Skinny-Regulator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

758

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-27 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$38

Other

38% 100% +$3

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes		-5	$-4	94¢	$-5	$-0	06-27 22:08
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No		+3	$2	48¢	$1	$-0	05-31 23:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	168	$4.3K	89,370	86,550	+2,820	open	—	04-30 20:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	36	$2.4K	1,447	1,239	+208	open	—	04-29 02:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	27	$1.0K	1,747	765	+982	open	—	04-29 03:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$875	595	595	+0	No	+$38	04-29 06:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	15	$851	560	460	+100	open	—	04-25 23:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$795	452	452	+0	open	—	04-25 17:24
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	25	$733	399	387	+11	open	—	04-25 02:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	13	$661	748	748	+0	open	—	04-25 17:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	39	$642	2,078	302	+1,775	open	—	04-19 22:28
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	15	$565	362	343	+19	open	—	04-26 00:03
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	13	$546	922	279	+643	open	—	04-28 08:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	14	$486	396	396	-0	open	—	05-12 11:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	12	$292	452	440	+13	open	—	04-23 17:42
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	18	$238	749	749	+0	open	—	04-30 08:02
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$231	167	115	+52	open	—	04-28 08:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	25	$183	639	639	+0	open	—	05-28 16:38
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	4	$125	75	75	+0	open	—	04-28 06:54
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	6	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	04-09 01:29
btc updown 15m 1776996000	24	$113	283	279	+4	open	—	04-24 02:11
btc updown 5m 1776044400	5	$99	87	84	+3	open	—	04-13 01:44
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$95	60	60	+0	open	—	04-25 20:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	12	$68	43	43	+0	open	—	04-23 23:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	11	$52	54	53	+1	open	—	04-23 02:44
btc updown 15m 1776995100	76	$50	7,512	0	+7,512	open	—	04-24 01:57
btc updown 5m 1776044700	5	$43	80	0	+80	open	—	04-13 01:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-14 07:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$38	26	21	+5	open	—	04-14 23:35
btc updown 5m 1776558900	6	$30	61	28	+32	open	—	04-19 00:40
will wti reach 120 by april 6 2026	9	$29	513	494	+19	open	—	04-10 21:07
btc updown 5m 1776053700	4	$26	47	0	+47	open	—	04-13 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 22:08:31	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x79b0bd…
06-22 11:48:31	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x9d6454…
06-22 09:11:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x52b35c…
06-08 20:49:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x628bee…
06-08 05:30:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x41c3f6…
05-31 23:52:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd5bcc8…
05-31 23:51:33	Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcf3972…
05-28 16:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xabfbe7…
05-28 16:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	588	0¢	$2	0x4a6bf7…
05-27 02:39:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xf26838…
05-27 02:39:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x11cb39…
05-27 02:32:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	246	3¢	$9	0x3e2ae9…
05-22 22:28:14	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xcc609b…
05-22 22:23:27	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xc13137…
05-21 02:11:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xe953f5…
05-19 13:33:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x750b3c…
05-19 13:23:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x05441b…
05-19 08:08:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xb3dfe3…
05-19 01:17:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	248	1¢	$3	0x450817…
05-19 01:16:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xca1f1f…
05-19 01:15:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	233	1¢	$3	0x214bdf…
05-18 23:18:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb32726…
05-18 19:18:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x2d505d…
05-18 10:00:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x16bff6…
05-18 09:57:13	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x458da5…
05-18 03:43:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$2	0xc2e9fc…
05-18 03:41:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x74189b…
05-18 03:29:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x8724bd…
05-18 02:44:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xc3f7b5…
05-18 01:25:15	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc23f6e…
05-18 01:08:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x465a3c…
05-14 01:56:59	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbe1132…
05-13 22:24:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x356e90…
05-12 22:56:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfce3f0…
05-12 11:55:37	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9668ff…
05-12 11:47:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x2ad89c…
05-12 11:27:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x6a8ef4…
05-12 11:27:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa21c7c…
05-12 11:24:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x56291e…
05-12 11:22:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xaf29d5…
05-12 09:00:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xd1dbee…
05-11 23:18:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcdae9b…
05-11 04:46:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x5581ae…
05-11 04:46:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa00b2f…
05-11 04:46:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x20ad6e…
05-11 04:45:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x33285b…
05-11 04:44:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9463d6…
05-11 04:42:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc1ea30…
05-10 23:30:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x7f8d06…
05-08 19:40:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x106468…
05-08 19:34:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x353eff…
05-06 21:32:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbcce8c…
05-06 10:33:04	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x573f7f…
05-06 10:32:44	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe7b207…
05-06 10:30:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7c8f98…
05-06 10:29:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2d5323…
05-06 04:25:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x776dbb…
05-06 04:24:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0xe9f060…
05-06 04:23:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc878f8…
05-05 20:20:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x9b7824…
05-05 20:12:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0ce972…
05-05 20:11:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x19915a…
05-04 22:17:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4f1560…
05-04 08:13:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5859d3…
05-04 08:10:44	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x23ca2b…
05-04 08:06:02	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x092093…
05-04 08:04:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x851da9…
05-04 08:03:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xe37bf9…
05-04 08:02:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xa87161…
05-03 04:37:18	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x341af2…
05-01 09:15:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd5984c…
05-01 09:14:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf3a109…
04-30 23:08:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3b9db1…
04-30 23:07:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9c5ce7…
04-30 23:06:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x663f9a…
04-30 20:52:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x0bdb45…
04-30 08:02:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	SELL	574	0¢	$1	0x510947…
04-30 06:29:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	SELL	174	28¢	$49	0x944824…
04-30 05:23:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9fad97…
04-30 05:07:20	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	78	17¢	$13	0xc6adc5…
04-30 05:04:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xbbee69…
04-30 05:03:52	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x0cde82…
04-30 04:26:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x2f7d9e…
04-29 21:46:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6bf066…
04-29 21:41:04	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0xd69f6d…
04-29 21:31:46	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	74	6¢	$4	0x42ad63…
04-29 21:30:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0xf77eef…
04-29 18:30:14	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8fd91e…
04-29 18:28:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x4b2919…
04-29 17:35:02	James Comey arrested by April 30?	No	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x13cb43…
04-29 10:52:34	James Comey arrested by April 30?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x33cc61…
04-29 10:00:52	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xcd874f…
04-29 10:00:52	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x391d57…
04-29 10:00:00	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	68	17¢	$11	0xd2d253…
04-29 09:36:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	58	24¢	$14	0x786b20…
04-29 09:34:32	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0x82135e…
04-29 09:34:12	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xc0bdc2…
04-29 09:32:50	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x75e293…
04-29 06:38:44	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x101b33…
04-29 06:36:08	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x4fae85…