Prestigious-Chitchat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

1,364

Trades

13,115

lifetime

Volume

$58.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-27 02:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% $-72

Other

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 396 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes		+0	$1	6¢	$0	$-1	06-25 21:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	65	$640	1,280	0	+1,280	open	—	05-02 18:00
btc updown 15m 1774337400	182	$453	861	133	+728	open	—	03-24 07:36
btc updown 15m 1774344600	146	$403	762	0	+762	open	—	03-24 09:39
btc updown 15m 1774339200	134	$340	696	60	+636	open	—	03-24 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	19	$320	640	0	+640	open	—	05-02 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	25	$320	640	0	+640	open	—	05-01 16:25
btc updown 15m 1774335600	116	$315	612	0	+612	open	—	03-24 07:09
btc updown 5m 1776091500	1	$314	640	0	+640	open	—	04-13 14:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$277	201	201	+0	open	—	06-24 17:02
btc updown 15m 1774790100	29	$266	505	0	+505	open	—	03-29 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	33	$263	526	0	+526	open	—	05-02 15:40
btc updown 15m 1774775700	11	$230	454	0	+454	open	—	03-29 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	20	$226	452	0	+452	open	—	05-02 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$198	120	120	+0	Up	+$37	05-06 08:36
btc updown 15m 1774357200	43	$193	323	19	+304	open	—	03-24 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	17	$160	320	0	+320	open	—	05-01 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$160	320	0	+320	open	—	05-02 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$160	320	0	+320	open	—	05-01 03:34
btc updown 5m 1776089700	2	$157	320	0	+320	open	—	04-13 14:10
btc updown 15m 1774341000	77	$149	300	0	+300	open	—	03-24 08:36
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	7	$138	101	101	+0	open	—	06-24 16:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	3	$131	201	201	+0	open	—	06-26 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$126	212	0	+212	open	—	05-26 17:05
btc updown 15m 1774788300	16	$126	237	0	+237	open	—	03-29 12:40
btc updown 15m 1774349100	43	$120	214	0	+214	open	—	03-24 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$120	201	0	+201	open	—	05-25 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	18	$119	237	0	+237	open	—	05-02 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$116	200	0	+200	open	—	05-23 03:40
btc updown 15m 1775687400	1	$113	240	0	+240	open	—	04-08 22:25
btc updown 15m 1775711700	2	$113	240	0	+240	open	—	04-09 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 02:55:26	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x732115…
06-26 17:37:43	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xeb5224…
06-26 12:50:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0xfb5d2e…
06-26 12:43:26	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x90dc93…
06-26 12:34:22	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x93580b…
06-26 12:34:17	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x585c26…
06-26 10:07:41	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xd49d36…
06-26 10:07:35	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xca7e86…
06-26 09:20:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	163	27¢	$44	0x33b81c…
06-26 09:06:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x651e62…
06-26 05:39:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x2c875b…
06-26 04:49:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xe6150b…
06-26 03:22:10	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	16¢	$6	0xe801b5…
06-26 03:22:08	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	163	16¢	$25	0xed1658…
06-26 02:34:38	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	No	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x4fe29e…
06-26 02:12:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xcafa4e…
06-26 02:10:20	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x247041…
06-26 01:42:55	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 31 2026 20260624195228149 733 235 667 821	No	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0xaedd5a…
06-26 01:40:38	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	55	10¢	$5	0xb3b7e5…
06-26 00:48:25	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x0eb0d0…
06-26 00:41:49	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0xaef5dd…
06-26 00:39:08	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x559e93…
06-25 23:21:04	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x6812a5…
06-25 23:01:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0xcece05…
06-25 22:40:29	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xadb641…
06-25 21:56:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x21bb45…
06-25 21:01:38	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0xac7e7d…
06-25 20:54:02	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xd97611…
06-25 20:50:58	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xc646df…
06-25 20:45:07	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x924fba…
06-25 20:41:32	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	8¢	$11	0xd7c668…
06-25 20:38:25	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0xce5a99…
06-25 20:38:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$31	0x291f81…
06-25 20:10:29	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x134cdf…
06-25 19:08:13	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x5afb1e…
06-25 17:02:41	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xc8f473…
06-25 16:18:29	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0xbf69a6…
06-25 16:16:31	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc55f06…
06-25 16:16:31	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x805462…
06-25 16:16:31	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x52a3fc…
06-25 16:15:52	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x736802…
06-25 16:13:50	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4dac78…
06-25 16:08:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x74c14d…
06-25 14:57:46	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	23¢	$46	0xd379c3…
06-25 14:48:40	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0xf27444…
06-25 14:16:23	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xca455b…
06-25 13:42:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x9ec9b0…
06-25 13:13:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	201	38¢	$76	0xdf42df…
06-25 12:27:23	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xe3740a…
06-25 12:15:40	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x57c047…
06-25 12:12:20	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0xeaceac…
06-25 12:10:49	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x686f0f…
06-25 11:29:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	21	17¢	$3	0xd4c823…
06-25 11:23:07	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	74	33¢	$24	0x0121d9…
06-25 11:07:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x9e61af…
06-25 10:56:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x91a2cd…
06-25 10:19:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	21¢	$7	0xa281bb…
06-25 10:08:46	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0xa366ff…
06-25 09:35:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf156fe…
06-25 09:17:26	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf2234f…
06-25 09:17:20	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	23¢	$10	0x26550c…
06-25 09:01:32	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0xf92448…
06-25 08:59:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x83a6cb…
06-25 08:55:05	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	22¢	$22	0xba93cb…
06-25 08:05:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0xdb1807…
06-25 07:59:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	89	33¢	$29	0xaaa5c5…
06-25 07:55:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	101	36¢	$36	0x84c457…
06-25 07:28:23	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xf73be8…
06-25 07:28:23	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x51cc4c…
06-25 07:27:53	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	56¢	$29	0x2bc378…
06-25 05:29:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x9b1897…
06-25 05:24:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xfee3d1…
06-25 05:18:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	201	4¢	$8	0x63c2b1…
06-25 01:07:32	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221730	Yes	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0x3dd0ff…
06-24 21:31:37	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x3e4387…
06-24 19:51:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	51	33¢	$17	0xcfdc2e…
06-24 17:16:29	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	51	42¢	$21	0x5e06f6…
06-24 17:02:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	201	69¢	$139	0x9436be…
06-24 17:00:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	201	69¢	$139	0x319e08…
06-24 16:46:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0x82a59f…
06-24 16:42:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xd9a629…
06-24 16:41:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x67ce7c…
06-24 16:35:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xbe2a9a…
06-24 16:34:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x8ec7b0…
06-24 16:33:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x4c5dab…
06-24 16:32:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x06ce77…
06-24 10:06:02	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xc1f6be…
06-24 10:02:37	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0x533db6…
06-24 09:19:14	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x616ce1…
06-24 08:25:08	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xb87eb8…
06-24 08:21:13	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x8609c1…
06-24 08:19:11	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	No	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xe01d70…
06-24 08:18:04	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	Yes	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xf82a67…
06-24 08:17:44	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x93c53b…
06-24 08:17:14	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x947d44…
06-24 08:15:13	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	Yes	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x46f5ce…
06-24 08:15:02	will the announcers say energy during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947258	No	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x1e491d…
06-24 06:57:25	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221730	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xef0cd1…
06-17 13:33:31	itf gandolf paganet 2026 06 17	Vittoria Paganetti	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc3fd89…
06-17 13:31:25	itf genier kobelt 2026 06 17	Nicolas Kobelt	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5e3a2d…