Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$108

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-20 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$54

Politics

18% 100% +$12

Crypto

7% 80% -$73

Sports

4% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+50	$48	98¢	$49	+$0	10-19 12:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$29	98¢	$29	+$1	10-19 13:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+30	$28	97¢	$29	+$2	07-27 03:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$344	180	180	+0	No	+$9	04-25 10:19
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$267	140	140	+0	No	+$7	03-23 07:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$267	271	0	+271	No	+$4	05-06 03:47
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	1	$229	230	0	+230	No	+$1	03-07 08:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$229	231	0	+231	No	+$1	04-25 10:21
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$226	228	0	+228	No	+$2	01-09 07:52
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$173	181	0	+181	No	+$8	06-11 09:36
iran leadership change by august 15	3	$148	149	0	+149	No	+$2	08-08 19:45
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 20°C on August 31?	1	$116	117	0	+117	Yes	+$1	08-31 02:40
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$105	54	54	+0	No	+$1	04-25 10:20
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$1	04-15 03:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$101	117	0	+117	Yes	+$16	03-15 10:44
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	04-22 06:57
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	2	$100	51	50	+0	No	+$0	02-24 04:12
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	03-29 06:12
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-13 07:14
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	06-11 09:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	07-27 03:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	2	$79	80	0	+80	No	+$1	09-18 02:05
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 30?	1	$77	78	0	+78	No	+$1	08-30 07:35
Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?	1	$73	79	0	+79	Yes	-$73	10-20 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 27?	1	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	07-27 03:03
will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$1	02-04 07:38
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	02-04 07:37
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or below on August 30?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	08-30 07:51
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	07-29 07:39
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$0	02-24 04:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-04 07:36
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	07-27 03:35
iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	1	$49	52	0	+52	No	+$2	08-08 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 01:49:02	Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x84e9bd…
10-20 01:44:02	Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?	No	BUY	79	93¢	$73	0x8eb27c…
10-19 13:19:56	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5dabdc…
10-19 13:12:05	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xe3b19a…
10-19 13:09:29	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xadbed2…
10-19 12:47:26	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x7b1c81…
10-19 12:46:15	Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x925a4f…
09-29 13:02:29	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6368d2…
09-18 02:17:40	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x7b7b5e…
09-18 02:10:40	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xe6a08c…
09-18 02:10:28	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1e8691…
09-18 02:06:04	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xbf174b…
09-18 02:05:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe96120…
09-18 02:04:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x2012dd…
09-18 02:03:45	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x8c0961…
09-11 10:24:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x128215…
09-11 10:21:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd66b4c…
08-31 02:40:22	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xb00e22…
08-31 02:40:12	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 20°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x8ef871…
08-30 07:51:25	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x4ab13c…
08-30 07:51:06	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on August 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x731e63…
08-30 07:35:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 30?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x86ee64…
08-08 19:45:58	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6647ed…
08-08 19:41:52	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x63add1…
08-08 03:59:28	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	52	96¢	$49	0x6d627b…
08-08 03:59:10	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xc9bfc5…
07-29 07:39:35	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x4a4249…
07-29 07:34:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb88b73…
07-27 03:37:16	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x8c0437…
07-27 03:36:48	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b468e…
07-27 03:35:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xea98c3…
07-27 03:28:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x2457e9…
07-27 03:10:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x74a0db…
07-27 03:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xb18e0f…
07-27 02:54:03	will tsla dip to 262 50 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x25263f…
07-27 02:51:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5f0cbe…
06-11 09:36:46	Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	181	96¢	$173	0xa91d79…
06-11 09:07:12	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9a56f1…
05-06 03:47:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	271	98¢	$267	0x0896f8…
04-25 10:21:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	231	99¢	$229	0x801eb2…
04-25 10:20:06	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x145e70…
04-25 10:19:54	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	180	98¢	$176	0x3d74d1…
04-22 06:57:10	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$51	0xc7c530…
04-22 06:57:00	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xf24947…
04-15 03:34:28	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x137b61…
04-15 03:34:08	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x79496e…
04-03 05:30:17	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	95¢	$117	0xbd672c…
03-29 06:41:34	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1f42fe…
03-29 06:12:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x7419c9…
03-23 07:55:11	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x681712…
03-23 07:54:55	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x063ecc…
03-23 07:54:47	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x485a6b…
03-23 07:39:39	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0xd0c483…
03-15 10:44:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$101	0x7a8416…
03-13 07:14:55	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x2ab74a…
03-13 07:14:25	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaede4f…
03-07 08:54:25	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x2d0978…
02-24 04:18:06	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x236da9…
02-24 04:12:56	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf42ff1…
02-04 07:38:30	will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xb0c12b…
02-04 07:37:10	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x763e93…
02-04 07:36:18	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6f4167…
02-04 07:36:12	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd96c5a…
01-09 07:52:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0xc25279…