Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$809

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

157

Trades

395

lifetime

Volume

$98.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$250

Open exposure

$3.83K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-16 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 46% -$3,701

Politics

8% 50% +$97

Other

0% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-3,984	-$3,024	96¢	$-3833	-$809	08-16 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:05 UTC	11	$5.9K	3,173	3,164	+9	Down	+$345	03-08 21:09
will iran strike israel on march 9	2	$5.7K	3,073	3,073	+0	Yes	+$196	03-09 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:35 UTC	5	$4.2K	2,264	2,260	+4	Up	-$31	03-08 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:30 UTC	6	$3.2K	1,750	1,743	+7	Up	+$234	03-08 20:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$3.0K	0	3,984	-3,984	open	—	08-16 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:50 UTC	3	$3.0K	2,627	2,591	+37	Down	+$1,001	03-10 08:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:35 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,554	1,538	+16	Up	+$295	03-09 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:25 UTC	20	$2.4K	1,810	1,782	+28	Down	+$445	03-08 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:30 UTC	3	$2.4K	1,309	1,304	+5	Up	+$208	03-09 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:25 UTC	5	$2.3K	1,583	1,575	+8	Up	-$84	03-09 07:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:10 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,538	1,514	+24	Down	+$737	03-09 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,288	1,278	+10	Up	+$278	03-09 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:40 UTC	4	$2.2K	1,342	1,336	+6	Up	+$36	03-09 07:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	4	$2.2K	3,595	3,541	+55	Up	-$930	03-10 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 11:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,169	1,165	+4	Down	+$168	03-09 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:00 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,098	1,096	+2	Up	+$97	03-09 12:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:00 UTC	2	$2.0K	3,760	0	+3,760	Up	+$1,760	03-09 18:58
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$1.9K	1,168	1,168	+0	Yes	-$86	03-10 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:20 UTC	3	$1.8K	3,441	3,388	+53	Down	-$1,358	03-10 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,066	1,049	+17	Up	+$556	03-10 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:55 UTC	2	$1.4K	1,837	1,808	+29	Down	-$371	03-10 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:20 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,353	318	+1,035	Up	+$42	03-09 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:05 UTC	2	$1.2K	789	777	+12	Down	+$382	03-09 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:10 UTC	4	$1.2K	889	878	+11	Up	+$581	03-08 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:35 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,485	267	+1,219	Up	+$182	03-09 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:55 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,502	1,479	+23	Down	-$484	03-09 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:10 UTC	3	$1.0K	1,873	1,845	+28	Up	-$554	03-10 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:35 UTC	4	$1.0K	737	726	+11	Down	+$430	03-08 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:45 UTC	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	Up	+$6	03-08 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:25 UTC	1	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$1,000	03-10 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 15:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,984	76¢	$3,024	0xbb06e4…
03-10 09:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	246	58¢	$142	0x44d187…
03-10 09:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x4773e5…
03-10 09:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	215	50¢	$106	0x4935db…
03-10 09:05:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x625774…
03-10 09:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1,049	99¢	$1,040	0x956828…
03-10 09:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,066	47¢	$500	0xf233e2…
03-10 08:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1,808	29¢	$529	0xdd62e7…
03-10 08:55:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1,837	49¢	$900	0xae3b69…
03-10 08:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	308	74¢	$227	0xdd080e…
03-10 08:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2,282	76¢	$1,738	0xb595a1…
03-10 08:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2,627	38¢	$1,000	0x81706c…
03-10 08:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	629	10¢	$60	0xdad8c8…
03-10 08:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	631	16¢	$100	0x8d3be0…
03-10 08:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	142	15¢	$21	0x084576…
03-10 08:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,573	45¢	$700	0xf0ce95…
03-10 08:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	965	20¢	$197	0xd6304e…
03-10 08:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	981	51¢	$500	0x9e98ce…
03-10 08:30:33	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	1,168	78¢	$914	0x06c893…
03-10 02:24:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xac6138…
03-10 02:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3,388	7¢	$242	0xf4c054…
03-10 02:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,960	44¢	$867	0x86a9fe…
03-10 02:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,480	50¢	$733	0x652a52…
03-10 02:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1,194	24¢	$287	0x640739…
03-10 02:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2,346	14¢	$328	0x3cd1cd…
03-10 02:15:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,254	43¢	$979	0xd4a011…
03-10 02:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,341	46¢	$621	0x511bb0…
03-10 02:14:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1,013	11¢	$113	0x5ffb1d…
03-10 02:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	832	16¢	$133	0x9540ca…
03-10 02:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1,873	43¢	$800	0xe37dd6…
03-10 02:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	782	26¢	$207	0x6dcaac…
03-10 02:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	794	50¢	$400	0xf94490…
03-10 02:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	420	23¢	$97	0x2818b6…
03-10 01:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xf6b1a7…
03-10 01:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xf9451f…
03-10 01:58:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	216	30¢	$65	0x1391b1…
03-10 01:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	220	46¢	$100	0x22a7fd…
03-09 19:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xcaf296…
03-09 18:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3,317	53¢	$1,757	0x3fc3d2…
03-09 18:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	443	55¢	$243	0xe2039a…
03-09 18:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1,479	21¢	$316	0x9ea83e…
03-09 18:54:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1,502	53¢	$800	0xffc5f9…
03-09 18:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:50 UTC	Down	SELL	766	30¢	$233	0x53c7f3…
03-09 18:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	779	51¢	$400	0x848f45…
03-09 18:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91b17f…
03-09 18:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	389	31¢	$121	0xd46950…
03-09 18:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	395	51¢	$200	0x7f8501…
03-09 18:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	190	99¢	$189	0x3706bb…
03-09 18:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x20e8ac…
03-09 18:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x78d166…
03-09 17:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:35 UTC	Down	SELL	205	99¢	$203	0x195a9b…
03-09 17:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x7ee4ba…
03-09 17:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	779	51¢	$400	0x6d3a84…
03-09 17:27:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3c9abc…
03-09 17:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	197	99¢	$195	0xed4103…
03-09 17:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd60af8…
03-09 17:15:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1,514	100¢	$1,513	0x58e895…
03-09 17:07:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1,538	52¢	$800	0x17bead…
03-09 17:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	197	99¢	$195	0xc28486…
03-09 16:57:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x0b06f4…
03-09 16:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x06a0eb…
03-09 16:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1,177	51¢	$600	0xd56dab…
03-09 16:43:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x80488f…
03-09 16:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	391	18¢	$72	0xbd330c…
03-09 16:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	397	50¢	$200	0xc1459c…
03-09 16:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	160	46¢	$74	0xf83ada…
03-09 16:30:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	381	99¢	$378	0x41d899…
03-09 16:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	162	58¢	$94	0xfa5bc4…
03-09 16:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	387	52¢	$200	0x0bd9ee…
03-09 16:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x4dfe65…
03-09 16:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x892809…
03-09 16:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	291	16¢	$47	0x7ef714…
03-09 16:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:05 UTC	Down	SELL	777	99¢	$770	0x7da7d4…
03-09 16:10:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0xa5369a…
03-09 16:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0x761c8b…
03-09 16:01:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	789	51¢	$400	0x10f6a0…
03-09 15:58:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x1eefa6…
03-09 15:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xe72867…
03-09 15:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	196	17¢	$33	0xaa54c6…
03-09 15:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	533	75¢	$400	0x9cdfee…
03-09 15:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,388	72¢	$1,000	0xaeecd1…
03-09 15:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	952	33¢	$310	0x42f8ac…
03-09 14:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	967	52¢	$500	0x9454b7…
03-09 14:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xc89f0c…
03-09 14:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x4a0da6…
03-09 14:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,215	82¢	$1,000	0x85df45…
03-09 14:37:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	267	25¢	$67	0x0dbb56…
03-09 14:36:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xa5123c…
03-09 14:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1,278	99¢	$1,267	0x43230b…
03-09 14:31:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,288	78¢	$999	0xdd5118…
03-09 14:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	501	53¢	$265	0xa77496…
03-09 13:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x15488a…
03-09 12:50:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1,426	70¢	$1,000	0xd9014d…
03-09 12:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0xbf985f…
03-09 12:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1,347	100¢	$1,346	0xb8ec0c…
03-09 12:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,360	74¢	$1,000	0x0771fc…
03-09 12:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	191	19¢	$36	0x3198e0…
03-09 12:36:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x9df048…
03-09 12:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	253	15¢	$38	0x60a9a9…
03-09 12:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x067352…