Skinny-Regulator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$759

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

104

Trades

894

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 08-15 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

51% 63% -$52

Other

38% 71% -$447

Tech

7% 50% -$124

Crypto

4% 48% -$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	168	$4.3K	89,370	86,550	+2,820	Yes	-$193	04-30 20:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	36	$2.4K	1,447	1,239	+208	No	+$62	04-29 02:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	27	$1.0K	1,747	765	+982	Yes	+$144	04-29 03:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$875	595	595	+0	No	+$38	04-29 06:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	15	$851	560	460	+100	No	-$55	04-25 23:02
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	35	$843	1,902	1,929	-27	Yes	-$108	04-29 08:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$795	452	452	+0	No	+$99	04-25 17:24
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	25	$733	399	387	+11	Yes	+$10	04-25 02:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	13	$661	748	748	+0	No	+$101	04-25 17:24
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	39	$642	2,078	302	+1,775	Yes	-$473	04-19 22:28
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	15	$565	362	343	+19	No	+$13	04-26 00:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	14	$486	396	396	-0	No	+$46	05-12 11:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	12	$292	452	440	+13	Yes	+$28	04-23 17:42
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	18	$238	749	749	+0	Yes	-$140	04-30 08:02
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	5	$231	167	115	+52	No	+$10	04-28 08:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	25	$183	639	639	+0	No	-$112	05-28 16:38
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	4	$125	75	75	+0	No	+$1	04-28 06:54
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	6	$115	65	65	+0	Yes	+$7	04-09 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 02:00 UTC	24	$113	283	279	+4	Down	+$7	04-24 02:11
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	3	$109	62	62	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:40 UTC	5	$99	87	84	+3	Up	+$23	04-13 01:44
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$95	60	60	+0	No	+$5	04-25 20:13
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?	2	$77	0	173	-173	open	—	05-04 22:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	12	$68	43	43	+0	No	+$2	04-23 23:00
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	5	$63	37	37	+0	Yes	+$9	07-07 14:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	11	$52	54	53	+1	Yes	+$3	04-23 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 01:45 UTC	76	$50	7,512	0	+7,512	Up	-$50	04-24 01:57
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	12	$48	187	0	+187	open	—	08-13 01:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	6	$44	27	27	+0	No	+$4	06-22 09:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 01:45 UTC	5	$43	80	0	+80	Down	+$37	04-13 01:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 21:04:39	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	SELL	26	33¢	$8	0xeb51a0…
08-13 19:54:07	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xa6dd5a…
08-13 07:23:16	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$3	0xc8ca24…
08-13 01:59:52	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd85162…
08-13 01:58:28	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x4c3c51…
08-12 19:31:36	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$3	0xd06ad7…
08-12 19:30:52	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	SELL	59	14¢	$9	0xf001eb…
08-08 08:47:43	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x646c3e…
08-08 08:43:01	Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x12cdb0…
08-08 08:42:51	Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x84245a…
08-08 08:33:33	Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0x133513…
08-08 08:32:01	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xcae93e…
07-27 21:23:43	Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x806857…
07-27 21:19:48	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0x4dd42f…
07-27 21:19:28	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x88a934…
07-27 21:11:36	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	40	41¢	$16	0xbc5d0c…
07-19 08:26:57	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x3899de…
07-19 08:26:43	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x4a16e2…
07-17 21:30:28	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8651ed…
07-07 14:31:46	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x340941…
07-05 03:20:01	Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x690a1f…
07-05 03:18:40	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x00ebcf…
07-05 03:17:07	Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x00ecf6…
07-05 03:14:16	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd01998…
07-05 03:14:04	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x7decc7…
07-05 03:11:52	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x024552…
07-05 03:11:04	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x5d11c1…
06-27 22:08:31	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x79b0bd…
06-25 01:24:19	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x66efbd…
06-22 11:48:31	U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x9d6454…
06-22 10:40:53	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x06d7da…
06-22 09:17:29	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x978006…
06-22 09:11:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x52b35c…
06-08 20:49:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x628bee…
06-08 05:32:52	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x9d0555…
06-08 05:30:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x41c3f6…
05-31 23:53:46	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbe34b0…
05-31 23:52:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd5bcc8…
05-31 23:51:33	Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcf3972…
05-29 08:27:28	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xff708b…
05-28 16:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xabfbe7…
05-28 16:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	588	0¢	$2	0x4a6bf7…
05-27 02:39:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xf26838…
05-27 02:39:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x11cb39…
05-27 02:36:38	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xe6fb4f…
05-27 02:34:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0xf1c794…
05-27 02:32:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	246	3¢	$9	0x3e2ae9…
05-26 20:47:05	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x6b0dc7…
05-25 22:45:47	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	1¢	$6	0xf4b7b8…
05-22 22:28:14	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xcc609b…
05-22 22:23:52	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	3¢	$6	0xa7ddf0…
05-22 22:23:27	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xc13137…
05-21 02:38:32	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x0d654e…
05-21 02:38:04	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x25ba90…
05-21 02:37:38	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x9d6f79…
05-21 02:37:05	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0xdfbee0…
05-21 02:11:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xe953f5…
05-20 11:50:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x079401…
05-19 17:43:56	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xc8701f…
05-19 17:43:56	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x94f979…
05-19 13:33:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x750b3c…
05-19 13:23:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x05441b…
05-19 08:08:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xb3dfe3…
05-19 07:27:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	69	5¢	$4	0x158904…
05-19 05:36:25	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x063ce7…
05-19 01:28:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x89da16…
05-19 01:20:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x1df71b…
05-19 01:17:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	248	1¢	$3	0x450817…
05-19 01:16:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xca1f1f…
05-19 01:15:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	233	1¢	$3	0x214bdf…
05-18 23:18:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb32726…
05-18 19:18:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x2d505d…
05-18 10:00:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x16bff6…
05-18 09:57:13	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x458da5…
05-18 03:43:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$2	0xc2e9fc…
05-18 03:41:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x74189b…
05-18 03:29:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x8724bd…
05-18 02:50:46	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x5245a8…
05-18 02:44:37	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x4b4d72…
05-18 02:44:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xc3f7b5…
05-18 01:34:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xffd53e…
05-18 01:28:42	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8fe47c…
05-18 01:25:15	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc23f6e…
05-18 01:22:29	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x88a57e…
05-18 01:21:49	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x870430…
05-18 01:17:58	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb15472…
05-18 01:12:20	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x6973cc…
05-18 01:08:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x465a3c…
05-18 01:07:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x3214b3…
05-16 21:48:14	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0e3aba…
05-16 21:47:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xed3713…
05-14 21:10:49	Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xbda14f…
05-14 21:10:22	Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xc75fa9…
05-14 09:33:23	Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2dc704…
05-14 01:56:59	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbe1132…
05-13 22:24:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x356e90…
05-12 23:02:48	Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x3736fe…
05-12 22:59:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb8d71c…
05-12 22:56:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfce3f0…
05-12 11:55:37	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9668ff…