Guilty-Sociology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.3%

Resolved

Trades

922

lifetime

Volume

$37.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-27 20:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

53% 37% +$46

Crypto

44% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	9	$3.2K	7,340	7,340	+0	open	—	02-02 06:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$2.4K	96,500	96,500	+0	open	—	03-24 22:04
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$2.2K	1,831	1,831	+0	open	—	03-13 23:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	7	$2.0K	7,002	6,615	+388	open	—	04-08 13:05
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-15 12:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$2.0K	1,061	1,057	+3	open	—	04-17 14:45
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	02-05 10:56
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	12	$1.4K	4,574	4,574	+0	open	—	02-12 12:33
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$1.3K	6,800	6,800	+0	open	—	02-07 14:43
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	8	$1.3K	2,030	2,030	+0	open	—	02-09 07:47
tur fen riz 2026 04 17 btts	4	$1.2K	926	906	+20	open	—	04-17 18:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	4	$1.2K	898	889	+9	open	—	04-17 14:09
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$1.1K	1,423	1,423	+0	open	—	02-13 15:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$965	504	503	+1	open	—	04-17 15:28
will ethereum dip to 1200 in february 2026	9	$699	10,258	10,258	+0	open	—	02-04 17:37
tur kar fen 2026 03 13 fen	3	$485	421	421	+0	open	—	03-13 17:21
bitcoin up or down on february 4	9	$482	588	588	+0	open	—	02-04 07:29
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	11	$472	611	611	+0	open	—	01-29 15:43
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	3	$441	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	02-02 06:31
tur goz gal 2026 04 08 btts	1	$432	771	0	+771	open	—	04-08 13:07
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	6	$356	304	304	+0	open	—	03-18 18:14
tur kar fen 2026 03 13 draw	2	$270	500	500	+0	open	—	03-13 17:20
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	13	$259	1,111	1,050	+61	open	—	04-01 07:36
bitcoin up or down on february 9	2	$243	300	300	+0	open	—	02-09 07:42
bitcoin up or down on february 5	4	$238	1,080	1,080	+0	open	—	02-05 10:54
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	4	$228	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 13:10
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$182	159	159	+0	open	—	04-30 11:16
will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	2	$126	78	78	+0	open	—	06-05 14:03
bitcoin up or down on february 28	17	$121	760	760	+0	open	—	02-28 15:36
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	5	$121	90	90	+0	open	—	05-02 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 20:16:47	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x733ba5…
06-26 06:56:22	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0xc665b7…
06-25 09:23:43	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x528e05…
06-25 09:22:46	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x48aa01…
06-25 09:22:08	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x4a3bf7…
06-23 07:33:32	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	SELL	61	38¢	$23	0xbffe48…
06-22 18:55:19	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xe5e6ed…
06-22 11:12:56	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xbd7634…
06-22 11:11:26	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xd6e85e…
06-22 11:09:16	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x335573…
06-20 09:17:29	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x4ca70a…
06-20 09:16:44	es2 alm mal 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xa373de…
06-19 09:53:10	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x360305…
06-15 10:37:52	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x07a300…
06-05 18:26:06	will hyperliquid reach 76 in june	No	SELL	130	50¢	$65	0x9fa18e…
06-05 15:59:15	will hyperliquid reach 76 in june	No	SELL	70	51¢	$35	0xbeb40f…
06-05 14:03:55	will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	No	SELL	78	85¢	$66	0x6c2ae4…
06-04 20:37:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x4c0a8e…
06-04 15:32:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xcb1ced…
06-04 12:48:40	will hyperliquid reach 88 in june	No	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x471c38…
06-01 21:39:32	Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa7bbfe…
05-31 15:49:59	CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$12	0x613f7b…
05-30 10:01:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc5c362…
05-24 13:07:22	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x669cbe…
05-24 13:07:17	SD Eibar vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x32c997…
05-24 13:07:11	Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xab72ed…
05-24 13:07:06	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x7ecfb0…
05-24 13:06:59	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$12	0xe585e2…
05-24 13:06:54	SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x9cdb73…
05-24 13:06:49	Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xe17bf5…
05-24 13:06:43	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xbfa3d2…
05-24 12:57:43	US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0x028e0b…
05-24 12:56:59	US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xd36394…
05-24 12:51:32	Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x036cb3…
05-24 12:50:55	Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x3cb15d…
05-24 12:48:10	SD Eibar vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf8a49c…
05-24 12:46:45	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb5da18…
05-24 12:44:25	SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x7ac75f…
05-24 12:29:55	US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x74abb9…
05-24 12:28:50	US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x112075…
05-24 11:52:21	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x10fb47…
05-24 11:50:46	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x0ce64c…
05-24 11:49:05	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$11	0xb0df82…
05-23 11:58:15	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb3cd56…
05-23 11:56:39	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdb7e9d…
05-23 11:55:15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0x217c11…
05-23 11:54:45	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x50a7f0…
05-23 11:54:17	Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0xf5cb70…
05-23 11:53:56	Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x029825…
05-23 11:53:35	Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x430cac…
05-23 11:53:07	Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xc0eb5e…
05-23 11:52:37	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x9e398e…
05-23 11:52:11	RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x19a3c2…
05-23 11:51:31	Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x2f3069…
05-23 08:23:04	Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xab37ba…
05-21 09:58:00	AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x47bacd…
05-21 09:57:33	Brøndby IF vs. FC København: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6312ff…
05-20 09:01:59	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x979ffd…
05-20 09:00:12	IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x20ca6a…
05-20 09:00:10	IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xea447f…
05-19 17:11:19	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x227502…
05-17 21:24:31	Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1638c6…
05-17 21:17:13	Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x25aa1a…
05-17 11:33:23	Trabzonspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x4a3f7f…
05-17 11:31:28	Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x453176…
05-17 11:28:38	Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xc39e95…
05-17 11:27:47	Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x4969eb…
05-17 11:24:33	Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa04363…
05-17 11:23:13	Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x24b503…
05-17 11:21:38	Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5de7ab…
05-17 11:20:21	CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x5f2483…
05-17 11:19:46	Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xad6545…
05-17 11:19:22	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xcff82f…
05-17 11:18:50	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4cf1ff…
05-17 11:17:56	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc19669…
05-17 11:17:21	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc94209…
05-17 11:16:44	Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xd252e7…
05-17 11:15:32	Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x2acac1…
05-17 11:09:49	Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xdd0e24…
05-16 15:17:22	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x33a6d4…
05-16 15:14:48	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xbfd133…
05-16 14:02:25	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc54314…
05-16 12:48:08	Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xcf7093…
05-16 10:45:22	Falkirk FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xab63b0…
05-16 10:44:59	Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0a585e…
05-16 10:44:03	Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x9cb954…
05-16 10:38:52	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x8d893e…
05-15 10:48:39	CD Castellón vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x43ad77…
05-15 10:32:57	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1d6bac…
05-14 14:55:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x6a170f…
05-14 13:39:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x647478…
05-13 14:48:32	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x11a718…
05-13 14:45:51	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x15fd81…
05-13 14:44:31	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x2c8c54…
05-13 14:43:19	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xeb47b7…
05-13 14:40:22	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb99465…
05-12 12:23:07	Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9feafc…
05-11 19:21:32	Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xc89e54…
05-11 09:56:27	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xb19891…
05-11 09:55:44	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1daf7e…