Gregarious-Smile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,444

lifetime

Volume

$241.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-28 06:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

98% 73% +$4,128

Tech

1% 25% -$309

Other

0% 33% -$29

Sports

0% 0% -$107

Crypto

0% 0% -$218

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	172	$50.4K	28,883	28,883	+0	Yes	-$322	06-16 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	138	$38.3K	36,464	35,546	+918	Yes	-$1,052	06-16 13:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	54	$27.7K	17,725	16,290	+1,435	No	+$1,257	05-31 01:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	29	$19.8K	11,762	11,762	+0	No	+$1,630	05-26 14:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	46	$18.6K	10,685	10,685	+0	No	+$766	06-04 10:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$9.3K	5,015	5,015	+0	No	+$251	05-09 01:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$8.7K	4,431	4,431	+0	No	+$142	05-23 00:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	61	$8.0K	6,228	6,228	+0	Yes	+$210	06-09 17:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	30	$5.7K	3,203	3,203	+0	No	-$35	06-12 06:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$4.8K	5,830	0	+5,830	No	+$1,067	05-09 01:41
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	19	$4.5K	3,655	3,655	+0	No	-$319	06-17 21:26
israel closes its airspace by june 8	413	$3.5K	2,557	2,557	+0	No	+$86	06-08 12:20
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	6	$2.4K	1,461	1,461	+0	Yes	+$205	06-06 11:42
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	19	$2.4K	1,307	1,307	+0	Yes	+$42	06-15 00:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$43	05-18 09:18
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	54	$2.2K	2,817	2,817	+0	Yes	+$62	06-12 15:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	7	$2.0K	1,048	1,048	+0	No	+$18	06-09 07:11
israel closes its airspace by june 9	54	$2.0K	1,459	1,459	+0	No	+$150	06-08 11:23
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$1.9K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$49	06-14 20:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	2	$1.9K	1,085	1,085	+0	No	-$11	05-25 00:49
israel closes its airspace by june 12	6	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$35	06-11 20:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$147	05-23 23:38
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	7	$1.3K	696	696	+0	No	+$30	06-11 12:22
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	21	$1.2K	920	920	+0	Yes	-$10	06-12 10:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	33	$1.2K	16,481	16,481	+0	Yes	+$28	06-14 23:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	10	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$25	05-26 01:04
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	8	$1.0K	600	600	+0	No	+$45	06-26 22:16
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	9	$970	882	882	+0	Yes	+$2	06-12 15:07
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	10	$959	935	935	+0	Yes	$0	06-09 10:32
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	6	$804	2,072	2,072	+0	Yes	-$306	06-09 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 06:34:37	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	400	15¢	$59	0x05f75e…
07-28 06:34:30	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	1,200	5¢	$60	0x9c7b60…
07-28 00:05:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	370	3¢	$10	0x1cd8f2…
07-27 23:51:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x99e861…
07-27 23:33:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xde9af4…
07-27 23:28:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	SELL	149	3¢	$4	0x5e51ca…
07-25 08:59:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	85	32¢	$27	0x845233…
07-25 06:55:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xdb104e…
07-25 05:59:37	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xfea900…
07-25 05:59:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xf5879c…
07-25 02:15:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	138	18¢	$25	0x6624fb…
07-24 21:25:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x433b02…
07-24 21:24:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x41777e…
07-24 21:22:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe9e46f…
07-24 19:41:33	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0xd6fea8…
07-24 18:44:58	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	300	21¢	$63	0x399cba…
07-24 14:11:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0x9ee2ff…
07-20 10:53:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0xe61742…
07-19 21:46:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	800	9¢	$73	0xc024b1…
07-19 21:25:39	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	196	32¢	$63	0x3cf142…
07-19 21:25:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xc3f15b…
07-19 19:55:39	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xa67eb5…
07-18 19:57:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	700	30¢	$210	0x091a34…
07-18 05:59:09	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	81	16¢	$13	0x7e37e0…
07-18 05:07:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb98bd4…
07-18 03:22:28	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x752bab…
07-18 03:07:06	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	131	16¢	$21	0x535730…
07-18 01:30:39	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xd1895c…
07-18 01:26:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc27e29…
07-18 01:17:22	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe5948c…
07-18 01:01:39	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x75efff…
07-18 00:13:43	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0xa2da9f…
07-17 22:39:37	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	202	41¢	$84	0x7ea9c3…
07-17 22:23:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0xb7ce15…
07-17 21:08:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xcb09eb…
07-17 06:11:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	471	22¢	$104	0x892f89…
07-17 05:35:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x591f89…
07-17 05:35:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xcf8e7b…
07-16 20:47:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	700	23¢	$161	0x32cdb2…
07-14 21:41:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	19¢	$115	0xd2b157…
07-14 21:12:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	35	79¢	$27	0x6abd08…
07-14 21:10:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	153	79¢	$120	0xbfc672…
07-14 21:10:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x5392bf…
07-14 18:42:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	182	41¢	$75	0x02d4ce…
07-14 18:30:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	318	41¢	$130	0xa2cf52…
07-14 15:38:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	200	81¢	$163	0x21aea1…
07-12 21:30:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x35d8e8…
07-12 21:30:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x9249c2…
07-10 14:36:02	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	5,395	1¢	$59	0xddca98…
07-10 12:56:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x448e9d…
07-07 22:05:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	246	78¢	$192	0xf139e1…
07-07 21:23:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	54	78¢	$42	0x2d0a6d…
07-07 18:56:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	147	31¢	$46	0xce2c93…
07-04 16:28:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	147	27¢	$40	0xdbe2ba…
07-04 16:27:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	3,395	1¢	$41	0xa0f377…
06-26 22:16:53	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0xbd4a5f…
06-26 22:14:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	281	81¢	$228	0x8da580…
06-26 22:13:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	119	81¢	$96	0x105b08…
06-26 11:49:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xd1d525…
06-26 07:10:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	137	67¢	$92	0xb82d76…
06-26 07:00:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	63	67¢	$42	0xb4987b…
06-23 23:06:11	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xf8f656…
06-20 23:28:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$173	0xfab710…
06-20 05:50:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x22679e…
06-20 05:47:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x50b88e…
06-20 05:46:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xea82d3…
06-20 05:46:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0xe5e8c6…
06-20 05:13:59	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	23¢	$93	0x35a342…
06-20 05:13:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	400	58¢	$231	0xd9845e…
06-19 20:34:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	400	87¢	$350	0xf0881d…
06-19 20:34:01	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe4afd3…
06-19 20:31:44	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	38¢	$151	0x520636…
06-19 20:19:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	66	82¢	$55	0x30a6ef…
06-19 20:19:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0x582e7a…
06-19 19:13:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x262162…
06-19 19:13:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	275	82¢	$226	0x9ab9cc…
06-19 17:08:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	600	59¢	$354	0x76b61a…
06-19 10:54:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	52¢	$39	0xf819b6…
06-19 10:54:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x983889…
06-19 10:54:17	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0x1b36a6…
06-19 10:44:08	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	52¢	$49	0x766602…
06-19 09:28:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	263	82¢	$215	0x2ac650…
06-19 09:28:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xff29bc…
06-19 09:28:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	95	82¢	$77	0xad3267…
06-19 09:28:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xdf2049…
06-19 09:28:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xe784b4…
06-19 09:15:40	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$87	0x16582f…
06-18 22:01:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	200	56¢	$111	0x817480…
06-18 19:21:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xe725b1…
06-18 11:18:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	595	37¢	$220	0x12ab70…
06-18 11:18:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5d3a0f…
06-17 21:26:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$15	0xbb67b3…
06-17 20:22:47	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x9bdb42…
06-17 19:40:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x9f8df9…
06-17 19:00:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x4068cc…
06-17 18:38:02	will recep tayyip erdogan attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204738	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xb61ea9…
06-17 18:37:17	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	No	BUY	89	82¢	$73	0x89d1fa…
06-17 11:25:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	504	61¢	$307	0xb7e130…
06-17 11:14:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0x1126dd…
06-17 11:04:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb127af…