Instructive-Authorization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$178

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-11 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 52% $-3

Other

37% 12% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bengaluru 2: Dominik Palan vs Maan Kesharwani	10	$22	25	25	+0	Dominik Palan	$-0	05-11 10:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova	9	$14	30	30	+0	Sorana Cirstea	$-0	05-11 09:44
Bengaluru 2: Alex Hernandez vs Yuta Kawahashi	6	$10	15	15	+0	Yuta Kawahashi	$-0	05-11 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$8	10	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-11 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 09:17
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6am et	4	$5	10	10	+0	open	—	06-08 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$5	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 13:41
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	4	$4	10	10	+0	Anyone's Legend	$-1	05-11 11:48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Iga Swiatek	8	$4	20	20	+0	Iga Swiatek	+$1	05-08 11:50
btc updown 4h 1780905600	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 10:10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx	2	$4	5	5	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$0	05-08 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-08 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$3	5	5	+0	Up	$-2	05-12 10:07
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	3	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 05:56
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5am et	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	06-11 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:42
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 5am et	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 09:41
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	06-08 12:31
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia	4	$2	10	10	+0	Hong Kong, China	$-0	05-11 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	06-08 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 09:27:40	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x418fef…
06-11 09:07:15	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5f016c…
06-10 12:36:07	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x94b690…
06-10 12:36:07	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x1587b5…
06-10 12:34:16	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9f6659…
06-10 12:33:48	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xad2cbd…
06-10 11:43:42	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe35f19…
06-10 11:37:46	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe40208…
06-10 11:15:58	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe9b68e…
06-10 11:06:21	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x974d5b…
06-09 07:28:58	btc updown 4h 1780977600	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x0874dd…
06-09 05:19:03	btc updown 4h 1780977600	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8f07fc…
06-08 12:31:07	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x243519…
06-08 12:03:57	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x20280e…
06-08 11:43:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xba37f3…
06-08 11:19:46	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4ac698…
06-08 10:34:16	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x322565…
06-08 10:26:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6c9cac…
06-08 10:15:54	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4f920e…
06-08 10:13:27	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xe13671…
06-08 10:12:06	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x772a3c…
06-08 10:10:13	btc updown 4h 1780905600	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe80eb8…
06-08 09:51:13	btc updown 4h 1780905600	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x102583…
06-08 09:41:01	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xd39fc2…
06-08 09:39:21	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x815fa7…
06-08 05:50:39	btc updown 4h 1780891200	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x022eb9…
06-08 05:48:09	btc updown 4h 1780891200	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xa899ec…
06-02 11:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdfa610…
06-02 11:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x0c4ccd…
06-02 10:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xe8f225…
05-26 07:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xffa4f2…
05-26 07:42:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x52ef56…
05-26 07:34:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4bd887…
05-26 07:28:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0a3abf…
05-26 06:27:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd5615e…
05-26 06:22:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x02eb95…
05-26 06:22:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc55237…
05-22 13:25:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9cc882…
05-22 13:20:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd62d51…
05-22 12:34:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x015cef…
05-22 11:50:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2c1293…
05-15 10:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xeafcdb…
05-15 09:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x249510…
05-15 09:12:34	Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys	Botic van de Zandschulp	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x4e120a…
05-15 09:12:18	Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys	Botic van de Zandschulp	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x4d10dd…
05-15 09:10:18	Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xcecd25…
05-15 09:09:44	Bordeaux: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Quentin Halys	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x307146…
05-15 08:59:25	Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Oxuji Esports	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x930faf…
05-15 08:56:35	Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Oxuji Esports	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x915a8e…
05-15 08:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe27bc3…
05-15 08:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2c584c…
05-15 07:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xaec9d7…
05-15 07:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x99789f…
05-15 07:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7b2ae8…
05-15 06:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2d893a…
05-13 13:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x48403c…
05-13 13:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x03c967…
05-13 13:57:05	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x10819b…
05-13 12:21:55	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xfa3d6f…
05-13 12:20:48	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xa2e88c…
05-13 12:19:16	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x58bc90…
05-13 12:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0xff79b9…
05-13 12:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xeaf9cf…
05-13 11:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x1748e3…
05-13 11:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x316e37…
05-13 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x090cd2…
05-13 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xa67955…
05-13 10:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x7ed4cd…
05-13 10:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x68579f…
05-13 09:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xee1652…
05-13 09:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x02c9ce…
05-13 09:24:14	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x497284…
05-13 09:22:17	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xa4fef4…
05-13 09:22:13	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x28f0ab…
05-13 09:09:48	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd75f0b…
05-13 08:26:38	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb5bddd…
05-13 08:20:07	Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kokoro Isomura	Kokoro Isomura	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc7a9af…
05-13 08:15:47	Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kokoro Isomura	Kokoro Isomura	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2c05b1…
05-13 05:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x65b4d9…
05-13 05:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$1	0xeb1afd…
05-13 05:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x86a693…
05-13 05:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x94e0f2…
05-13 05:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7a4d35…
05-12 11:49:05	Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kuan-Yi Lee	Kuan-Yi Lee	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc4db04…
05-12 11:40:53	Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kuan-Yi Lee	Kuan-Yi Lee	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xafef7f…
05-12 11:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xf76b3d…
05-12 11:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5a8db9…
05-12 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd39c23…
05-12 10:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe1f40a…
05-12 10:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcc2dce…
05-12 10:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x307b60…
05-12 09:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfa0edf…
05-12 09:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x34fb97…
05-12 09:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6b55fb…
05-12 09:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x90ba5e…
05-12 09:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd4ab45…
05-12 09:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x2cd247…
05-12 09:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3a7c8a…
05-12 09:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xcea8b4…
05-12 09:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x125c6f…