Guilty-Crisis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$560

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

Trades

537

lifetime

Volume

$6.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-04 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-560

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	8	$73	135	+135	Down	$-73	05-10 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	6	$70	127	+127	Down	$-70	05-08 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	5	$69	120	+120	Down	$-69	05-10 21:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	5	$69	120	+120	Up	$-69	05-13 08:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$68	120	+120	Up	+$52	05-12 14:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$68	120	+120	Down	$-68	05-08 13:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$68	120	+120	Up	+$52	05-09 14:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$67	120	+120	Up	+$53	05-09 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	5	$67	120	+120	Down	$-67	05-11 13:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	5	$66	120	+120	Down	$-66	05-12 23:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	5	$65	120	+120	Up	+$55	05-07 14:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$59	100	+100	Down	+$41	05-09 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	6	$58	104	+104	Up	+$46	05-05 22:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	5	$58	110	+110	Down	$-58	05-09 23:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$58	100	+100	Down	$-58	05-08 13:27
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$58	120	+120	open	—	06-02 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	7	$57	102	+102	Up	+$45	05-10 10:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$57	100	+100	Down	$-57	05-10 20:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	5	$57	105	+105	Up	+$48	05-08 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	5	$56	100	+100	Down	$-56	05-07 00:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	4	$56	100	+100	Down	$-56	05-11 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$56	100	+100	Up	+$44	05-08 07:25
eth updown 15m 1780539300	4	$55	120	+120	open	—	06-04 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$55	100	+100	Down	$-55	05-10 01:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$54	100	+100	Down	$-54	05-11 13:30
eth updown 15m 1780516800	4	$54	120	+120	open	—	06-03 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$54	90	+90	open	—	05-30 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$53	120	+120	open	—	06-03 14:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	3	$53	90	+90	open	—	05-31 07:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$53	120	+120	open	—	05-30 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 02:14:55	eth updown 15m 1780539300	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x293215…
06-04 02:14:54	eth updown 15m 1780539300	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xdf0267…
06-04 02:14:54	eth updown 15m 1780539300	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xd7b490…
06-04 02:14:54	eth updown 15m 1780539300	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xbf4673…
06-04 01:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xb67c2e…
06-04 01:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x81b45f…
06-04 01:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x4d76f4…
06-04 01:59:52	eth updown 15m 1780538400	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x459bff…
06-04 01:29:54	eth updown 15m 1780536600	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xfa351c…
06-04 01:29:54	eth updown 15m 1780536600	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xf9db31…
06-04 00:29:54	eth updown 15m 1780533000	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x63d6f5…
06-03 21:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xefe421…
06-03 21:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xc93d6b…
06-03 21:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xc72093…
06-03 21:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x37c8d0…
06-03 20:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780520400	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xb368c9…
06-03 20:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780520400	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x3a97dc…
06-03 20:44:54	eth updown 15m 1780519500	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0xf06966…
06-03 20:44:54	eth updown 15m 1780519500	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xae91a8…
06-03 20:44:54	eth updown 15m 1780519500	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x926628…
06-03 20:14:54	eth updown 15m 1780517700	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8d51d9…
06-03 20:14:54	eth updown 15m 1780517700	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x065732…
06-03 19:59:55	eth updown 15m 1780516800	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x5021c2…
06-03 19:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780516800	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xa3cbb9…
06-03 19:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780516800	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x9c982f…
06-03 19:59:54	eth updown 15m 1780516800	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x2857e4…
06-03 19:29:52	eth updown 15m 1780515000	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xae094f…
06-03 14:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xa54f49…
06-03 14:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x3e8a5f…
06-03 14:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x1b988d…
06-03 14:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x15a9c9…
06-03 10:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xdf1a82…
06-03 10:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x1dbd83…
06-03 10:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x51b219…
06-03 07:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xdaa03c…
06-03 06:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xe496c5…
06-03 06:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x9d28b6…
06-03 05:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x79d1e8…
06-03 05:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xb8e360…
06-03 03:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x1b75e2…
06-03 03:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xf95835…
06-03 03:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xec2d3e…
06-03 03:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xb3de88…
06-03 01:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x02a43a…
06-02 23:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xd9fc1f…
06-02 23:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x317bf5…
06-02 23:14:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x53c4f9…
06-02 23:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xcec8de…
06-02 23:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x79ac62…
06-02 23:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x6f28c4…
06-02 22:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xda36a0…
06-02 22:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x975604…
06-02 21:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x1a1dda…
06-02 20:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xe20bea…
06-02 20:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc6c755…
06-02 20:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x172f5a…
06-02 19:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xb8b755…
06-02 19:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x635722…
06-02 14:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x8f1cab…
06-02 14:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x700a80…
06-02 09:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xa14d12…
06-02 09:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xb8b5d7…
06-02 09:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xa86b33…
06-02 02:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xfc56fa…
06-02 02:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x1a04b8…
06-01 23:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x857aef…
06-01 20:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x908cee…
06-01 19:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x1b14e3…
06-01 19:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x5b2a2c…
06-01 19:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x2fd5fc…
06-01 19:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xa37e84…
06-01 18:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xa294e8…
06-01 18:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x5cb480…
06-01 18:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x62a95d…
06-01 17:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xb9cd71…
06-01 17:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x94928a…
06-01 17:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x85b766…
06-01 17:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x910d26…
06-01 17:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x0d773c…
06-01 14:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x391931…
06-01 13:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xfec1d1…
06-01 12:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xacc2d5…
06-01 06:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x2e7405…
06-01 06:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x026f0d…
06-01 06:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xb4bb26…
06-01 06:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x43714e…
06-01 04:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x968e2b…
06-01 01:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xc1e842…
06-01 01:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x6aaade…
06-01 01:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x69717b…
06-01 01:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x19fdf0…
06-01 00:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x2c4337…
05-31 19:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xc1f825…
05-31 19:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xae4d04…
05-31 19:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xd6609c…
05-31 18:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x2d675b…
05-31 18:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x629b85…
05-31 14:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xd37473…
05-31 14:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x9122d5…
05-31 14:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x680b1d…