Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.14K

Unrealized P&L

-$131

Hit rate

7.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$92

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-15 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

57% 20% -$5,071

Other

43% 14% -$1,067

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+955	$140	3¢	$31	-$108	09-15 21:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+494	$56	4¢	$19	-$37	09-14 10:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+101	$19	17¢	$17	-$1	05-28 07:12
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	+632	$14	2¢	$14	$0	09-08 03:48
Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	-805	-$25	1¢	$-10	+$15	06-06 14:06
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	-109	-$2	1¢	$-1	+$1	06-06 14:05
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	+17	$1	4¢	$1	$0	07-15 09:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	37	$4.9K	493,125	0	+493,125	No	-$4,927	03-04 18:53
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	14	$2.5K	92,884	42,462	+50,422	No	-$754	05-11 10:12
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	6	$809	1,012	1,012	+0	No	-$5	03-23 15:22
will trump say iran during trophy presentation	2	$453	255	255	+0	Yes	+$56	03-20 14:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$140	955	0	+955	open	—	09-15 21:21
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	2	$123	73	73	+0	Yes	+$23	03-24 16:28
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	1	$120	579	0	+579	No	-$120	03-23 15:35
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$100	02-04 20:02
will trump say goat or greatest of all time during inter miami events on thursday	1	$100	1,201	0	+1,201	No	-$100	03-06 01:00
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	2	$94	406	406	+0	No	-$5	03-24 07:32
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	2	$90	52	52	+0	No	+$2	03-24 18:00
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	2	$66	1,161	0	+1,161	No	-$66	03-29 09:14
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	1	$59	503	0	+503	No	-$59	03-24 18:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$56	494	0	+494	open	—	09-14 10:29
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	2	$48	225	225	+0	Yes	-$8	04-17 23:29
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	1	$27	452	0	+452	No	-$27	03-26 19:44
Human moon landing in 2026?	2	$25	0	805	-805	open	—	06-06 14:06
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	1	$21	118	0	+118	No	-$21	04-03 09:54
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$19	101	0	+101	open	—	05-28 07:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$18	4,113	0	+4,113	No	-$18	09-07 22:24
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	1	$14	632	0	+632	open	—	09-08 03:48
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	2	$13	61	61	+0	No	$0	04-03 15:24
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	09-08 03:49
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	1	$8	77	0	+77	No	-$8	04-03 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Down	-$6	09-05 16:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$2	0	109	-109	open	—	06-06 14:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	02-04 03:36
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	07-15 09:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 21:21:37	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	463	5¢	$22	0xe09f2d…
09-14 10:29:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	211	4¢	$8	0xfe0bd7…
09-08 03:49:43	Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?	No	BUY	34	31¢	$10	0xc3a14d…
09-08 03:48:45	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	632	2¢	$14	0x7c1f67…
09-07 22:24:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,758	0¢	$13	0x399899…
09-07 22:12:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,355	0¢	$5	0x0d383c…
09-05 16:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x74b0c4…
09-05 16:06:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	15¢	$12	0x3dd917…
08-22 06:24:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	401	25¢	$100	0x9017ba…
07-15 09:06:28	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x09f79f…
06-09 06:49:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc9aa9a…
06-06 14:06:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	604	3¢	$19	0xead95b…
06-06 14:05:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	2¢	$2	0xfd3ea3…
06-01 14:47:07	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	3¢	$6	0xf3a6fb…
05-28 07:12:36	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	101	18¢	$19	0x5064b2…
05-28 06:50:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x3c86c8…
05-11 10:12:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34,635	0¢	$69	0x2bbe7e…
05-02 22:37:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x573d90…
05-01 08:25:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	104	18¢	$19	0x119195…
04-24 18:14:34	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,062	1¢	$10	0xd94fe5…
04-17 23:29:32	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	225	9¢	$20	0x1408d1…
04-05 20:54:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4,666	1¢	$53	0xe3b63c…
04-03 20:56:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	77	11¢	$8	0xa3763f…
04-03 15:24:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	61	10¢	$6	0xf65d77…
04-03 09:55:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	662	2¢	$11	0x57ca65…
04-03 09:54:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	118	18¢	$21	0xfb74c1…
04-03 07:23:51	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	225	13¢	$28	0xbde563…
04-02 22:31:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,346	2¢	$38	0xbff27f…
03-29 09:14:28	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	Yes	BUY	671	1¢	$7	0x65cf63…
03-26 20:03:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	61	11¢	$7	0xd382fe…
03-26 19:44:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	784	2¢	$13	0x6e1a2e…
03-26 19:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	452	6¢	$27	0x85b0fa…
03-24 18:04:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	503	12¢	$59	0x16e00c…
03-24 18:02:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	Yes	BUY	490	12¢	$59	0x075282…
03-24 18:00:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	SELL	52	88¢	$46	0xdce945…
03-24 16:28:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xbbe773…
03-24 07:33:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	52	85¢	$44	0xfd581b…
03-24 07:32:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	Yes	SELL	406	11¢	$45	0xb230c6…
03-24 07:31:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0xcf76f9…
03-23 19:38:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	Yes	BUY	406	12¢	$50	0x63d42f…
03-23 15:35:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	Yes	BUY	579	21¢	$120	0x86d1ab…
03-23 15:22:33	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	SELL	205	59¢	$120	0xc1c148…
03-23 04:12:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	205	76¢	$155	0x41a471…
03-23 04:11:41	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	634	25¢	$157	0x5ea57e…
03-23 02:15:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	6,267	2¢	$123	0xac8102…
03-23 00:34:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	SELL	173	72¢	$125	0xee7702…
03-23 00:34:11	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	173	73¢	$125	0x9cf7ec…
03-21 22:39:59	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	634	20¢	$127	0x6a49fc…
03-20 14:59:13	will trump say iran during trophy presentation	Yes	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0x72d780…
03-20 14:46:53	will trump say iran during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	255	78¢	$199	0x5d0445…
03-11 18:54:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	42,462	2¢	$865	0xcdcf69…
03-06 02:12:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	22,294	3¢	$691	0x68732f…
03-06 01:00:35	will trump say goat or greatest of all time during inter miami events on thursday	Yes	BUY	1,201	8¢	$100	0x9b3656…
03-05 19:07:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x789240…
03-05 19:05:07	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	8,909	3¢	$266	0x4e685f…
03-05 04:38:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11,157	3¢	$341	0xfb3eba…
03-05 04:37:37	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf49857…
03-05 04:12:09	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9b6262…
03-04 18:53:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	170,490	0¢	$170	0x9c52f7…
03-04 18:41:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	147,300	0¢	$172	0x28f8b4…
03-02 17:11:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,644	4¢	$100	0x937a85…
02-28 02:14:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	8,026	4¢	$345	0x239d87…
02-27 20:07:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x011801…
02-26 23:47:12	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11,853	4¢	$482	0x0f6eeb…
02-26 21:03:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,640	4¢	$99	0x0886f2…
02-25 22:15:58	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,564	4¢	$100	0x163e6f…
02-24 01:21:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,000	3¢	$99	0xde36a8…
02-19 02:46:24	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,976	4¢	$110	0x13e480…
02-18 01:08:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	9,405	4¢	$342	0x38c05f…
02-13 21:37:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x31df76…
02-13 21:37:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,259	3¢	$34	0x62d76f…
02-12 04:31:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6,179	4¢	$241	0xfd9ed3…
02-12 04:30:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf905db…
02-11 12:01:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,636	4¢	$98	0xe03103…
02-11 12:01:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xd41950…
02-09 23:55:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,226	3¢	$100	0x58ea9c…
02-07 21:53:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,217	3¢	$68	0xcc9a88…
02-07 18:31:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11,643	3¢	$339	0x37dd6f…
02-06 14:44:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,946	3¢	$100	0x5dc457…
02-06 04:21:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,857	4¢	$100	0xc486be…
02-06 04:20:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,559	3¢	$121	0xa3ff64…
02-06 02:09:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,939	3¢	$84	0xf3d67a…
02-06 01:07:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	23,505	3¢	$703	0x595de3…
02-05 23:49:21	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6,360	2¢	$159	0xe4ba1a…
02-05 23:10:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,674	3¢	$98	0xf11153…
02-05 17:32:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,833	3¢	$99	0xc59d15…
02-04 20:02:47	Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xabca26…
02-04 17:47:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5,242	2¢	$99	0x2d00e1…
02-04 03:36:42	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc9bc28…
02-04 03:36:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xed1853…
02-04 00:34:12	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xcc0e8c…
02-03 06:53:08	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7,615	1¢	$99	0x8dcf38…
01-30 19:15:54	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	24,750	0¢	$99	0x279b3d…
01-30 18:41:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcb0616…
01-30 18:39:28	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10,167	1¢	$61	0x35f0c3…
01-30 18:37:32	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa3bc8f…
01-30 10:04:40	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,310	3¢	$99	0x905d65…
01-30 09:21:24	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,906	3¢	$99	0x5c97bf…