Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$532

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$99

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-24 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

33% 62% -$635

Sports

32% 71% +$83

Crypto

19% 100% +$1

Politics

13% 60% +$21

Tech

3% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+100	$97	99¢	$99	+$3	05-03 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba bkn det 2026 02 01	1	$425	500	+500	Pistons	+$75	02-01 22:05
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$386	400	+400	No	-$386	02-13 01:03
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$376	400	+400	No	+$24	02-13 01:05
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$300	300	+300	No	+$0	01-28 20:15
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$300	300	+300	No	+$0	01-28 20:15
nba chi mia 2026 02 01	1	$195	300	+300	Heat	+$105	02-01 22:07
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	1	$186	200	+200	No	-$186	02-13 01:05
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$161	200	+200	No	+$39	03-26 21:35
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	1	$155	500	+500	Lakers	-$155	02-13 01:06
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$137	200	+200	Yes	+$63	01-28 20:13
nba sac was 2026 02 01	1	$102	200	+200	Wizards	-$102	02-01 22:06
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-26 21:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	03-26 21:39
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-26 21:34
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-26 21:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-26 21:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$99	100	+100	No	+$1	03-26 21:37
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$97	100	+100	open	—	05-03 03:40
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$63	100	+100	No	+$37	03-26 21:36
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	1	$59	59	+59	No	+$0	03-26 21:41
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$58	200	+200	Yes	-$58	01-28 20:14
nba lac phx 2026 02 01	1	$43	100	+100	Clippers	+$57	02-02 00:14
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$24	200	+200	No	-$24	01-28 20:16
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$16	200	+200	No	-$16	01-28 20:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	10-24 23:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	09-19 05:28
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	08-14 05:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$14	14	+14	No	+$0	07-12 01:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	06-08 04:29
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-03 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 23:20:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2a942f…
09-19 05:28:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2df416…
08-14 05:22:04	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf28fda…
07-12 01:02:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x0f1a81…
06-08 04:29:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9121a6…
05-03 03:40:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe79571…
05-03 03:40:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44c222…
04-07 05:46:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51ac9b…
03-26 21:41:29	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x316531…
03-26 21:40:55	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b6454…
03-26 21:39:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0731c5…
03-26 21:37:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x07ac48…
03-26 21:36:59	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x9705e8…
03-26 21:35:51	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	200	80¢	$161	0xff3b51…
03-26 21:34:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x274717…
03-26 21:33:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4e003f…
03-26 21:33:21	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x206db2…
03-26 21:31:37	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x45efa5…
03-26 21:31:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x181c38…
03-26 21:30:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x24d1c7…
03-26 21:30:07	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xae627f…
02-13 01:06:43	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Mavericks	BUY	500	31¢	$155	0xa9b764…
02-13 01:05:35	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xa40716…
02-13 01:05:05	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x7e30bd…
02-13 01:03:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	400	97¢	$386	0x0af729…
02-02 00:14:36	nba lac phx 2026 02 01	Clippers	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x8fcd60…
02-01 22:07:56	nba chi mia 2026 02 01	Heat	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x46f22f…
02-01 22:06:58	nba sac was 2026 02 01	Kings	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x1d9861…
02-01 22:05:36	nba bkn det 2026 02 01	Pistons	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x4531b1…
01-28 20:17:28	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x665f6f…
01-28 20:16:24	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x8dfabb…
01-28 20:15:14	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe3cd55…
01-28 20:15:00	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xd42788…
01-28 20:14:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xc7227e…
01-28 20:13:44	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$137	0x5f8e65…