Fumbling-Uncertainty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 65% $-18

Other

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 04:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 02:19
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 02:20
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	$-5	05-05 01:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 22:09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 04:14
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 23:24
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-05 01:29
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 01:59
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-04 23:39
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-05 00:44
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-04 21:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-05 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-04 23:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7bf099…
05-05 18:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf8903d…
05-05 04:19:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xea4eff…
05-05 04:14:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8f8bb7…
05-05 02:20:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4acea6…
05-05 02:19:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2f970f…
05-05 02:15:02	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x606e82…
05-05 01:59:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5b1d9e…
05-05 01:39:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf8bfde…
05-05 01:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2d2639…
05-05 01:29:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbc394a…
05-05 01:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc7bb99…
05-05 00:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd0b081…
05-05 00:39:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x90d415…
05-05 00:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcc1891…
05-04 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x89acf1…
05-04 23:54:46	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8cf3cf…
05-04 23:39:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x926abb…
05-04 23:24:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x318d39…
05-04 23:24:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7a6dad…
05-04 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x28aabd…
05-04 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0e549e…
05-04 22:24:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x84f4d3…
05-04 22:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xaa81a3…
05-04 21:54:56	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd5b8fe…
05-04 20:24:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x336033…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	9	$1.09K	32	05-05 18:58
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$1.30K	28	05-05 18:18
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	6	$660	53	05-05 18:58
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	6	$588	45	05-05 18:58
General-School 0x01ca…200d	5	$1.91K	12	05-05 00:44
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$705	13	05-05 18:58
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	5	$518	11	05-05 00:14
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	4	$857	11	05-04 23:59