Loyal-Someplace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$915

Unrealized P&L

+$112

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

301

Trades

1,560

lifetime

Volume

$112.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$599

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-03 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 46% -$2,401

Other

36% 64% +$1,585

Tech

2% 0% -$361

Sports

1% 67% +$292

Politics

0% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+200	$134	99¢	$198	+$64	10-27 06:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+190	$124	68¢	$128	+$4	10-28 06:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	+145	$109	68¢	$99	-$10	11-03 02:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+200	$51	48¢	$96	+$45	10-28 16:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+100	$69	78¢	$78	+$9	11-01 18:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 21?	5	$4.8K	5,158	0	+5,158	No	+$322	09-21 13:58
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	28	$4.1K	3,538	3,538	+0	Down	-$1,049	06-29 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 28?	6	$3.9K	2,220	2,220	+0	No	-$124	09-28 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?	10	$3.6K	2,205	2,205	+0	Up	+$7	07-29 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	17	$3.5K	2,551	2,551	+0	Up	+$679	09-11 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	25	$2.8K	3,709	800	+2,909	Up	-$2,370	09-24 13:44
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	32	$2.4K	2,749	1,295	+1,454	No	-$361	09-09 08:52
bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	18	$2.2K	2,996	1,455	+1,541	Down	+$615	06-24 13:06
bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	13	$2.2K	1,746	1,746	+0	Down	+$1,109	09-15 08:08
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	12	$2.2K	1,350	1,350	+0	Team Spirit	+$340	08-23 13:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 21?	9	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$158	09-21 13:58
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen - Map 4 Winner	14	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Gentle Mates GC	+$0	08-30 12:28
val vit 100t1 2026 10 17 game4	8	$1.6K	1,900	700	+1,200	Team Vitality	+$277	10-17 11:04
bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	21	$1.5K	1,923	1,161	+762	Down	-$209	08-11 14:37
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner	1	$1.5K	1,791	0	+1,791	100 Thieves	+$305	10-11 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?	19	$1.4K	2,044	444	+1,600	Up	+$624	09-22 13:15
bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	14	$1.4K	1,022	1,022	+0	Down	+$673	08-13 16:01
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	2	$1.2K	1,411	0	+1,411	Natus Vincere	+$162	09-11 15:29
dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	16	$1.2K	1,450	650	+800	Team Liquid	-$36	08-21 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	29	$1.2K	999	999	+0	Up	+$630	10-29 14:37
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner	10	$1.2K	1,330	100	+1,230	Movistar KOI	+$97	09-18 18:39
val g21 pr1 2026 09 29 game1	10	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	G2 Esports	-$587	09-29 09:52
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	4	$1.1K	650	650	+0	Team Spirit	+$207	08-23 10:16
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner	7	$1.0K	1,200	700	+500	LOUD	-$245	10-18 07:33
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	2	$1.0K	545	545	+0	Up	+$65	06-27 15:54
lol gen hle1 2026 09 13	6	$960	500	500	+0	Gen.G	+$0	09-13 08:44
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner	11	$869	1,100	0	+1,100	LOUD	+$231	09-26 13:27
val vit loud 2026 10 16	4	$851	1,100	200	+900	LOUD	+$225	10-16 09:15
bitcoin up or down on july 15 2026	12	$824	530	530	+0	Up	+$108	07-15 15:30
solana up or down on august 28 2026	2	$822	600	600	+0	Down	+$18	08-28 11:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 15:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	185	30¢	$56	0xbe7376…
11-03 15:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xbd89ab…
11-03 15:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	45	30¢	$14	0x6da071…
11-03 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	46	30¢	$14	0x8991ec…
11-03 15:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	52	30¢	$16	0x84c570…
11-03 15:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x2076d3…
11-03 15:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xa2135b…
11-03 15:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	58	30¢	$17	0x85ada8…
11-03 14:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xa47384…
11-03 13:28:42	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x1c22dd…
11-03 13:24:36	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x84174f…
11-03 04:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x5c58b7…
11-03 02:34:19	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xc604cf…
11-02 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0x1acd61…
11-02 21:44:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x8ffdc0…
11-02 15:59:31	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x198b3d…
11-02 07:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x340a22…
11-02 07:20:07	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xec91e6…
11-01 18:00:48	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x33fa92…
11-01 17:41:21	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x07ceb9…
11-01 00:59:49	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x0d8c66…
10-31 17:05:34	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x11103a…
10-31 17:04:40	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xee47a8…
10-31 16:57:21	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xd33204…
10-31 16:43:51	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	177	70¢	$124	0xa6e1f1…
10-31 16:43:49	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	123	70¢	$86	0x01ad87…
10-31 16:41:12	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xa16b60…
10-31 15:34:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x275756…
10-31 15:34:57	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x7cd46b…
10-31 15:34:55	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xec5396…
10-31 15:23:15	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x873bd9…
10-31 15:12:16	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x49dbb0…
10-31 15:07:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x12c710…
10-31 14:20:31	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x446586…
10-31 14:15:55	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x3c835d…
10-31 14:15:36	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	288	37¢	$107	0x5d0b05…
10-31 13:52:03	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	660	91¢	$601	0x7e7b9e…
10-31 13:41:18	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xd55252…
10-31 13:06:30	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x1b98c5…
10-31 12:39:09	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x248093…
10-31 12:27:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xac0b0f…
10-31 11:34:46	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xad1315…
10-31 06:42:42	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xcfdbb2…
10-29 20:01:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	148	34¢	$50	0x600892…
10-29 20:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	195	20¢	$39	0x52ab4d…
10-29 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x84a3e0…
10-29 20:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x910c08…
10-29 20:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8c1775…
10-29 17:55:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0030cf…
10-29 17:55:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0xea618e…
10-29 17:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	74	25¢	$19	0x77da1a…
10-29 17:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x714f22…
10-29 17:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x56e044…
10-29 17:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0x6f3dd0…
10-29 17:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	255	25¢	$64	0xde2808…
10-29 17:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x14e997…
10-29 17:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	52	30¢	$15	0x05e8a9…
10-29 17:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0x43bdd0…
10-29 17:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x2cac2d…
10-29 17:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xb17f08…
10-29 17:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0xb374e3…
10-29 16:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x781afe…
10-29 15:10:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	250	54¢	$135	0xa50d79…
10-29 14:39:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xb6de36…
10-29 14:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	325	93¢	$302	0xf887b1…
10-29 14:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x9b2a64…
10-29 14:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	342	93¢	$318	0xc58b0d…
10-29 14:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	SELL	309	93¢	$288	0x953f3a…
10-29 06:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x50734f…
10-29 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xcda1df…
10-29 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	47	25¢	$12	0x7518b5…
10-29 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	126	25¢	$32	0x28d77b…
10-29 02:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	49	25¢	$12	0xc43d4f…
10-29 02:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x4b2517…
10-29 02:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xbf0d10…
10-29 02:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x865ece…
10-29 02:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0xc92fba…
10-29 02:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xc01a35…
10-29 02:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	47	25¢	$12	0x5bab5f…
10-29 02:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x5b208b…
10-29 02:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x9206e4…
10-29 02:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0x0c484e…
10-29 02:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	78	30¢	$23	0x8a6364…
10-29 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x8e0478…
10-29 02:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x4e9b51…
10-29 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x19ac6d…
10-29 02:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0xf36ae2…
10-29 02:24:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x158d8f…
10-29 02:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0xd9ef8c…
10-29 01:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x079886…
10-29 01:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x1f6c57…
10-29 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf02967…
10-29 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x8af7d1…
10-29 01:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x33520b…
10-29 01:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x14e812…
10-28 18:22:50	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x818d40…
10-28 18:12:35	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xf676f7…
10-28 16:13:16	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$51	0x8e1824…
10-28 16:12:11	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0xc2141a…
10-28 16:12:05	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0x28ac88…