Lively-Transplantation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$708

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-02 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$0

Crypto

26% 100% +$1

Politics

21% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$122	122	+122	open	—	06-02 12:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$107	108	+108	open	—	05-30 11:25
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$66	67	+67	open	—	05-25 14:26
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$66	66	+66	open	—	05-21 09:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	05-15 05:57
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$28	29	+29	open	—	05-14 19:40
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$28	28	+28	Yes	+$0	05-09 11:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	1	$28	31	+31	open	—	05-19 20:43
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	05-29 14:23
amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	03-30 22:38
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$1	04-13 23:54
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	3	$8	8	+8	open	—	04-12 16:39
will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-24 09:16
googl above 280 on february 27 2026	3	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-23 15:01
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in january	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-06 04:09
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-08 14:15
will bnb dip to 600 in january	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-07 23:10
will solana reach 180 in february 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-21 03:54
will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-23 05:02
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-18 00:49
will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-21 06:14
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-17 09:59
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-11 02:27
will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-10 08:38
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-06 00:14
will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	2	$3	4	+4	open	—	03-29 02:35
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	01-13 16:55
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-06 20:21
Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-11 12:55
meta above 780 on january 30 2026	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	01-14 22:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 12:21:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x42eecf…
05-30 11:25:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x7ddad8…
05-29 14:23:04	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x019c58…
05-25 14:26:50	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0xa036ad…
05-21 09:28:39	Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x2c695f…
05-19 20:43:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xf16bdb…
05-15 05:57:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa51d5f…
05-14 19:40:11	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xc85ca0…
05-09 11:45:29	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x824816…
05-08 07:34:02	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbf44e5…
05-07 15:40:53	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b6165…
05-06 20:21:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcfef65…
04-18 03:32:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd2d1c2…
04-18 00:49:02	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe11aeb…
04-17 18:11:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4e228a…
04-17 01:23:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x000eaa…
04-15 13:06:24	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x36b15b…
04-14 08:09:13	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a2894…
04-13 23:54:55	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf9668f…
04-13 16:21:57	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xebd175…
04-13 13:49:47	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1dee84…
04-13 08:11:23	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xddbece…
04-13 05:33:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa55f25…
04-13 04:02:45	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe812eb…
04-12 16:39:31	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7ea192…
04-12 00:52:17	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82f6ac…
04-11 20:18:59	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x59243a…
04-11 12:55:57	Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdd834b…
04-11 05:10:23	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x58116d…
04-11 04:35:37	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x03a95c…
04-10 15:59:39	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x68ecbe…
04-08 11:04:29	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe0988d…
04-07 14:01:25	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c396b…
04-07 03:53:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfbd47d…
04-06 00:14:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x320d7e…
04-05 14:18:37	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa49657…
04-05 11:35:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x47d85d…
03-30 22:38:45	amzn above 160 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5d6c8d…
03-30 07:14:58	will bnb reach 700 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc47709…
03-29 02:35:52	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x043ec4…
03-27 10:52:21	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7c9e4d…
03-25 22:32:05	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3f7594…
03-24 06:02:11	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e0e39…
03-23 13:56:09	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6bea28…
03-23 12:17:35	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf679e8…
03-23 05:02:37	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xd1e95d…
03-21 03:34:31	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4ab0a9…
03-21 02:57:09	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0d3de9…
03-21 00:42:37	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x693034…
03-12 06:29:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc232e1…
03-11 16:22:19	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x249d4d…
03-11 01:30:09	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x582cfe…
03-10 01:18:57	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b0198…
03-10 01:14:41	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x465ec5…
03-09 12:07:05	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9677d…
03-09 06:58:19	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x49d04f…
03-09 04:04:53	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70c831…
03-08 04:44:55	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87ee48…
03-07 17:18:27	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7a6fc…
03-07 15:44:33	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31badc…
03-07 04:12:13	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63deb4…
03-06 20:35:23	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe28796…
03-06 15:55:03	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e0845…
03-06 13:39:43	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78317b…
03-06 09:04:57	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22c789…
03-05 15:27:51	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x47b5c5…
03-05 13:05:53	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6226d7…
03-05 07:07:31	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83be28…
02-24 11:24:10	amzn above 300 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x350667…
02-23 22:04:20	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21a785…
02-23 21:22:12	pltr above 164 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4aba73…
02-23 15:01:32	googl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9a4c5…
02-23 11:27:32	nflx above 20 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa96f37…
02-23 09:18:06	googl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf63915…
02-23 04:53:40	googl above 400 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9c474…
02-22 01:46:02	nvda above 250 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xda8734…
02-21 23:13:46	will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0111ee…
02-21 22:05:22	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82e061…
02-21 08:10:02	googl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdc6d58…
02-21 06:14:08	will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x34f458…
02-21 03:54:22	will solana reach 180 in february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d3330…
02-12 00:43:41	aapl above 320 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6caa40…
02-09 11:00:13	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x495875…
01-24 09:16:10	will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa9d570…
01-23 10:27:18	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9bbc4c…
01-22 00:30:42	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaa5024…
01-19 20:12:16	tsla above 540 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2cb8b8…
01-17 09:59:22	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcfe60b…
01-16 05:34:14	meta above 760 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4876a9…
01-14 22:35:56	meta above 780 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa9a9a0…
01-13 16:55:33	gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75a325…
01-11 02:27:48	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4a8601…
01-10 08:38:02	will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe8a929…
01-08 14:15:46	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d7918…
01-07 23:10:13	will bnb dip to 600 in january	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x547f6b…
01-06 04:09:59	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in january	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8c8a6…