Mature-Dumbwaiter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$290

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

209

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-26 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

84% 16% -$201

Crypto

7% 55% -$7

Politics

5% 21% -$38

Sports

3% 17% -$42

Pop-Culture

0% 20% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	3	$265	242	234	+8	Yes	+$113	04-24 20:21
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	3	$203	270	174	+95	No	+$34	05-09 08:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	2	$122	114	114	+0	Yes	-$13	05-09 08:09
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	2	$112	82	82	+0	No	+$52	05-04 20:24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	1	$94	424	0	+424	No	-$94	07-29 17:36
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	2	$30	258	0	+258	No	-$30	05-11 15:47
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	1	$30	65	0	+65	No	-$30	05-05 07:18
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	1	$30	161	0	+161	No	-$30	06-05 20:58
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$28	1,750	0	+1,750	No	-$28	06-11 18:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	3	$28	48	23	+25	Yes	+$16	04-11 04:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	1	$25	310	0	+310	No	-$25	06-02 20:19
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	3	$20	14	14	+0	Yes	+$7	04-06 04:37
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	2	$17	17	16	+1	Yes	+$16	04-14 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:30 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 21:36
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	2	$11	9	8	+0	Yes	+$6	04-17 16:01
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	1	$11	107	0	+107	No	-$11	05-02 06:02
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?	2	$11	142	142	+0	No	-$9	05-22 00:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:55 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	02-22 04:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 4?	1	$10	296	0	+296	No	-$10	08-26 10:12
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	51	0	+51	No	-$10	05-14 09:44
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	04-24 20:26
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	26	0	+26	No	-$10	05-14 09:32
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	56	0	+56	No	-$10	05-14 09:28
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	2	$10	92	92	+0	No	-$4	05-03 08:52
will trump say obliterated or obliteration during the white house easter egg roll	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	+$6	04-06 18:42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$9	53	0	+53	No	-$9	05-14 02:08
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	2	$8	107	102	+5	No	-$8	04-26 03:14
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	2	$8	37	35	+2	No	-$2	04-16 07:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$7	24	24	+0	No	-$6	04-23 04:41
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	1	$7	50	0	+50	No	-$7	05-08 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 10:12:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	296	3¢	$10	0x1e1eea…
07-29 17:36:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	424	22¢	$94	0x9e2a19…
06-11 18:41:57	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,750	2¢	$28	0x2d2eba…
06-05 20:58:49	Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	161	19¢	$30	0x492d20…
06-02 20:21:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0xd765a6…
06-02 20:19:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	310	8¢	$25	0x8b94ce…
05-22 00:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	0¢	$1	0xa7d878…
05-14 18:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x1a7c3d…
05-14 09:44:17	Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xa2470e…
05-14 09:39:48	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5e2446…
05-14 09:37:54	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5ed516…
05-14 09:32:04	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfc546b…
05-14 09:28:39	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xf98068…
05-14 09:28:18	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9af5af…
05-14 02:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x85d5c0…
05-14 01:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0xcfaf4e…
05-11 15:47:13	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xdf3055…
05-10 04:41:25	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xbbafb1…
05-09 08:10:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0xdf0ff2…
05-09 08:09:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	114	48¢	$55	0x3dff1a…
05-08 04:19:40	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x7ec0c4…
05-08 04:19:17	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x3acbe5…
05-05 13:29:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	114	59¢	$67	0xd46dcd…
05-05 13:27:22	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	174	41¢	$71	0x03af91…
05-05 07:19:08	Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x556fe8…
05-05 07:18:52	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xc55183…
05-05 03:28:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	174	46¢	$80	0xbd104d…
05-04 20:24:14	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x2f08e8…
05-03 10:29:02	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$2	0xeb4c19…
05-03 10:28:50	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xba4d1b…
05-03 10:28:20	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	No	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0xb1db96…
05-03 10:01:34	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	354	1¢	$2	0xe50345…
05-03 08:52:00	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	92	3¢	$3	0x89d91d…
05-03 08:50:18	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x9a19d1…
05-02 16:14:48	Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe8de85…
05-02 16:14:22	Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x2cd048…
05-02 06:08:02	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x14af89…
05-02 06:07:34	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	92	8¢	$7	0xfb790e…
05-02 06:02:04	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	107	10¢	$11	0xd3628d…
05-02 05:58:24	Will "Hokum" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0x927ee2…
04-26 03:27:48	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0xd3ebbe…
04-26 03:27:24	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x2eb08c…
04-26 03:14:42	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x62c116…
04-26 03:14:26	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x5692ef…
04-26 03:13:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x95f4dd…
04-26 02:59:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0x1163c5…
04-25 14:28:30	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$8	0xc4c98c…
04-25 14:26:50	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$6	0xda0a55…
04-24 20:26:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9dd3ed…
04-24 20:21:22	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	234	79¢	$185	0x68c13e…
04-23 07:15:16	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xc2c5bd…
04-23 04:41:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x461c8b…
04-23 04:39:48	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xa0d43f…
04-20 13:44:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xdff16f…
04-18 16:06:52	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xb1e73c…
04-18 05:46:16	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xdb5d52…
04-17 21:24:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5395e8…
04-17 16:01:54	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe7f5dd…
04-16 07:01:26	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xbf2edb…
04-16 07:01:04	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x2128b7…
04-15 09:43:34	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xc7a833…
04-15 00:04:58	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xd2e975…
04-14 20:56:50	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0x076f68…
04-14 20:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x25756a…
04-14 18:16:22	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0690a0…
04-14 06:52:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x25cbbb…
04-14 06:51:51	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x4d113d…
04-14 06:28:43	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x659483…
04-14 06:07:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xce2bb3…
04-14 06:02:09	white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 160 179	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x7dff9b…
04-13 23:15:57	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x232af8…
04-13 23:15:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xce5183…
04-13 22:03:57	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xeb61c8…
04-13 21:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe43acd…
04-13 20:39:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xd3749f…
04-13 20:15:31	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xf1297a…
04-13 04:58:57	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xdc2c58…
04-13 04:01:23	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x30352e…
04-13 01:41:19	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x727155…
04-13 01:02:01	white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5aae59…
04-12 17:34:05	Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xced078…
04-12 17:32:33	Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x8a481a…
04-12 17:31:47	will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa67426…
04-12 17:12:53	Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?	No	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x55a233…
04-12 11:21:53	zelenskyy of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x26119a…
04-12 11:21:01	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xa4858d…
04-12 10:50:53	will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x19638c…
04-11 04:14:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x93a0d3…
04-11 04:14:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x4b5633…
04-11 03:32:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x19200d…
04-10 02:37:37	white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x995f9e…
04-09 19:36:47	will mrbeasts latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa6d5e9…
04-09 15:04:45	will mrbeasts latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf40d17…
04-08 21:30:43	will mrbeasts latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 5	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xda3cd2…
04-08 21:30:37	will mrbeasts latest video get 73 million or more views on day 5	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x17d811…
04-08 13:00:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf54ceb…
04-08 13:00:45	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xace2b7…
04-07 21:05:39	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf4f64b…
04-07 15:53:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1ed997…
04-07 03:53:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4f9326…