Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.53K

Unrealized P&L

-$700

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

314

Trades

10,594

lifetime

Volume

$55.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$192

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-06 22:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 41% -$120

Politics

27% 22% +$3,052

Other

1% 0% -$406

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No		+4,700	$893	4¢	$179	-$714	11-05 20:40
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes		-1,450	-$28	1¢	$-14	+$14	10-30 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	22	$5.5K	11,700	7,700	+4,000	Yes	+$3,885	02-20 17:23
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$4.1K	8,800	8,800	+0	No	+$88	01-24 23:29
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	45	$2.7K	16,185	14,541	+1,643	Yes	+$82	01-22 02:53
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$1.0K	5,850	0	+5,850	No	-$1,036	01-31 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 00:30 UTC	342	$997	1,959	0	+1,959	Down	-$11	01-17 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 00:00 UTC	356	$944	2,133	0	+2,133	Down	+$37	01-17 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 00:15 UTC	310	$910	1,976	0	+1,976	Down	+$168	01-17 00:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$893	4,700	0	+4,700	open	—	11-05 20:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 10:15 UTC	86	$820	1,707	0	+1,707	Down	-$138	01-17 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 10:00 UTC	86	$711	1,326	0	+1,326	Down	+$64	01-17 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 09:15 UTC	79	$689	1,423	0	+1,423	Up	-$246	01-17 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 09:30 UTC	90	$666	1,520	0	+1,520	Up	-$4	01-17 09:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 08:45 UTC	97	$625	1,170	0	+1,170	Up	+$15	01-17 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 13:45 UTC	140	$608	1,525	0	+1,525	Down	-$179	01-18 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:30 UTC	194	$593	1,624	263	+1,361	Down	-$69	01-18 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 09:45 UTC	98	$592	1,307	0	+1,307	Down	+$20	01-17 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 18:45 UTC	139	$585	1,143	168	+975	Down	+$88	01-20 18:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 10:00 UTC	73	$550	1,043	0	+1,043	Up	-$54	01-17 10:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 09:30 UTC	83	$542	1,160	0	+1,160	Up	-$60	01-17 09:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 09:45 UTC	76	$535	1,419	0	+1,419	Down	-$56	01-17 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 00:45 UTC	185	$532	1,178	0	+1,178	Down	-$58	01-17 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 16:45 UTC	119	$483	1,092	160	+932	Up	+$44	01-20 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 22:45 UTC	162	$478	888	322	+566	Up	+$61	01-18 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 23:00 UTC	219	$471	1,196	0	+1,196	Up	+$389	01-16 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 22:30 UTC	164	$463	1,009	0	+1,009	Up	+$33	01-16 22:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 09:00 UTC	86	$459	1,103	0	+1,103	Down	+$45	01-17 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 23:15 UTC	189	$448	1,349	345	+1,004	Down	-$81	01-18 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 11:45 UTC	80	$440	1,168	0	+1,168	Up	+$352	01-17 11:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 08:45 UTC	53	$430	739	0	+739	Up	-$40	01-17 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 14:15 UTC	125	$427	1,398	0	+1,398	Down	+$133	01-18 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:30:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	331	0¢	$2	0x16057e…
11-06 22:00:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x1400a4…
11-06 21:47:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x551d08…
11-05 20:40:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	4,700	19¢	$893	0x508346…
11-02 18:18:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x566b68…
11-02 18:03:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x732133…
11-02 13:49:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x9d4868…
11-02 13:16:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x6983ea…
11-02 11:36:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xa27471…
11-02 06:25:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	190	11¢	$21	0x0e5581…
11-02 00:24:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x6bc83e…
11-02 00:22:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xdd17fd…
11-02 00:14:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xbc756d…
11-02 00:13:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa870f8…
11-02 00:05:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	133	12¢	$16	0xf0fe2d…
11-01 23:13:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xd871dd…
11-01 12:04:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x896b7a…
10-31 00:55:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xc44d11…
10-30 23:26:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x1e7a69…
10-30 23:09:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xd67fbb…
10-30 22:45:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,450	2¢	$28	0xff439d…
05-18 23:20:51	Tucker Carlson federally charged?	Yes	BUY	1,333	2¢	$27	0x1a3131…
05-09 03:52:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$11	0xf7428c…
05-08 23:55:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	587	14¢	$82	0x9e741f…
03-18 12:17:17	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc25490…
03-18 12:11:49	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9882a5…
03-18 12:08:45	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6de328…
03-18 10:41:23	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4d077b…
03-18 10:13:23	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe7c0aa…
03-18 08:52:35	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x3153ed…
03-18 08:25:45	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7fe267…
03-18 06:58:43	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd44205…
03-18 06:31:57	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0d74af…
03-18 04:26:29	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeba0a3…
03-18 03:10:09	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x83252e…
03-18 02:57:39	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x30f2da…
03-18 02:00:33	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2bed18…
03-18 01:46:03	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2b5508…
03-17 13:39:55	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc0b2c1…
03-17 13:28:37	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0924b5…
03-17 12:28:47	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xbf2050…
03-17 08:32:27	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x651470…
03-17 01:48:45	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f7154…
03-17 01:14:19	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfdaae8…
03-17 01:05:09	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x49fb4f…
03-16 22:27:47	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x3ba84a…
03-16 21:14:09	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	424	1¢	$3	0xeb2215…
03-16 18:17:35	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x049060…
03-16 15:22:43	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x15a0cd…
03-16 14:29:31	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x74ae41…
03-16 14:28:07	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2c183…
03-16 13:03:33	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x97efc3…
03-16 12:43:59	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x08e1ab…
03-16 12:08:35	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x2e7dee…
03-16 11:48:01	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xd59ca4…
03-16 09:55:55	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xaab8d5…
03-16 09:45:25	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x918514…
03-16 09:31:51	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x1c13f4…
03-16 09:25:53	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0xc9bba8…
03-16 09:16:57	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x43773a…
03-16 09:13:05	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x888705…
03-16 09:05:15	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xabf067…
03-16 08:16:09	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe04afa…
03-16 02:15:57	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe2d952…
03-16 01:57:41	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x68a44c…
03-15 23:44:43	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xdc984c…
03-15 21:34:29	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x892689…
03-15 16:17:29	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x1bae41…
03-15 11:33:29	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x0b511d…
03-15 09:41:27	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xdac903…
03-15 09:35:07	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x284951…
03-15 09:10:57	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xa383f6…
03-15 09:10:55	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe654f6…
03-15 09:10:41	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf3bc63…
03-15 06:35:45	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xdbc1a5…
03-15 02:01:07	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe369c4…
03-15 01:08:53	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7b798b…
03-14 15:33:01	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	Yes	BUY	6,610	0¢	$20	0xd32d98…
03-14 15:10:23	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xb55b66…
03-14 14:57:47	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x1b1dc9…
03-14 14:25:35	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x363f39…
03-13 23:34:33	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xdce04d…
03-13 01:46:53	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	195	1¢	$1	0x7e73a6…
03-12 22:38:27	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x12701e…
03-12 22:35:07	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xe79863…
03-12 22:34:57	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x24a828…
03-12 20:32:53	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	462	1¢	$5	0xb506bc…
03-12 20:31:57	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	355	1¢	$2	0xc2bf88…
03-12 20:30:27	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	541	1¢	$4	0x79dfc8…
03-12 19:05:31	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	177	1¢	$1	0xb36409…
03-12 15:18:47	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x78d229…
03-12 15:18:11	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	494	1¢	$3	0xa07eae…
03-12 11:21:55	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa688b4…
03-12 09:18:27	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xb15e6e…
03-12 07:31:49	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x299229…
03-12 07:31:37	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf56754…
03-12 07:31:23	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	1,006	1¢	$6	0x649224…
03-12 07:31:07	will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x0fcf2b…
03-12 07:31:01	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	Yes	BUY	392	1¢	$4	0x6f4726…
03-11 20:44:57	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	Yes	BUY	291	1¢	$2	0x078761…