Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
45.2%
Resolved
26
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$457
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$23
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-09 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Crypto
51% 37% $-16
Politics
36% 0% $-6
Other
11% 0% $-6
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-5 32¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 17:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +20 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 05-30 23:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-1 62¢ $-4 $-4 05-29 17:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -5 $-4 70¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 23:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -9 $-2 20¢ $-2 +$0 05-28 18:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-04 18:58
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 06-09 17:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-07 19:51
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +2 $1 48¢ $1 $-0 06-08 21:53