Rude-Clavier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

108

Trades

241

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 03:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

96% 55% +$5

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-20 18:31
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:15
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-02 20:08
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-28 01:10
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 13:45
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 06:02
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 12:53
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:03
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:54
will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-29 02:44
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 12?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 21:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-17 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 14:38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-07 14:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-13 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-16 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-26 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-27 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-11 00:30
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-24 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 1?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:41:42	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x686658…
06-29 12:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9c22de…
06-29 12:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x743cef…
06-29 12:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x3a25ad…
06-29 12:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xad2cf4…
06-29 02:44:31	will trump meet with kim jong un in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa0b383…
06-28 22:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x8b45c9…
06-28 22:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc43562…
06-28 18:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x35a299…
06-28 09:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0b31d7…
06-28 04:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x835fb2…
06-27 11:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xfb4bb5…
06-27 11:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x12973b…
06-26 10:27:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x01e9aa…
06-26 10:08:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3574a4…
06-25 12:53:26	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3b9f2e…
06-25 03:12:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc808c0…
06-25 02:29:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xcc3282…
06-24 06:06:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x48999c…
06-24 05:12:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd87f99…
06-23 07:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x96a667…
06-22 22:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 23?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x358a16…
06-21 09:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xb00c68…
06-21 09:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xed3efb…
06-21 08:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9d1789…
06-20 18:31:01	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x130a96…
06-20 08:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xce35e3…
06-20 08:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe3b06b…
06-19 06:18:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9a6c60…
06-19 06:03:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 19?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4ef17c…
06-17 00:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3a1735…
06-17 00:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe68c8…
06-16 04:02:06	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x8a9fec…
06-15 15:53:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 16?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x47385b…
06-15 13:45:19	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xc43a39…
06-14 12:03:55	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe98951…
06-13 17:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa30d9f…
06-13 15:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xbe56a1…
06-13 13:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd3ba9d…
06-12 12:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x405c7f…
06-11 18:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x685017…
06-11 13:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xab1620…
06-10 17:14:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1e11d2…
06-10 17:07:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x8a7073…
06-10 15:43:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdab685…
06-08 23:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa0057e…
06-08 22:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x5a5737…
06-08 06:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x77f846…
06-08 06:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd45b82…
06-08 06:02:36	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0a7101…
06-07 12:45:03	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x58100e…
06-07 08:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc9b6a1…
06-06 23:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6665d2…
06-06 23:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x40193f…
06-06 23:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x53cea8…
06-06 19:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 7?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xecfe73…
06-06 09:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdacae1…
06-06 08:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb5429d…
06-06 08:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x1acc3d…
06-06 06:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe98c68…
06-05 12:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xded92f…
06-05 12:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdff887…
06-05 03:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x26c033…
06-05 02:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xadfedf…
06-04 04:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xa56c51…
06-03 16:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 4?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3ed959…
06-02 20:08:01	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0a6570…
06-02 18:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x074896…
06-02 17:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0f8b0b…
06-02 10:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xceeba2…
06-02 09:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd68fcd…
06-01 17:35:28	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xaf420c…
06-01 07:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8333e9…
06-01 07:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf0cf7b…
05-31 14:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xccce75…
05-31 13:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x82b008…
05-31 12:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1fc99d…
05-31 02:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x75eb22…
05-30 13:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfa69b6…
05-30 12:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb20fb4…
05-30 05:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe25c96…
05-30 03:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc4e6a9…
05-29 19:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xcdcd1c…
05-29 17:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa267c4…
05-29 07:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf601db…
05-29 07:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1fff5b…
05-29 07:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf5943…
05-29 07:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x937eb7…
05-28 15:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x8e6cfe…
05-28 15:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2aac96…
05-28 15:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xc72544…
05-28 13:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x215fb2…
05-28 05:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9da224…
05-28 05:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdea8b5…
05-28 01:10:44	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2d9a57…
05-27 12:56:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4c979e…
05-27 12:12:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6fff40…
05-27 05:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x5968b5…
05-26 19:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x8aa3fb…
05-26 19:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on May 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x656e66…