Sweet-Estrogen — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$661

Unrealized P&L

-$3.31K

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

8,237 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$696

$1.04M lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-01 00:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Other

63% 61% +$13,795

Politics

24% 52% +$14,485

Crypto

9% 67% -$11,767

Tech

4% 50% -$215

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 300 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes		+6,334	$3,323	0¢	$10	-$3,314	10-26 20:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	10	$74.7K	43,763	43,763	+0	Yes	+$3,312	06-07 23:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$47.2K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$2,725	06-01 04:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$42.9K	22,944	22,944	+0	Yes	+$2,893	06-12 20:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$29.5K	17,176	17,176	+0	Yes	+$1,392	06-15 13:35
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	10	$20.3K	14,158	14,158	+0	Yes	+$7,720	06-14 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 08:20 UTC	1,002	$17.3K	21,766	20,581	+1,185	Down	-$1,235	02-14 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	84	$16.5K	13,402	13,402	+0	Yes	+$9,576	05-15 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	5	$16.3K	17,276	1,000	+16,276	No	-$41	04-30 16:22
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	2	$16.0K	15,343	1,000	+14,343	Yes	+$341	06-18 00:34
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	3	$13.5K	8,202	8,202	+0	No	+$2,891	03-20 16:00
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	33	$13.3K	9,863	21,467	-11,604	Yes	-$3,356	02-06 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	7	$9.6K	4,923	11,923	-7,000	No	+$1,475	02-11 17:46
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	2	$9.4K	6,049	6,049	+0	Yes	+$2,656	06-18 22:02
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	1	$9.0K	9,009	0	+9,009	No	+$9	02-09 23:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$9.0K	9,358	0	+9,358	Yes	+$358	08-21 15:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$8.8K	14,905	2,885	+12,021	Yes	-$212	04-27 15:26
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	17	$8.4K	4,092	10,142	-6,050	No	+$1,420	01-28 16:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	5	$8.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$3,082	06-19 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$8.2K	4,675	4,675	+0	No	+$1,171	05-15 16:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	54	$8.1K	6,390	6,390	+0	Yes	+$3,542	06-06 09:22
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	2	$7.9K	7,916	1	+7,915	No	+$8	02-04 18:29
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	3	$7.8K	14,342	87	+14,255	No	-$615	02-10 19:31
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	7	$7.7K	5,558	5,558	+0	Yes	+$709	02-03 18:16
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 240plus	3	$7.5K	22,508	0	+22,507	No	-$7	02-09 12:20
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	3	$7.3K	3,608	7,618	-4,010	No	+$1,340	02-13 17:10
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	2	$7.1K	5,710	5,710	+0	Yes	+$3,139	02-28 15:14
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	10	$7.0K	2,928	10,517	-7,589	Yes	-$2,879	01-27 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 165 189	2	$7.0K	7,013	6	+7,007	No	+$13	02-06 16:57
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	51	$6.9K	5,557	5,557	+0	Yes	+$1,172	04-03 15:56
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	4	$6.5K	3,600	3,600	+0	Yes	+$676	05-16 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:16:51	US imports Russian diesel by November 2?	Yes	BUY	916	4¢	$33	0x6c6268…
10-31 07:20:55	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x264f62…
10-31 03:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,056	8¢	$324	0xdea06d…
10-31 03:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,091	16¢	$336	0x9c0d68…
10-31 03:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x38b368…
10-31 03:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9ab2a1…
10-31 03:30:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x899224…
10-31 03:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x707572…
10-31 01:15:43	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x393ebc…
10-30 23:33:33	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	Yes	BUY	693	32¢	$222	0xc164fe…
10-30 23:33:33	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x00761d…
10-30 06:17:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,200	6¢	$391	0x27211d…
10-29 10:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x29c578…
10-29 10:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x281f60…
10-29 10:19:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1a05c8…
10-29 10:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	60¢	$43	0xe19988…
10-29 10:19:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x9fc6c8…
10-29 10:18:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x1cdf10…
10-29 10:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x24f87c…
10-29 10:14:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xfbf297…
10-29 10:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x4dac3d…
10-29 10:12:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xf34d7f…
10-29 10:10:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x59dc33…
10-29 10:07:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0x759991…
10-29 10:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x991b82…
10-29 10:06:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xe8441a…
10-29 10:04:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	60¢	$56	0x73f285…
10-29 10:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x5bfd4a…
10-29 10:01:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x1921b1…
10-29 10:01:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x9ba48f…
10-29 09:59:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xff7bd5…
10-29 09:52:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x418f09…
10-29 09:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc7083d…
10-29 09:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x41d3d8…
10-29 09:43:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4e2214…
10-29 09:25:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x0e2e8b…
10-29 09:17:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x747736…
10-29 09:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x7596fc…
10-29 09:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd0a415…
10-29 09:04:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x79e9b7…
10-29 08:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x6d0953…
10-29 08:54:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x492741…
10-29 08:49:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x85ac27…
10-29 08:49:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	60¢	$34	0xe80259…
10-29 08:46:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2d2210…
10-29 08:44:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	362	60¢	$217	0xe309c7…
10-29 08:42:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x5b161b…
10-29 08:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6c670f…
10-29 08:37:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x32041c…
10-29 08:34:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x10099c…
10-29 08:32:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xfea5c7…
10-29 08:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	60¢	$114	0xbd2f1d…
10-29 08:14:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x6951e9…
10-29 08:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x011a59…
10-29 08:01:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x851528…
10-29 07:59:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0x5344b4…
10-29 07:59:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xac3c7c…
10-29 07:56:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x53649d…
10-29 07:55:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x0e36eb…
10-29 07:55:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xd606c2…
10-29 07:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x65460a…
10-29 07:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xfb2d45…
10-29 07:50:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe34298…
10-29 07:47:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x880a8d…
10-29 07:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb21f19…
10-29 07:44:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	60¢	$23	0xf0b0db…
10-29 07:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x2de859…
10-29 07:39:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x2e8b95…
10-29 07:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7252d6…
10-29 07:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x64a44c…
10-29 07:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xd19221…
10-29 07:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x28a440…
10-29 07:34:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x0e3cff…
10-29 07:33:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x59f305…
10-29 07:33:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x66c7d4…
10-29 07:32:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x58536d…
10-29 07:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0x961b8e…
10-29 07:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x2bf8e7…
10-29 07:30:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x412b75…
10-29 07:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8d9c91…
10-29 07:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	60¢	$240	0x7c5221…
10-29 07:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbfbb3b…
10-29 07:30:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	60¢	$34	0x327ece…
10-29 07:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x4fbd40…
10-29 07:29:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x9cf177…
10-29 07:25:49	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x96a7df…
10-29 07:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5fc9b2…
10-29 07:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1acb19…
10-29 07:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xe435cd…
10-29 07:19:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x6f11a1…
10-29 07:18:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xf64392…
10-29 07:16:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	60¢	$44	0xef2acf…
10-29 07:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xecef26…
10-29 07:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x5d9a37…
10-29 07:12:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x87426c…
10-29 07:11:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x56a7fe…
10-29 07:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x322837…
10-29 07:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb7cc61…
10-29 07:02:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x35e1fb…
10-29 07:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xa1b82a…