Fumbling-Uncertainty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

479

Trades

1,562

lifetime

Volume

$5.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-06 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 52% $-17

Other

7% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bnb updown 15m 1774710000	3	$88	160	0	+160	open	—	03-28 15:06
doge updown 15m 1774854900	13	$88	160	0	+160	open	—	03-30 07:17
sol updown 5m 1774963500	1	$82	160	0	+160	open	—	03-31 13:24
doge updown 15m 1774841400	9	$67	122	0	+122	open	—	03-30 03:33
sol updown 5m 1774964400	2	$56	80	77	+3	open	—	03-31 13:43
doge updown 15m 1774849500	1	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-30 05:45
doge updown 15m 1774829700	1	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-30 00:18
doge updown 15m 1774847700	1	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-30 05:15
sol updown 5m 1774953900	6	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-31 10:45
hype updown 15m 1774710000	14	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-28 15:05
xrp updown 15m 1774849500	7	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-30 05:45
bnb updown 15m 1774722600	8	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-28 18:33
bnb updown 15m 1774707300	6	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-28 14:21
xrp updown 15m 1774712700	13	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-28 15:46
doge updown 15m 1774843200	14	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-30 04:01
xrp updown 15m 1774847700	11	$44	80	0	+80	open	—	03-30 05:13
sol updown 5m 1774952400	3	$42	78	0	+78	open	—	03-31 10:20
sol updown 5m 1774959900	1	$41	80	0	+80	open	—	03-31 12:24
xrp updown 15m 1774793700	5	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-29 14:13
xrp updown 15m 1774844100	1	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 04:15
doge updown 15m 1774836000	2	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 02:00
hype updown 15m 1774852200	1	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 06:30
xrp updown 15m 1774710000	3	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-28 14:58
sol updown 5m 1774953300	2	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-31 10:35
bnb updown 15m 1774719900	3	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-28 17:56
doge updown 15m 1774837800	1	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 02:30
bnb updown 15m 1774704600	6	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-28 13:30
doge updown 15m 1774713600	4	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-28 16:00
doge updown 15m 1774857600	5	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 08:01
xrp updown 15m 1774854900	4	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-30 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 22:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x47be7f…
05-06 22:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x89d3d3…
05-06 21:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9343d4…
05-06 21:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2f5e0e…
05-06 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbf3937…
05-06 21:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6828b8…
05-06 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe10827…
05-06 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5edd15…
05-06 21:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0bc480…
05-06 21:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfc6663…
05-06 20:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf92d8f…
05-06 20:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1c53f5…
05-06 20:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x309234…
05-06 20:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbb2a60…
05-06 20:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3a92b8…
05-06 20:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x00cfa3…
05-06 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd563cf…
05-06 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x55a434…
05-06 20:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb613a9…
05-06 20:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8b79f6…
05-06 20:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7ff9b7…
05-06 20:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8b180e…
05-06 19:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3d6a4f…
05-06 19:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5df5e9…
05-06 19:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf623e8…
05-06 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3dbe6f…
05-06 19:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0e185a…
05-06 19:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdbc61d…
05-06 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8df775…
05-06 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3b5644…
05-06 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7e79aa…
05-06 19:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x00602e…
05-06 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd02aa0…
05-06 18:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x433e8f…
05-06 18:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1c7ba7…
05-06 18:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x33b2fe…
05-06 18:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9ca0bf…
05-06 18:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe2daa7…
05-06 18:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x64b9ad…
05-06 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdeec7c…
05-06 18:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x957c39…
05-06 18:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa9b273…
05-06 18:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xded735…
05-06 18:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3aae3d…
05-06 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x701516…
05-06 17:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x668090…
05-06 17:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4b1492…
05-06 17:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x35f98d…
05-06 17:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x300aac…
05-06 17:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd826ea…
05-06 17:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0xdc64e6…
05-06 17:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb24396…
05-06 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x79ce32…
05-06 17:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb48e5d…
05-06 17:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5c34f7…
05-06 17:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x83fea5…
05-06 17:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6f80d1…
05-06 17:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaa0ac7…
05-06 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc84a90…
05-06 16:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xacfb7b…
05-06 16:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x15680e…
05-06 16:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x400e36…
05-06 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2db93c…
05-06 16:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x930636…
05-06 16:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0a95fe…
05-06 16:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe6a476…
05-06 16:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3cbeae…
05-06 16:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5f484a…
05-06 16:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x631ff9…
05-06 16:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf4d00a…
05-06 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4935c1…
05-06 15:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x50ba44…
05-06 15:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x08c0b0…
05-06 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc6871a…
05-06 15:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x368f1a…
05-06 15:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1a7c84…
05-06 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcc2d2a…
05-06 15:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf94b11…
05-06 15:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xac3101…
05-06 15:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4b0235…
05-06 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa42970…
05-06 15:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x844665…
05-06 14:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x519acc…
05-06 14:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x19b6f5…
05-06 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa898fa…
05-06 14:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f0aec…
05-06 14:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x358115…
05-06 14:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1f46d5…
05-06 14:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x22a325…
05-06 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3d0b85…
05-06 14:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x91ae95…
05-06 14:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb6eeb5…
05-06 14:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7fa148…
05-06 14:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0afbce…
05-06 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbdc582…
05-06 13:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x03d336…
05-06 13:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xda956d…
05-06 13:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeaaf19…
05-06 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x78c2b7…
05-06 13:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd9239a…