Honorable-Daybed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$204

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

401

lifetime

Volume

$56.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$166

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-08 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

94% 50% $-3

Other

6% 100% +$207

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-1,069	$-141	16¢	$-166	$-24	06-17 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$9.6K	6,400	6,400	+0	open	—	03-03 21:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	12	$7.9K	5,130	5,130	+0	open	—	03-21 20:41
will iran strike cyprus in march	10	$4.2K	6,142	6,142	+0	open	—	03-02 22:21
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	13	$3.2K	3,326	3,326	+0	open	—	04-12 19:52
will iran strike israel on march 5	3	$2.8K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	03-05 08:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	22	$2.5K	1,588	1,720	-132	open	—	05-28 14:19
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	10	$2.2K	5,128	1,128	+4,000	open	—	03-03 23:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	3	$2.0K	2,726	2,726	+0	open	—	03-03 22:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	9	$1.5K	862	862	+0	open	—	04-21 20:14
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	6	$1.5K	956	956	+0	Yes	+$207	03-29 17:14
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	7	$1.1K	1,258	1,258	+0	open	—	04-12 20:57
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	7	$1.0K	2,904	2,287	+617	open	—	02-27 10:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$961	782	782	+0	open	—	03-02 22:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$878	661	661	+0	open	—	04-05 06:07
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	6	$853	1,047	1,047	+0	open	—	03-11 14:44
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$800	571	571	+0	open	—	03-29 06:51
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	9	$739	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	02-04 19:54
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	10	$647	995	995	+0	open	—	03-13 01:06
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	3	$642	1,863	1,863	+0	open	—	04-09 19:22
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	4	$579	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	02-24 21:32
us strikes iraq by march 7	2	$533	685	685	+0	open	—	03-06 11:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$503	213	348	-135	open	—	05-12 00:45
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$473	331	331	+0	open	—	03-08 10:55
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	4	$454	1,217	1,217	+0	open	—	04-10 07:00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$448	385	385	+0	open	—	04-16 10:59
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	8	$402	535	607	-72	open	—	05-28 17:05
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	5	$389	462	326	+136	open	—	06-11 19:38
will qatar strike iran by march 31	4	$385	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	03-11 14:44
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	5	$381	2,420	2,420	+0	open	—	01-22 08:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$351	632	1,700	-1,069	open	—	06-17 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 21:28:01	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x13b553…
06-19 15:39:49	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	87	14¢	$12	0x5dcc19…
06-17 19:41:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	63	12¢	$8	0x8b55c5…
06-17 17:09:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	125	6¢	$7	0x2597b5…
06-17 17:09:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	333	12¢	$40	0x3ebdcf…
06-17 10:50:55	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd3e31f…
06-17 10:49:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	380	12¢	$46	0xc3bee8…
06-17 10:49:04	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x6fd45d…
06-17 10:48:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	158	5¢	$8	0x75f253…
06-17 10:48:28	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x4dfe02…
06-17 10:48:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	258	1¢	$3	0x3c4c2f…
06-14 10:33:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x37a2a0…
06-11 19:38:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	120	8¢	$10	0x5a9705…
06-11 12:24:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xff42d9…
06-11 02:38:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	177	4¢	$7	0x61a82e…
06-10 23:30:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0xcb2142…
06-10 23:29:49	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	27¢	$10	0x62ba2a…
06-10 23:29:34	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x7ed6ec…
06-10 23:28:31	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	76	14¢	$11	0x51e6e0…
06-10 23:28:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	85	19¢	$16	0x2ca421…
06-10 21:39:16	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x1ea7f4…
06-10 18:04:54	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	76	39¢	$30	0x7a69dd…
06-10 16:28:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x869d9a…
06-10 16:28:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x898aee…
06-09 20:09:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	120	19¢	$23	0xefb89f…
06-09 20:09:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	97	26¢	$26	0x3f0814…
06-09 18:10:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x445eec…
06-09 18:04:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x884baf…
06-09 18:04:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xec0ad2…
06-09 16:42:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x6b2ac3…
06-09 16:42:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3d7ab2…
06-08 13:00:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x51b352…
06-07 22:47:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0x0379b2…
06-07 19:34:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xeaaeb3…
06-07 19:02:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	423	78¢	$330	0x69dba3…
06-07 14:34:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x2308bc…
06-07 13:40:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	114	95¢	$108	0x52df0b…
06-07 12:36:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x012b01…
06-06 18:21:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	119	3¢	$4	0xa01b0f…
06-06 18:21:36	iran closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	80	27¢	$22	0xcda207…
06-06 18:11:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x7cbf93…
06-02 22:02:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2d270a…
06-02 22:01:29	Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xb4f404…
06-02 10:53:09	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x665039…
06-01 17:34:48	Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8ff3aa…
06-01 15:52:22	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x437cc9…
06-01 13:26:23	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x74e135…
06-01 13:25:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x5c5076…
06-01 13:23:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xe4ad54…
05-29 15:00:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	390	16¢	$62	0x9f03b1…
05-29 15:00:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x8a574a…
05-28 21:31:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	534	17¢	$91	0xe23862…
05-28 17:06:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5543a6…
05-28 17:05:27	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	115	20¢	$23	0x64553b…
05-28 14:19:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	164	81¢	$133	0x53703b…
05-28 14:18:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	145	86¢	$125	0x6ba2db…
05-28 11:13:17	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	74	31¢	$23	0x898ce5…
05-28 10:58:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x43e67a…
05-27 16:01:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	321	78¢	$251	0x7d60fd…
05-27 12:28:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	188	77¢	$145	0x1a2780…
05-27 12:27:04	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x94ebf3…
05-27 00:41:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	318	28¢	$89	0xf2e22a…
05-25 21:48:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	377	8¢	$31	0x5df195…
05-25 21:47:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	392	12¢	$46	0x472e63…
05-25 21:43:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xea3131…
05-25 21:40:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xf0979c…
05-25 21:26:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x0e4fd4…
05-25 16:28:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xf060c0…
05-25 15:39:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xce857e…
05-25 13:27:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xecfda1…
05-25 12:27:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	138	65¢	$89	0x66b4a4…
05-25 12:12:40	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xb23db1…
05-24 15:43:21	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x808b59…
05-24 15:42:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xfdc049…
05-24 15:41:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xd2f7fa…
05-24 05:54:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	161	7¢	$11	0xaf05bd…
05-24 05:54:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x824ee6…
05-24 05:54:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	256	2¢	$5	0x1ab0a3…
05-24 05:53:43	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	4¢	$20	0x571ba3…
05-23 21:26:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	278	23¢	$63	0x34d17a…
05-20 17:52:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0xa6cfa5…
05-20 17:51:58	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xdec01d…
05-20 17:51:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x07ff35…
05-20 17:50:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x9acd76…
05-20 17:44:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	108	36¢	$39	0xca3663…
05-20 17:14:43	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc13139…
05-12 10:48:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x92a5fc…
05-12 00:45:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	348	98¢	$343	0xa946db…
05-07 21:38:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	81	21¢	$17	0x5e98ad…
05-07 21:04:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x376127…
05-07 20:45:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x8e518d…
05-07 20:42:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	108	15¢	$16	0x629655…
05-07 20:40:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf144ae…
05-07 20:40:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x36b70f…
05-07 16:09:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x5d3e55…
05-07 16:08:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	120	84¢	$101	0xf13bca…
05-07 15:52:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x4fd5e4…
05-07 15:52:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb029b7…
05-07 11:30:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x2048ab…
05-06 13:16:06	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe2aad8…