Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

285

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$7.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 10-28 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 70% -$209

Other

13% 65% +$106

Politics

5% 83% +$105

Sports

3% 39% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:40 UTC	6	$155	117	117	+0	Down	+$5	08-18 01:42
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$129	89	89	+0	England	+$49	07-18 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 21:25 UTC	5	$127	155	111	+44	Down	-$23	08-16 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 03:00 UTC	6	$118	95	95	+0	Up	+$12	08-19 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 22:10 UTC	4	$115	84	84	+0	Up	+$15	08-16 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 03:50 UTC	3	$111	64	64	+0	Up	+$11	08-22 03:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:55 UTC	4	$111	94	94	+0	Up	+$11	08-18 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 02:55 UTC	4	$105	65	65	+0	Up	+$5	08-19 02:59
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$104	67	67	+0	Yes	+$11	09-13 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 02:30 UTC	4	$104	64	64	+0	Down	+$4	08-18 02:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:25 UTC	4	$104	61	61	+0	Down	+$4	08-18 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 04:25 UTC	4	$103	61	61	+0	Up	+$3	08-22 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 01:20 UTC	4	$101	57	57	+0	Up	+$1	08-18 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 22:15 UTC	4	$98	81	81	+0	Down	-$2	08-16 22:18
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	2	$96	118	118	+0	No	+$76	10-09 14:52
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	2	$90	130	130	+0	open	—	10-20 00:46
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$81	49	49	+0	Yes	+$13	07-22 03:10
Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	2	$75	95	95	+0	open	—	10-23 14:41
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	6	$73	78	78	+0	open	—	10-28 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$70	45	45	+0	Down	+$20	09-03 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 04:55 UTC	2	$67	49	49	+0	Down	+$17	08-22 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 22:40 UTC	4	$67	132	37	+95	Up	-$43	08-16 22:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 02:00 UTC	4	$66	43	43	+0	Down	+$6	08-14 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$66	58	58	+0	Up	+$16	09-03 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$63	36	36	+0	Up	+$3	08-24 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:55 UTC	2	$62	38	38	+0	Down	+$12	08-20 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 21:05 UTC	2	$62	37	37	+0	Down	+$12	08-16 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$61	37	37	+0	Up	+$11	09-03 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:45 UTC	4	$61	36	36	+0	Down	+$5	08-18 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$60	35	35	+0	Up	+$10	09-03 01:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:31:29	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x063f05…
10-28 22:17:22	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x663438…
10-28 21:18:23	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x07dda6…
10-28 16:48:23	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	58¢	$25	0x3eab50…
10-28 04:53:08	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x26b345…
10-25 01:44:03	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0x406669…
10-24 18:24:56	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe04404…
10-24 18:23:48	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x058453…
10-24 17:08:53	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x35be49…
10-23 14:41:18	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	57¢	$55	0xffa6c5…
10-23 14:40:30	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	108	26¢	$28	0x69e44e…
10-20 00:46:48	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	SELL	130	48¢	$62	0x13db7f…
10-19 01:09:15	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x723c2f…
10-18 02:49:17	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xf7a508…
10-18 02:47:42	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	BUY	130	21¢	$28	0x055af9…
10-18 01:38:20	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	39	74¢	$29	0x503d55…
10-18 00:16:21	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4c335e…
10-14 03:33:49	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf61707…
10-14 03:33:10	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x9cbeb5…
10-12 02:29:56	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0xf3ef83…
10-12 02:29:33	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	62	45¢	$28	0x037a0d…
10-11 19:48:51	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0xf19ead…
10-10 21:37:15	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6c0f1e…
10-09 14:52:40	Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	SELL	118	73¢	$86	0xfc1d60…
10-09 14:51:22	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0x9cfea0…
10-09 14:51:16	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	Yes	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0x4b8d15…
10-09 14:51:06	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?	Yes	SELL	184	0¢	$1	0xc05f1d…
10-08 02:45:14	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0xf38e3b…
10-08 02:45:05	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x662fbb…
10-08 02:44:53	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?	Yes	BUY	184	3¢	$5	0xd91f6c…
10-08 02:41:04	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xf9612e…
10-08 02:39:43	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x77437d…
10-08 01:57:14	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x019e95…
10-08 01:56:04	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xbdee58…
10-07 23:20:37	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	16¢	$10	0x4b0539…
10-07 23:18:47	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	233	7¢	$16	0xa425dc…
10-04 01:33:10	UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa165de…
10-03 21:22:02	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd9c9f8…
10-03 21:15:58	O/U 0.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe8c747…
10-03 21:14:19	UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Roberto Soldic	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb3256d…
10-03 21:10:58	UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Mick Parkin	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9d6002…
09-30 23:20:36	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x78c3db…
09-30 23:04:21	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	8¢	$9	0x452850…
09-30 23:04:06	ufc ilibul erivis 2026 09 29	Ilias Bulaid	SELL	19	51¢	$9	0x1697b0…
09-30 23:03:15	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0x6b63df…
09-29 22:27:23	Dana White's Contender Series: Luca Borando vs. Ian Escuza (Featherweight, Main Card)	Luca Borando	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6a567e…
09-29 22:26:09	ufc ilibul erivis 2026 09 29	Ilias Bulaid	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x45a311…
09-29 18:44:53	Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0x80091e…
09-29 18:44:08	Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xaf2613…
09-13 22:25:34	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x81122e…
09-13 22:23:33	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	44	64¢	$28	0xa15d0a…
09-13 21:45:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	86¢	$57	0x496a43…
09-06 23:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x6d7401…
09-06 23:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x5e2e65…
09-06 23:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x4ff95c…
09-06 23:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xdd0788…
09-06 23:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0x2b342c…
09-06 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0x6c729c…
09-06 23:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x995645…
09-06 23:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x680050…
09-06 23:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x643bcc…
09-06 23:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x7cb043…
09-06 23:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x4cd608…
09-06 22:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x80d4ba…
09-06 22:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x199a9a…
09-03 03:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0xa711c2…
09-03 03:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x1db0b2…
09-03 03:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x074e8d…
09-03 02:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	91¢	$28	0x16d422…
09-03 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x1cbe17…
09-03 02:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0xd49340…
09-03 02:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x46a63a…
09-03 02:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xfb4aa9…
09-03 02:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	58	71¢	$41	0x97a916…
09-03 02:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xe26c97…
09-03 02:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7ee4dc…
09-03 02:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	42	81¢	$34	0x74de81…
09-03 02:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xbab6aa…
09-03 01:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0xc8ee2d…
09-03 01:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x0efb1e…
08-30 19:45:40	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3a80eb…
08-25 02:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x81f3cd…
08-24 02:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x63ae86…
08-24 02:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0xe79cb1…
08-24 02:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd9a254…
08-24 02:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x2c9e44…
08-22 22:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5e3088…
08-22 22:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x9367f3…
08-22 22:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe4bc5c…
08-22 22:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x701eae…
08-22 22:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc58b5e…
08-22 21:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x5c025f…
08-22 21:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x67f99f…
08-22 21:50:16	ufc gau stador 2026 08 22	Gauge Young	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7d5979…
08-22 21:41:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xbb5f2c…
08-22 21:34:03	ufc wes5 jac22 2026 08 22	Wes Schultz	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3517f4…
08-22 21:31:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd56294…
08-22 21:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x5ebc43…
08-22 21:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x71c522…
08-22 21:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x41e516…