Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

495

Trades

1,602

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-18

last 10-23 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 73% -$145

Other

14% 49% +$9

Sports

10% 38% -$18

Politics

3% 50% +$11

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	10-20 01:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$456	575	515	+60	No	-$2	07-18 22:32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	3	$378	268	268	+0	Yes	+$158	07-01 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 08:00 UTC	7	$271	151	151	+0	Down	+$5	07-24 08:04
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$261	695	665	+30	No	-$5	07-19 21:42
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	4	$258	410	410	+0	No	+$4	07-02 21:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 22:30 UTC	18	$219	208	208	+0	Down	+$13	07-12 22:44
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5	2	$192	102	102	+0	Over	+$12	07-18 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:15 UTC	3	$183	100	100	+0	Up	+$13	07-11 23:19
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 9pt5	2	$181	163	163	+0	Over	+$31	07-05 21:45
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	7	$173	102	102	+0	Down	+$13	07-24 08:51
bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 7pm et	20	$172	120	120	+0	Up	-$5	07-10 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:40 UTC	11	$165	120	120	+0	Up	+$12	07-08 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 23:00 UTC	9	$164	110	110	+0	Up	-$10	07-14 23:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$162	722	722	+0	open	—	07-06 23:22
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$159	173	0	+173	France	+$14	07-04 21:22
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5am et	2	$156	80	80	+0	Down	+$2	07-24 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 22:15 UTC	10	$154	132	91	+41	Up	-$38	07-12 22:24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$146	1,334	1,171	+163	No	-$2	07-11 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:10 UTC	11	$142	88	88	+0	Down	+$8	07-08 08:16
bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	2	$136	100	100	+0	Down	-$16	07-24 09:10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$135	215	215	+0	No	+$6	07-10 21:26
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$128	970	970	+0	No	+$5	07-06 18:28
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$127	400	400	+0	No	+$10	07-07 17:33
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 7pm et	10	$127	78	78	+0	Up	+$5	07-14 23:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 22:45 UTC	17	$120	110	70	+40	Down	+$5	07-14 22:58
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 6pm et	3	$118	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	07-12 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 01:55 UTC	4	$113	130	20	+110	Up	+$11	07-14 01:59
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$111	118	64	+54	Paraguay	+$34	06-29 22:54
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$110	418	418	+0	No	+$10	07-07 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:10 UTC	7	$101	73	73	+0	Down	-$1	07-08 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 22:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xe72836…
10-23 22:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcd5155…
10-23 22:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x4c32ae…
10-23 21:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5cf126…
10-23 21:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb7da54…
10-23 21:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaf99ec…
10-23 21:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xe90473…
10-23 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x69debf…
10-23 21:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5388b0…
10-23 21:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xae6051…
10-23 21:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x1ba4d0…
10-23 20:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5f7ee2…
10-23 20:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc127c5…
10-23 20:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xe6d2f9…
10-23 20:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x837eee…
10-23 19:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x13ca5c…
10-23 19:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9b9044…
10-23 19:35:56	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7ea532…
10-23 19:25:23	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0xb36fca…
10-23 19:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfda6cb…
10-23 19:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x71b7f2…
10-23 18:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa58e52…
10-23 18:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2ef101…
10-20 23:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x62e25e…
10-20 23:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x05e604…
10-20 22:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x19bd92…
10-20 22:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9dcb36…
10-20 20:19:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb45ce5…
10-20 01:20:47	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x77590c…
10-20 01:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x2f4e7d…
10-20 01:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x202912…
10-20 01:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x530e18…
10-20 01:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xea61b3…
10-20 01:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb92168…
10-20 01:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8b2b27…
10-20 01:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x685680…
10-20 01:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3549e5…
10-20 01:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x38ad39…
10-20 01:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x79f5d5…
10-20 01:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4a3dc8…
10-20 01:03:02	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x94a85f…
10-16 23:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xda0b6b…
10-16 23:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9166ff…
10-16 20:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x57a34e…
10-16 20:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x201eb8…
10-16 18:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xea893c…
10-16 18:27:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4930aa…
10-13 21:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x0b1ad9…
10-13 21:01:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x30e7ec…
10-13 02:06:29	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x83ee94…
10-13 01:19:32	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0b5276…
10-13 00:04:57	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x6cd634…
10-12 22:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x581129…
10-12 22:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd95bb1…
10-12 22:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6aa9f8…
10-12 22:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x312c47…
10-12 22:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x0a77e9…
10-12 22:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x62dcfc…
10-12 20:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc64506…
10-12 20:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xcc51f9…
10-12 20:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x19b8cd…
10-12 20:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7c9ebe…
10-12 20:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe8cc99…
10-12 19:27:20	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7258cb…
10-12 19:26:03	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xfc453c…
10-07 19:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x2a860c…
10-07 19:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa87b7e…
10-07 19:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x211633…
10-07 05:09:59	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x1684b8…
10-07 05:08:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x15db9a…
10-02 19:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x705665…
10-02 19:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x293766…
10-02 19:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x01f297…
10-02 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xa989b2…
10-02 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x7b3c4c…
10-02 19:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x30df45…
10-02 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3ecd9a…
10-02 19:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x405bd3…
10-02 19:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcec2f2…
10-02 19:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x744fc6…
10-02 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x16cfe2…
10-02 19:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd8b39a…
10-02 18:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0x225c39…
10-02 18:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x85ddb7…
10-02 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4704c7…
10-02 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x010b28…
10-02 18:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb81b1b…
10-02 18:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xab1c23…
10-01 16:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa839ae…
10-01 16:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd8613d…
10-01 00:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x44ac7d…
10-01 00:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xeec951…
10-01 00:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9f8c10…
10-01 00:27:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3b2df9…
10-01 00:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd608d4…
10-01 00:22:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x5e8958…
10-01 00:22:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x0469e9…
09-30 23:38:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x16fbc5…
09-30 23:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x511955…
09-30 21:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x01e6d2…