High-Level-Smoke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

322

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 91% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:55
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-22 10:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:47
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:49
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:12
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:41
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xafd8a0…
11-13 07:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbeed7e…
11-12 08:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x51b778…
11-11 08:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x67e7d5…
11-08 11:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xafe209…
11-07 10:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8132e9…
11-06 09:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x845c70…
11-05 00:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15aa90…
11-04 12:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ab431…
11-03 17:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9219d9…
11-03 09:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x25d05e…
11-02 08:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb6ce1…
10-31 17:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x564454…
10-31 04:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6890ff…
10-30 08:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x25fc1f…
10-29 15:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6dde7f…
10-29 06:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde98a4…
10-28 04:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76ec07…
10-27 15:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdbccfc…
10-27 07:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x030cbe…
10-26 04:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf47a49…
10-25 12:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x67e5ae…
10-24 06:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd659c…
10-22 10:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x82b9ff…
10-20 04:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe719c9…
10-19 06:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0980a6…
10-18 05:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x86c579…
10-17 07:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1f8c46…
10-16 01:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda11a0…
10-15 04:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf3c02a…
10-14 06:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1a765…
10-13 13:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e08f3…
10-13 01:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x62ba22…
10-12 01:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8a8c04…
10-11 01:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xee8a5a…
10-08 04:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x269960…
10-07 08:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb01949…
10-06 14:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2009f…
10-06 05:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d8823…
10-04 07:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d9837…
10-03 00:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d894a…
10-02 07:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80f18f…
10-02 03:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0595fb…
10-01 05:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77e056…
09-30 07:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58fe6d…
09-29 06:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9643bb…
09-28 03:01:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7888a…
09-27 10:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe425b3…
09-26 08:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd67260…
09-25 01:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1ef65b…
09-24 01:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e7fde…
09-23 05:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x348712…
09-22 01:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba183a…
09-21 06:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ab5d5…
09-20 02:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb0a22…
09-19 05:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2324b0…
09-18 09:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8c156…
09-18 01:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa14f4f…
09-17 00:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ef0fd…
09-16 07:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19e380…
09-15 23:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x559b20…
09-15 01:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ef2b1…
09-14 00:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x416c4d…
09-13 12:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9c575…
09-12 01:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8f9e0…
09-11 01:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x559e6d…
09-10 01:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf51015…
09-09 00:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x141ed4…
09-08 01:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34c1b9…
09-07 09:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x167ada…
09-07 01:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee7b1e…
09-06 17:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd00053…
09-06 01:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b590b…
09-05 08:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8b911…
09-04 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36b9ce…
09-03 01:04:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabe784…
09-02 11:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8cc97…
09-01 01:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0dcd1…
08-30 00:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa22583…
08-29 05:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f0df2…
08-28 01:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cfcd7…
08-27 01:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3ac2a…
08-26 01:05:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53ce79…
08-25 01:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf97e3b…
08-24 07:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf20f6f…
08-23 00:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x717655…
08-22 01:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7e787…
08-21 01:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27423d…
08-20 00:14:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57ad9d…
08-19 00:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bccba…
08-18 00:09:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7f988…
08-17 05:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b78ce…
08-16 01:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16ec07…
08-15 01:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc85d33…
08-14 01:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfa0d9…
08-13 00:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe07f5…
08-12 00:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a89c4…
08-11 00:11:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdccf0c…
08-10 00:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5eedf9…
08-09 00:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc63bb4…