Leading-Contest — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$6.58K

Unrealized P&L

-$264

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

186

502 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$25.5K

$97.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

$349

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-07 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Sports

42% 57% +$135

Other

33% 51% -$1,198

Politics

26% 68% -$1,118

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+1,425	$613	24¢	$349	-$264	09-14 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	11	$4.2K	4,606	0	+4,606	No	+$377	07-06 07:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$4.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	-$884	04-07 22:03
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$3.8K	4,034	0	+4,034	No	+$282	06-29 05:34
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	10	$2.7K	3,304	0	+3,304	Yes	-$2,732	08-24 05:13
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	32	$2.6K	4,211	5	+4,206	No	+$1,598	07-10 21:46
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	4	$2.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$50	02-09 13:36
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$2.4K	2,540	0	+2,540	Yes	+$94	01-20 03:24
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	5	$2.3K	1,310	1,310	+0	No	+$44	06-24 10:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$13	03-01 01:32
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$2.1K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$106	03-17 08:48
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	13	$2.1K	2,242	20	+2,222	Yes	+$170	06-12 16:05
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$2.1K	2,789	0	+2,789	No	+$725	10-30 13:40
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.9K	4,450	0	+4,450	Yes	-$1,941	07-12 19:23
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	14	$1.9K	2,379	0	+2,379	No	+$506	10-26 07:11
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-08?	3	$1.8K	3,426	0	+3,426	No	-$1,816	08-08 12:54
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$1.8K	2,055	0	+2,055	No	+$289	07-18 12:39
wnba ind por 2026 07 31	2	$1.6K	2,125	0	+2,125	Indiana Fever	+$552	07-31 08:00
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	19	$1.5K	2,657	0	+2,657	No	+$1,127	07-14 18:58
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	32	$1.5K	1,569	1,569	+0	No	-$141	08-18 13:53
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?	1	$1.4K	2,050	0	+2,050	No	+$638	08-21 12:22
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$1.4K	2,412	0	+2,412	No	+$1,020	09-05 08:03
atp kumstat bueno 2026 08 02	6	$1.4K	3,087	0	+3,087	Jan Kumstat	-$1,382	08-02 07:18
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	2	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	Novak Djokovic	+$42	05-27 15:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$1.3K	1,355	0	+1,355	No	+$95	03-08 17:46
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	1	$1.3K	2,237	0	+2,237	No	+$984	05-28 21:47
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$1.2K	1,445	0	+1,445	Yes	+$206	06-21 04:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$1.2K	1,260	0	+1,260	No	+$76	03-02 22:11
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$1.2K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$117	02-18 11:17
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	1	$1.2K	1,510	0	+1,510	Yes	-$1,181	09-25 09:46
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$1.2K	3,498	0	+3,498	Yes	-$1,165	10-26 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 05:55:21	Devils vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xcd923e…
11-07 05:49:28	Devils vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x090c1b…
11-07 05:49:18	Devils vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x3243ad…
11-07 05:49:00	Devils vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	335	45¢	$149	0x8c401b…
11-06 11:53:16	Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	772	48¢	$371	0x5f6897…
11-04 14:57:39	Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	1,667	64¢	$1,067	0x69c688…
11-03 23:04:46	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	950	92¢	$874	0x537c4b…
11-02 10:27:18	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	80¢	$640	0xeca5fe…
10-30 13:40:51	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	2,789	74¢	$2,064	0x613431…
10-30 08:25:58	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	567	18¢	$102	0x437bc1…
10-29 16:49:35	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	980	52¢	$510	0xfa632c…
10-28 17:04:37	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,167	73¢	$852	0x405d7f…
10-28 09:18:14	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x31aa17…
10-28 09:12:31	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	371	12¢	$44	0x7c6f7b…
10-28 08:12:01	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	78	10¢	$8	0x22b35c…
10-28 08:00:17	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x3a9653…
10-28 08:00:13	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	173	12¢	$20	0xe1f8de…
10-28 08:00:13	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x667bab…
10-28 08:00:11	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	226	12¢	$26	0xed9e87…
10-28 08:00:11	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	149	12¢	$17	0x9aa5ac…
10-28 08:00:11	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	38	12¢	$4	0x8dee5d…
10-28 07:24:47	Science City Jena vs. Fraport Skyliners	Science City Jena	BUY	567	13¢	$74	0xf7f7aa…
10-26 19:46:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	450	24¢	$108	0xcd88bb…
10-26 19:33:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	279	24¢	$68	0xa195c2…
10-26 19:29:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	290	22¢	$64	0x58b5b9…
10-26 16:19:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	320	40¢	$127	0xc931a4…
10-26 07:11:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xfd766a…
10-26 07:11:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x27bda3…
10-26 07:10:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4eab76…
10-26 07:01:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	468	78¢	$367	0xce809f…
10-26 07:01:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x472bcd…
10-26 07:01:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	209	78¢	$164	0x83a322…
10-26 07:01:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	97	78¢	$77	0x277645…
10-26 07:00:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	480	78¢	$377	0xa0fcc6…
10-25 13:29:29	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	997	62¢	$618	0x1b00f0…
10-24 21:17:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0xbef550…
10-24 21:17:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x939d0a…
10-24 21:16:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	49	79¢	$39	0x269b0e…
10-24 21:16:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x19acc8…
10-24 21:14:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	562	79¢	$445	0xcf98e7…
10-24 20:53:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	307	79¢	$242	0x7c7e64…
10-22 20:13:35	Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0x5d2ee5…
10-21 07:20:23	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	360	6¢	$23	0xb9a3f6…
10-21 07:18:33	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	280	6¢	$17	0x7170e3…
10-19 20:57:38	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	505	66¢	$333	0xde1d3c…
10-19 20:20:24	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x9d65dc…
10-19 20:20:23	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x26e0e3…
10-19 19:45:45	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3bc83a…
10-15 17:38:41	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1,040	64¢	$666	0xae5ed5…
10-15 17:32:49	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x042b85…
10-15 17:31:37	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xaa9036…
10-15 17:31:35	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xfb5efb…
10-11 11:41:51	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xe86c4a…
10-10 04:10:04	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x5241c5…
10-09 20:36:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	664	38¢	$255	0x0aba5f…
10-09 18:21:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	796	36¢	$290	0xbf26e8…
10-09 18:18:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	54	36¢	$20	0xadb018…
10-09 18:17:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	95	36¢	$35	0x6bf123…
10-09 18:17:25	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x5d97fd…
10-09 18:17:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	36¢	$182	0x75d171…
10-09 17:24:01	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	144	13¢	$19	0x5c65db…
10-07 09:14:23	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0xa708c4…
10-07 09:10:24	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	659	9¢	$59	0xae97dc…
10-07 07:25:27	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	744	9¢	$67	0xe28a63…
10-07 06:52:17	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	566	9¢	$51	0xf3b9e7…
10-07 06:47:02	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0xb84484…
10-07 06:46:41	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xd8fc32…
10-07 06:44:21	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	260	9¢	$23	0xbe7191…
10-07 06:42:47	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	481	8¢	$38	0xdfda5a…
10-04 03:24:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	483	36¢	$174	0x047680…
10-04 03:23:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xed1b17…
10-04 03:23:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	57	36¢	$21	0x9ef0ac…
10-04 01:35:14	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x94046a…
10-04 01:35:11	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xa7c676…
10-03 14:54:23	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd7d8a5…
10-03 08:42:48	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0x64015b…
10-03 08:40:32	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x78e233…
10-03 08:37:26	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x834ae4…
10-03 08:37:00	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x3eff2c…
10-03 08:36:53	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	67	13¢	$9	0xd7b55d…
10-03 08:36:45	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xada7d8…
10-03 08:36:30	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xea4e62…
10-03 08:36:27	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xc9f8fd…
10-03 08:35:33	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x40c74b…
10-03 08:35:08	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xf40b40…
10-03 08:35:08	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x52db1c…
10-03 08:35:08	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x2e34b7…
10-03 08:35:05	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xe28aec…
10-03 08:35:05	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd28019…
10-03 08:34:08	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x01be1a…
10-03 08:33:59	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xd15fac…
10-03 08:32:53	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xc9fb2c…
10-03 08:32:33	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xf20d1b…
10-03 08:32:32	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x455301…
10-03 08:32:02	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x106e37…
10-03 08:31:59	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	70	13¢	$9	0x7ffd29…
10-03 08:31:57	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x21c1c0…
10-03 08:30:12	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xb00b5a…
10-03 08:30:09	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xde0293…
10-03 08:30:08	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xbabeba…