Cautious-Marionberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

4,220

Trades

7,288

lifetime

Volume

$8.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-29 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 55% -$190

Other

18% 5% +$236

Politics

1% 75% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 12corbelow	12	$198	144	200	-56	Yes	+$138	03-04 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	41	$48	145	0	+145	Down	-$48	05-30 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$31	45	0	+45	Up	-$6	05-21 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$28	45	0	+45	Up	-$8	05-21 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$27	35	0	+35	Up	-$7	05-21 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$25	35	0	+35	Down	-$5	05-21 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	6	$24	35	0	+35	Down	-$4	05-21 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$23	35	0	+35	Down	-$4	05-22 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$23	35	0	+35	Up	-$3	05-21 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$22	30	0	+30	Down	-$2	05-21 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$21	35	0	+35	Up	+$4	05-21 22:02
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-27 16:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	02-28 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	8	$19	55	0	+55	Down	+$6	05-30 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	6	$19	45	0	+45	Down	+$1	05-30 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$19	25	0	+25	Up	-$4	05-21 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$19	25	0	+25	Down	-$4	05-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$18	25	0	+25	Down	-$3	05-21 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	6	$18	45	0	+45	Up	+$2	05-31 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	12	$18	45	0	+45	Down	+$2	05-31 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	7	$17	45	0	+45	Up	+$8	05-30 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$17	25	0	+25	Up	+$3	05-21 19:18
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 200plus	3	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$3	03-01 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$17	30	0	+30	Down	-$7	05-22 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	7	$16	45	0	+45	Up	+$3	05-31 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	5	$16	45	0	+45	Down	+$4	05-30 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$16	25	0	+25	Down	-$1	05-21 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$16	25	0	+25	Up	-$1	05-21 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$16	25	0	+25	Down	-$6	05-21 16:49
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 36 37f	3	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$2	03-01 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0xf769f3…
10-29 22:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc3393a…
10-29 21:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x02a547…
10-29 21:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$0	0x7dbe30…
10-29 21:00:22	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xbdfb30…
10-29 21:00:22	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x6b9547…
10-29 21:00:10	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x017883…
10-29 21:00:09	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xecdc57…
10-29 21:00:07	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xdfe02c…
10-29 21:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd01d1d…
10-29 21:00:03	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x626a05…
10-29 21:00:03	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3885f4…
10-29 21:00:03	highest temperature in mexico city on october 31 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x1ca61f…
10-29 20:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfeb0bc…
10-29 20:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa8d52e…
10-29 20:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcace20…
10-29 20:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6d030a…
10-29 20:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9ae43f…
10-29 20:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x8142a6…
10-29 20:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x45e55e…
10-29 20:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x28f54c…
10-29 20:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x18a88a…
10-29 20:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x5cc3f6…
10-29 20:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x28e0ee…
10-29 19:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xb4b672…
10-29 19:41:09	highest temperature in toronto on october 31 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa8563f…
10-29 19:39:45	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 31 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xf97de6…
10-29 19:39:16	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 31 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x4dfe1b…
10-29 19:39:15	highest temperature in buenos aires on october 31 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xf52b89…
10-29 17:11:44	highest temperature in panama city on october 31 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x51077e…
10-29 17:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8d4edb…
10-29 17:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xb0e62d…
10-29 17:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x946cf8…
10-29 16:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x9ca99d…
10-29 16:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x05815d…
10-29 16:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xae3f25…
10-29 16:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x104dcb…
10-29 16:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x9cc4e2…
10-29 15:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa6be30…
10-29 13:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xeffa4d…
10-29 13:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xc7bb10…
10-29 13:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x754634…
10-29 11:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe02444…
10-29 11:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc71d14…
10-29 11:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x98f52f…
10-29 10:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xce5f18…
10-29 09:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xc2d16e…
10-29 09:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xa58356…
10-29 09:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0xe48b75…
10-29 08:46:55	highest temperature in busan on october 31 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x0f5bb8…
10-29 07:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xc0585b…
10-29 07:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x402b14…
10-29 06:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xde8175…
10-29 06:28:55	highest temperature in seoul on october 31 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x2fc2c9…
10-29 06:28:53	highest temperature in seoul on october 31 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc33e2a…
10-29 06:28:52	highest temperature in seoul on october 31 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc7b889…
10-29 05:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x8368df…
10-29 04:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4fbfe9…
10-29 02:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x708c4d…
10-29 01:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0d3f90…
10-29 01:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xbc8fa8…
10-29 01:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x935c34…
10-29 01:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x23de1d…
10-28 19:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7d8d0e…
10-28 18:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8aaf58…
10-28 18:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xdc7cb9…
10-28 18:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5316a2…
10-28 18:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1be2cb…
10-28 18:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x973994…
10-28 17:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x7a52c1…
10-28 17:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xea9047…
10-28 17:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3bd190…
10-28 16:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xff695f…
10-28 15:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa0e3f2…
10-28 15:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd48497…
10-28 15:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x61da12…
10-28 13:22:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x210cbb…
10-28 13:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdacdfb…
10-28 13:02:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc3eccf…
10-28 13:01:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x920a28…
10-28 13:01:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xd73041…
10-28 10:25:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe29d45…
10-28 10:25:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x94e5d1…
10-28 10:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7049fd…
10-28 10:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x69addf…
10-28 09:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0xa5b941…
10-28 08:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe90980…
10-28 07:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x78b4cd…
10-28 07:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8aac8d…
10-28 07:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc9aac1…
10-28 07:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xf03e87…
10-28 07:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x62705b…
10-28 07:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x494f4c…
10-28 07:01:31	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 30 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x2c3912…
10-28 07:00:50	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 30 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xa38f0e…
10-28 07:00:14	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 30 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5dbe4e…
10-28 06:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfede3e…
10-28 06:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb7b81e…
10-28 05:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xa166b4…
10-28 03:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x56da7f…