Sweet-Estrogen — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$10.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.94K

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,923

7,983 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$82.5K

$1.03M lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

$137

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-27 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

62% 61% +$13,738

Politics

24% 52% +$14,485

Crypto

9% 67% -$11,767

Tech

4% 50% -$215

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 300 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes		+6,334	$3,323	2¢	$95	-$3,228	10-26 20:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	—	+4,197	$750	1¢	$42	-$708	10-27 19:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran closes its airspace by june 8	10	$74.7K	43,763	43,763	+0	Yes	+$3,312	06-07 23:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$47.2K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$2,725	06-01 04:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$42.9K	22,944	22,944	+0	Yes	+$2,893	06-12 20:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$29.5K	17,176	17,176	+0	Yes	+$1,392	06-15 13:35
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	10	$20.3K	14,158	14,158	+0	Yes	+$7,720	06-14 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 08:20 UTC	1,002	$17.3K	21,766	20,581	+1,185	Down	-$1,235	02-14 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	84	$16.5K	13,402	13,402	+0	Yes	+$9,576	05-15 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	5	$16.3K	17,276	1,000	+16,276	No	-$41	04-30 16:22
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	2	$16.0K	15,343	1,000	+14,343	Yes	+$341	06-18 00:34
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	3	$13.5K	8,202	8,202	+0	No	+$2,891	03-20 16:00
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	33	$13.3K	9,863	21,467	-11,604	Yes	-$3,356	02-06 16:38
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	7	$9.6K	4,923	11,923	-7,000	No	+$1,475	02-11 17:46
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	2	$9.4K	6,049	6,049	+0	Yes	+$2,656	06-18 22:02
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	1	$9.0K	9,009	0	+9,009	No	+$9	02-09 23:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$9.0K	9,358	0	+9,358	Yes	+$358	08-21 15:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$8.8K	14,905	2,885	+12,021	Yes	-$212	04-27 15:26
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	17	$8.4K	4,092	10,142	-6,050	No	+$1,420	01-28 16:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	5	$8.3K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$3,082	06-19 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$8.2K	4,675	4,675	+0	No	+$1,171	05-15 16:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	54	$8.1K	6,390	6,390	+0	Yes	+$3,542	06-06 09:22
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	2	$7.9K	7,916	1	+7,915	No	+$8	02-04 18:29
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	3	$7.8K	14,342	87	+14,255	No	-$615	02-10 19:31
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	7	$7.7K	5,558	5,558	+0	Yes	+$709	02-03 18:16
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 240plus	3	$7.5K	22,508	0	+22,507	No	-$7	02-09 12:20
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	3	$7.3K	3,608	7,618	-4,010	No	+$1,340	02-13 17:10
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	2	$7.1K	5,710	5,710	+0	Yes	+$3,139	02-28 15:14
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	10	$7.0K	2,928	10,517	-7,589	Yes	-$2,879	01-27 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 165 189	2	$7.0K	7,013	6	+7,007	No	+$13	02-06 16:57
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	51	$6.9K	5,557	5,557	+0	Yes	+$1,172	04-03 15:56
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	4	$6.5K	3,600	3,600	+0	Yes	+$676	05-16 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:47:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,197	18¢	$750	0x38598d…
10-27 06:09:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	931	33¢	$307	0xb8768b…
10-27 05:33:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xaf3c13…
10-27 05:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xf851ae…
10-27 05:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	844	33¢	$278	0x79af90…
10-27 05:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x28a8b2…
10-27 05:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8947ee…
10-27 05:32:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8c02a2…
10-27 05:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x909a01…
10-27 05:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb423d4…
10-27 05:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8beadf…
10-27 05:29:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	33¢	$24	0x6ddca2…
10-27 05:29:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3184cf…
10-27 05:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x1f6a41…
10-27 05:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x95c24a…
10-27 05:28:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x30a126…
10-27 05:28:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe5d6fa…
10-27 05:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x13dcd8…
10-27 05:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x640c98…
10-27 05:26:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6f578b…
10-27 05:26:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x79cb9c…
10-27 05:25:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x770b56…
10-27 05:25:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x5bb227…
10-27 05:25:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf8e26a…
10-27 05:24:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5ef66e…
10-27 05:24:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9d3e73…
10-27 05:21:17	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x3a5271…
10-27 05:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd86871…
10-27 05:19:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x33a3c8…
10-27 05:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8a80c0…
10-27 05:18:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x03a336…
10-27 05:18:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x903b33…
10-27 05:18:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x887722…
10-27 05:17:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc07312…
10-27 05:17:35	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	33¢	$23	0x7d5c3d…
10-27 05:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x6a5acb…
10-27 05:16:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x00c80a…
10-27 05:16:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	33¢	$16	0x60dba6…
10-27 05:16:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x37d42e…
10-27 05:16:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$14	0x513cd3…
10-27 05:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x37d97c…
10-27 05:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	488	33¢	$161	0x9719c6…
10-26 20:50:59	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,334	6¢	$73	0x941d6f…
10-26 17:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	12¢	$21	0x954fd3…
10-26 17:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	12¢	$4	0x7bfb1a…
10-26 17:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x58abe8…
10-26 17:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	12¢	$12	0x3936ef…
10-26 17:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x063ee9…
10-26 17:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x04dee0…
10-26 17:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xd581db…
10-26 17:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xd34225…
10-26 17:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x926078…
10-26 17:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	12¢	$19	0x2315ce…
10-26 17:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	12¢	$27	0xf4306d…
10-26 17:00:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	12¢	$8	0xfd8136…
10-26 16:55:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0xa7209a…
10-26 16:55:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	305	12¢	$37	0xb1802e…
10-26 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xb54b23…
10-26 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	12¢	$16	0x7715f5…
10-26 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x4a2900…
10-26 16:54:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x3e01c8…
10-26 16:53:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x1db46e…
10-26 16:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x6b4c65…
10-26 16:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	12¢	$24	0xb545c9…
10-26 16:48:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,133	12¢	$136	0x051f32…
10-26 16:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,284	2¢	$94	0xc713f9…
10-26 16:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x13e254…
10-26 16:11:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x9dd6ca…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xd48bbb…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5edf91…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	2¢	$3	0x5540e0…
10-26 16:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x9dfe80…
10-26 16:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	2¢	$4	0x8abe7c…
10-26 16:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1fe7f4…
10-26 15:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x456b68…
10-26 15:07:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x18bd25…
10-26 15:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x1d7e35…
10-26 15:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xe24884…
10-26 15:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	15¢	$76	0x0d6963…
10-26 15:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x2862e5…
10-26 15:06:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x6cdf2a…
10-26 15:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xc334f2…
10-26 15:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xa22d51…
10-26 15:06:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xe3288e…
10-26 15:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x909ca3…
10-26 15:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x30064a…
10-26 15:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x664538…
10-26 15:05:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xcaa542…
10-26 15:05:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7273a8…
10-26 15:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x6489f7…
10-26 15:04:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x9581e9…
10-26 15:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xa01b36…
10-26 15:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x009c14…
10-26 15:03:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xe1c406…
10-26 15:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x64bc8b…
10-26 15:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf5355f…
10-26 15:02:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5a4ecb…
10-26 15:02:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xbe4f1d…
10-26 15:02:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xea1dee…
10-26 15:02:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x3a3cc5…