Ignorant-Caramel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

370

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-18 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

23% — —

Sports

23% 50% +$130

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	11	$3.1K	3,517	3,517	+0	open	—	04-27 09:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	9	$1.6K	1,044	1,044	+0	open	—	06-14 12:41
Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing Lu	6	$1.6K	1,354	1,346	+8	open	—	04-27 09:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.5K	1,038	1,038	+0	open	—	05-02 06:41
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$1.5K	1,031	1,031	+0	open	—	04-22 10:59
Madrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez	2	$1.3K	739	733	+6	open	—	04-27 12:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.0K	888	888	+0	open	—	06-14 23:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$455	403	403	+0	open	—	06-14 22:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	280	$353	1,169	0	+1,169	open	—	06-18 07:16
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	8	$319	674	674	+0	open	—	04-28 03:00
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	5	$271	212	212	+0	open	—	06-16 07:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$270	0	333	-333	open	—	05-28 12:34
will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	2	$211	115	203	-89	open	—	06-15 12:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$142	473	0	+473	open	—	03-08 12:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	1	$142	290	0	+290	open	—	05-23 09:32
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$125	292	0	+292	Sabres	+$166	05-12 21:08
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	4	$103	318	65	+253	open	—	06-18 05:37
will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	1	$83	156	0	+156	open	—	06-14 23:31
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	8	$75	273	0	+273	open	—	06-14 22:38
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	3	$73	940	940	+0	open	—	06-17 16:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	1	$50	0	138	-138	open	—	05-28 12:34
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$45	305	0	+305	open	—	03-06 06:53
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$36	82	0	+82	Golden Knights	$-36	05-13 03:51
atp shelton fritz 2026 06 14	1	$22	63	0	+63	open	—	06-14 13:37
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$15	495	0	+495	open	—	03-06 06:52
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$15	604	0	+604	open	—	03-06 06:52
will oman be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522905	1	$10	69	0	+69	open	—	06-18 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 08:57:35	will oman be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522905	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x622f5b…
06-18 07:16:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x82d2b3…
06-18 06:16:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xa7e081…
06-18 05:37:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	253	1¢	$3	0xe76572…
06-17 22:51:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	65	96¢	$63	0x97174c…
06-17 22:51:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x64e1cd…
06-17 18:28:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	209	18¢	$38	0xcd5832…
06-17 16:04:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	SELL	940	4¢	$38	0xd0a3ee…
06-17 09:45:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	65	58¢	$38	0xe0d182…
06-17 09:34:44	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	BUY	71	4¢	$3	0xdb8b33…
06-17 09:34:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	BUY	869	4¢	$33	0x6dffc5…
06-16 12:20:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x509fb9…
06-16 12:20:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x7d4541…
06-16 08:37:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	308	35¢	$108	0xb857a3…
06-16 07:52:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x257ef3…
06-16 07:45:21	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	207	56¢	$116	0xa9cafa…
06-16 07:37:34	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x88201e…
06-16 07:37:28	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xbc61de…
06-16 07:37:24	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf2ccab…
06-16 06:59:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xe8ab74…
06-16 06:59:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3a39d7…
06-16 06:59:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2eaa5b…
06-16 06:59:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xbcb130…
06-16 06:59:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x92547e…
06-16 06:59:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7f2eae…
06-16 06:59:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x58d9d6…
06-16 06:59:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xcd8d16…
06-16 06:59:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xbdaf0a…
06-16 06:59:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb9ae6e…
06-16 06:59:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x71dac2…
06-16 06:59:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3bac4a…
06-16 06:59:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xec04e0…
06-16 06:59:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x63e1ca…
06-16 06:59:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3a9f5f…
06-16 06:59:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x12ec03…
06-16 06:59:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x127d79…
06-16 06:59:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf54382…
06-16 06:59:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc21392…
06-16 06:59:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xbe889a…
06-16 06:59:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5bf00d…
06-16 06:59:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3c1b33…
06-16 06:59:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xfefbba…
06-16 06:59:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x87ee73…
06-16 06:59:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x73dae8…
06-16 06:59:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5f4bad…
06-16 06:59:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2cfce7…
06-16 06:59:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xff864c…
06-16 06:59:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xfbc275…
06-16 06:59:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x917645…
06-16 06:59:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x740917…
06-16 06:59:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x49b1b5…
06-16 06:59:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x206c49…
06-16 06:59:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd635c4…
06-16 06:59:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd319d7…
06-16 06:59:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xc56afc…
06-16 06:59:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xae7797…
06-16 06:59:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5a113c…
06-16 06:59:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe75a79…
06-16 06:59:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdf30e1…
06-16 06:59:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xafe523…
06-16 06:59:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x9ba35d…
06-16 06:59:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x6ee59d…
06-16 06:59:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x50a2e6…
06-16 06:59:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe99e3b…
06-16 06:59:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x82eee7…
06-16 06:59:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x73978c…
06-16 06:59:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x6a2122…
06-16 06:59:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x4ad86f…
06-16 06:59:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe2318e…
06-16 06:59:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xcd3531…
06-16 06:59:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x429efa…
06-16 06:59:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x343d58…
06-16 06:59:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x166d5e…
06-16 06:59:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7074b7…
06-16 06:59:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x490374…
06-16 06:59:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3caae4…
06-16 06:59:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x0c96e6…
06-16 06:59:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe0842c…
06-16 06:59:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x789b37…
06-16 06:59:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x428cf7…
06-16 06:59:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x312b64…
06-16 06:59:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2ddda1…
06-16 06:59:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2bec76…
06-16 06:59:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x1109ab…
06-16 06:59:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf8131a…
06-16 06:59:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xcb4273…
06-16 06:59:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x89928a…
06-16 06:59:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x156921…
06-16 06:59:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf53b4b…
06-16 06:59:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7b7bd0…
06-16 06:59:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x64d30e…
06-16 06:59:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x630f97…
06-16 06:59:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x57a8e4…
06-16 06:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf0a1e1…
06-16 06:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdfdf28…
06-16 06:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x97cbee…
06-16 06:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7c3234…
06-16 06:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x786c49…
06-16 06:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x6facc6…
06-16 06:59:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x276bec…