Vivid-Haze-Dud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

184

Trades

420

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-30 21:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

51% 39% -$211

Politics

30% 24% -$175

Crypto

17% 37% -$16

Tech

1% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+91	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	05-10 16:54
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	11¢	$0	-$1	06-08 21:53
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	05-06 19:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$92	321	12	+309	Yes	-$82	06-14 22:50
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	7	$60	69	69	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	16	$44	52	38	+15	Up	+$12	05-07 19:59
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	5	$35	563	0	+563	No	-$35	05-19 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$33	40	0	+40	Up	+$7	05-07 18:19
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	6	$28	325	0	+325	No	-$28	05-14 18:32
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	4	$28	31	31	+0	No	-$2	05-19 23:12
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$26	29	29	+0	No	+$6	06-26 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	8	$26	30	30	+0	Up	-$8	05-07 20:30
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	06-24 23:03
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	06-18 20:50
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	4	$23	16	16	+0	No	+$3	05-24 14:40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	06-22 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$21	17	17	+0	Down	-$1	05-07 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$20	16	16	+0	Up	-$2	05-07 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$19	16	16	+0	Down	-$1	05-07 20:20
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$19	32	0	+32	Yes	-$19	06-03 19:00
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	2	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	06-03 18:59
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$18	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	06-22 19:19
iran closes its airspace by june 8	9	$18	990	990	+0	Yes	-$2	06-08 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 20:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$16	4,464	0	+4,464	Yes	-$16	05-29 16:39
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$16	31	0	+31	Yes	+$1	05-15 23:04
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	3	$16	529	0	+529	No	-$16	06-03 23:37
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$16	1,257	1,257	+0	No	-$4	05-05 22:39
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$16	5,688	5,688	+0	No	-$4	05-05 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$15	28	0	+28	Down	-$15	05-09 11:59
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	2	$14	22	0	+22	No	-$14	06-18 20:43
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	06-18 18:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$13	631	6	+625	No	-$1	05-26 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 21:57:57	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xc23d1d…
07-19 13:07:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4837aa…
07-19 13:06:24	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xd67fd4…
07-11 20:45:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbf5f56…
07-11 20:45:32	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6af663…
07-10 18:36:05	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe6eee9…
07-09 21:31:34	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb35994…
07-06 00:55:23	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5ba107…
07-04 22:55:59	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x124ff1…
07-04 18:17:58	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xad4be7…
07-04 18:17:47	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf350e0…
07-03 20:54:16	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1f5cb9…
07-03 20:44:07	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x437e23…
07-03 19:43:22	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe58e6b…
06-29 23:15:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1d7020…
06-28 01:49:16	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd30629…
06-26 19:58:05	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x73a26e…
06-26 19:02:40	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb097da…
06-26 17:09:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0x2c825e…
06-25 17:23:14	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x26ca4c…
06-25 17:22:55	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xad57a7…
06-25 17:22:28	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9c6faf…
06-24 23:40:49	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xff43ce…
06-24 23:38:04	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc3841d…
06-24 23:36:44	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6c54a2…
06-24 23:20:10	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 btts	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x8b1a5e…
06-24 23:03:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x16c466…
06-24 21:45:56	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 btts	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa7f2dc…
06-24 21:41:26	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x54ce3b…
06-24 21:40:58	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd847d9…
06-23 21:27:32	England to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb427b5…
06-23 21:25:46	England to score first vs. Ghana?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb0c7ca…
06-23 19:35:29	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd4d063…
06-23 19:35:22	England to score first vs. Ghana?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3e837a…
06-23 19:22:17	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7510c6…
06-23 18:27:28	Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x275c33…
06-23 17:14:13	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x09dd46…
06-22 22:19:34	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcc8f6e…
06-22 21:57:49	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x36fe43…
06-22 20:15:38	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts second half	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x866a8c…
06-22 19:38:44	France to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x58a3e1…
06-22 19:38:32	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts first half	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0b8e22…
06-22 19:38:17	France leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe88ce4…
06-22 19:19:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xd45f8e…
06-22 18:42:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x9d9dd2…
06-22 18:02:10	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x06489a…
06-22 15:07:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf03ba9…
06-22 01:33:32	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa0bfaf…
06-22 01:29:08	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xd9d3b4…
06-21 22:53:38	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb437a8…
06-21 20:34:22	Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc65065…
06-21 20:33:05	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x11bdde…
06-21 18:15:47	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x60faae…
06-21 18:15:35	Spain to win the second half?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd820a9…
06-21 16:56:05	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc12912…
06-21 16:55:49	Spain to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5b761e…
06-20 21:01:43	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x52c149…
06-20 19:50:28	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4bc7dc…
06-20 01:43:58	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdc8c78…
06-19 23:25:17	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd2932e…
06-19 01:15:28	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa0ac0e…
06-19 00:05:14	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	Canada	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc659dc…
06-19 00:05:05	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 goals jonathan david gte3	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc656b3…
06-18 23:30:34	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 5pt5	Canada	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xff4ac6…
06-18 23:28:01	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts second half	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6c3b94…
06-18 22:59:37	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts second half	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x638513…
06-18 22:57:58	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 goals jonathan david gte3	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x53742b…
06-18 22:50:50	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x17cd80…
06-18 22:37:40	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d883f…
06-18 22:37:10	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa255f6…
06-18 22:33:19	Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x602720…
06-18 22:02:59	Canada leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8d6265…
06-18 22:01:50	Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6da635…
06-18 20:51:50	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	63	19¢	$12	0x3cc916…
06-18 20:50:14	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0x6ed061…
06-18 20:43:59	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x85d4f5…
06-18 20:43:20	Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xebf85c…
06-18 20:39:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts second half	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x425a3b…
06-18 20:35:05	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x917294…
06-18 20:34:37	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xab27a7…
06-18 19:57:07	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts second half	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x24165e…
06-18 19:56:31	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f1dde…
06-18 19:09:49	Switzerland to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5a3768…
06-18 18:15:29	Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x535246…
06-18 18:15:08	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0bda77…
06-18 17:47:35	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x977fa5…
06-18 17:45:16	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd358f3…
06-18 17:43:50	Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x38c9fc…
06-18 00:14:23	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x6d2eae…
06-17 22:56:49	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x887496…
06-17 22:56:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x1853fb…
06-17 22:55:40	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x40a440…
06-17 21:04:50	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x34f07a…
06-17 20:06:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2ddd20…
06-17 20:04:46	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa12224…
06-17 20:04:08	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbed1ec…
06-17 17:22:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4fb32a…
06-17 17:17:49	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x5a908b…
06-17 11:16:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7f5591…
06-16 23:50:58	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x306299…