Guilty-Crisis — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$23

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

6 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$60

$60 lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes		-533	$-3	1¢	$-3	$-0	05-05 20:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$23	40	0	+40	Up	+$17	05-05 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$23	40	0	+40	Up	+$17	05-06 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$11	20	0	+20	Up	$-11	05-06 03:29
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	1	$3	0	533	-533	open	—	05-05 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xffe875…
05-06 05:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe7214f…
05-06 03:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x273700…
05-05 23:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xae8848…
05-05 23:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x47ae0f…
05-05 20:40:02	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	533	0¢	$3	0x8f3b29…