Realistic-Limestone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$418

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 58% $-2

Other

7% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 11 7pm et	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	01-12 01:08
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	1	$6	80	0	+80	open	—	01-02 22:19
btc updown 15m 1767318300	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	01-02 01:58
btc updown 5m 1773013500	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-08 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-07 00:57
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	01-02 22:21
btc updown 15m 1767333600	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	01-02 06:04
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	01-02 02:03
bitcoin above 88k on january 2	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	01-02 00:08
will anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	3	$3	9	9	+0	open	—	01-20 22:24
nba phi dal 2026 01 01 spread home 1pt5	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	01-01 23:25
xrp updown 4h 1768179600	2	$3	38	0	+38	open	—	01-12 03:04
btc updown 15m 1767396600	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	01-02 22:29
btc updown 5m 1772919000	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 21:35
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	3	$2	29	29	+0	open	—	05-07 04:53
solana up or down on january 14	3	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	01-14 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$2	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 23:43
bitcoin up or down january 14 4pm et	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-14 21:54
btc updown 15m 1786329000	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	08-10 02:40
solana up or down january 8 3am et	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	01-08 08:33
bitcoin up or down january 7 11pm et	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	01-08 04:32
xrp up or down january 1 9pm et	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-02 02:04
solana up or down january 14 4pm et	2	$2	111	0	+111	open	—	01-14 21:55
btc updown 15m 1767927600	1	$2	100	0	+100	open	—	01-09 03:12
btc updown 15m 1767843000	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	01-08 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-11 05:07
btc updown 15m 1767861000	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	01-08 08:34
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	01-11 12:49
btc updown 5m 1773012600	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-08 23:30
btc updown 5m 1773016800	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-09 00:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:07:40	btc updown 5m 1786338300	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc1627f…
08-10 05:03:18	btc updown 5m 1786338000	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x20b2b1…
08-10 04:53:36	btc updown 5m 1786337400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7b8202…
08-10 04:41:54	btc updown 5m 1786336800	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb162e9…
08-10 03:18:01	btc updown 5m 1786331700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8a5839…
08-10 03:08:45	btc updown 15m 1786330800	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf943dc…
08-10 02:54:07	btc updown 15m 1786329900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe6f213…
08-10 02:46:48	btc updown 5m 1786329900	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa29ee1…
08-10 02:40:28	btc updown 15m 1786329000	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfb8c2f…
08-10 02:14:25	btc updown 5m 1786327800	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe201da…
06-26 19:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782501600	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x08c462…
06-16 04:55:24	btc updown 15m 1781585100	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x98cddb…
06-16 03:10:03	btc updown 15m 1781578800	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe3560d…
05-20 00:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2563c3…
05-19 22:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa13f55…
05-17 06:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x06c41e…
05-17 06:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x422d01…
05-17 04:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc0c713…
05-17 04:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9e1803…
05-17 03:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x98de7e…
05-17 03:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7d9949…
05-14 06:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x841739…
05-14 02:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x06dfa9…
05-14 01:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaeff3e…
05-14 00:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb62c56…
05-14 00:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8386ca…
05-13 23:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc98a82…
05-13 04:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d8b4c…
05-13 03:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf31a87…
05-13 03:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x33c1dd…
05-13 03:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1c50dc…
05-13 01:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xed4f81…
05-13 01:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x07371b…
05-13 01:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x862488…
05-13 01:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x19ba14…
05-13 01:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4bc3da…
05-13 00:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfded13…
05-13 00:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x9cece1…
05-13 00:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3bf2cb…
05-13 00:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x89f4e0…
05-13 00:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x375843…
05-13 00:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7618dd…
05-13 00:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9c2a8b…
05-13 00:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x01d9f1…
05-12 23:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3d72d7…
05-12 23:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x16af62…
05-12 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x64e316…
05-12 23:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xde6da3…
05-12 10:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x09f9f8…
05-12 09:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1bbc6a…
05-12 09:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xeb1052…
05-12 09:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9ad15d…
05-12 09:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4bbc25…
05-12 09:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x548a25…
05-11 06:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3551c8…
05-11 06:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0507a8…
05-11 06:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf5e354…
05-11 05:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4d0cf4…
05-11 05:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x950850…
05-11 05:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7ff286…
05-11 05:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x01b97f…
05-11 05:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8e34b8…
05-11 05:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xedcc79…
05-11 05:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6b0376…
05-11 05:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xaee88b…
05-11 05:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe7bd65…
05-11 05:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x897f32…
05-11 05:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x416ea0…
05-11 04:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0adb7f…
05-11 04:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x28a9cc…
05-11 04:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdd2047…
05-07 12:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb4ea04…
05-07 12:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa642a5…
05-07 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5890b3…
05-07 11:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5ed3c3…
05-07 04:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x988b01…
05-07 04:53:16	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	2¢	$0	0x47cf8e…
05-07 00:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x818787…
04-02 02:11:35	btc updown 5m 1775095800	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x935b62…
04-02 01:42:21	btc updown 5m 1775094000	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8856a1…
04-02 00:59:25	btc updown 5m 1775091300	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x334b4a…
04-02 00:43:39	btc updown 5m 1775090400	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb4aee1…
04-02 00:33:11	btc updown 5m 1775089800	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8011a8…
04-02 00:20:43	btc updown 15m 1775088900	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x609883…
04-02 00:06:01	btc updown 15m 1775088000	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x61913d…
04-02 00:02:35	btc updown 5m 1775088000	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xead4ab…
04-01 23:50:25	btc updown 15m 1775087100	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x07b332…
04-01 03:47:21	xrp updown 15m 1775015100	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfccc94…
04-01 03:33:07	btc updown 5m 1775014200	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6f52ac…
04-01 03:32:15	btc updown 15m 1775014200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdbff40…
04-01 03:29:47	btc updown 5m 1775013900	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3dc442…
04-01 01:34:03	btc updown 15m 1775007000	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4fa19a…
04-01 01:05:55	btc updown 15m 1775005200	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x648dcd…
03-31 02:11:25	btc updown 5m 1774923000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf331f1…
03-27 03:02:07	eth updown 5m 1774580400	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9504e1…
03-27 03:01:25	btc updown 5m 1774580400	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf4fe3f…
03-27 02:57:27	btc updown 15m 1774579500	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1f02ee…
03-27 02:57:11	eth updown 15m 1774579500	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8bd6d4…
03-27 02:37:25	eth updown 15m 1774578600	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0276ec…
03-27 02:36:45	btc updown 15m 1774578600	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf1e6ca…