26 09:18:30	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	42¢	$32	0x887812…
10-26 09:06:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xdf1bf1…
10-26 08:56:17	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x669073…
10-26 08:53:12	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0xd33c6e…
10-26 08:53:12	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x9c2ca1…
10-26 08:53:05	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x4d2542…
10-26 08:46:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	400	73¢	$292	0xb3c72f…
10-26 08:41:14	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x3df57e…
10-26 08:28:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	139	73¢	$102	0xa10e1f…
10-26 08:24:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	61	73¢	$44	0xfa6adc…
10-26 07:52:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x13fb22…
10-26 06:34:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xe4a845…
10-26 05:03:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x501d12…
10-25 23:40:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	661	10¢	$69	0x5762c3…
10-25 23:36:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	211	72¢	$152	0x2472d1…
10-25 23:30:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	90	15¢	$14	0x3200cc…
10-25 23:20:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,354	88¢	$1,189	0x46f4d0…
10-25 23:06:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	188	85¢	$159	0x824c85…
10-25 23:06:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	112	85¢	$95	0x8b2c2b…
10-25 22:57:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	198	10¢	$19	0x139b98…
10-25 22:56:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	151	10¢	$15	0x196d0a…
10-25 22:53:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	203	70¢	$142	0x383cd6…
10-25 22:53:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x1c8569…
10-25 22:50:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	143	9¢	$13	0x885ab6…
10-25 22:49:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x9fd5f2…
10-25 22:49:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x4686fc…
10-25 22:47:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xc90335…
10-25 22:45:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	442	11¢	$49	0xe7bb02…
10-25 22:42:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	710	16¢	$114	0x3dc08b…
10-25 22:36:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	134	68¢	$90	0xd79cda…
10-25 22:36:11	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	134	68¢	$91	0x9b12e7…