Soft-Primary — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$57

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

38 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$181

$181 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up		+13	$9	26¢	$3	$-5	05-06 06:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$22	20	25	-5	Up	$-24	05-05 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$17	30	5	+25	Up	$-16	05-05 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$11	0	21	-21	Up	$-10	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-05 10:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$9	13	0	+13	open	—	05-06 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-05 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-05 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	05-05 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Down	+$3	05-05 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	Up	$-7	05-05 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	20	0	+20	Down	$-5	05-05 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	+$3	05-05 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$6	05-05 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-4	05-05 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$4	0	10	-10	Down	+$4	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	+$7	05-05 14:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-05 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Up	+$8	05-05 14:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-06 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-05 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$0	0	5	-5	Down	+$0	05-06 04:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 06:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x447b34…
05-06 05:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x4adffb…
05-06 04:54:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x289510…
05-05 17:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9adc11…
05-05 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc8a1b7…
05-05 15:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x1d2aad…
05-05 14:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x6ca69f…
05-05 14:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x1f0dab…
05-05 14:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xa66489…
05-05 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x94f47f…
05-05 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x5b1704…
05-05 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x42db80…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x164c98…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x485b61…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4b0287…
05-05 13:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xef3990…
05-05 13:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x005fe7…
05-05 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xa523f8…
05-05 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xdce23b…
05-05 12:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x3040da…
05-05 11:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7a2484…
05-05 11:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2c81c7…
05-05 11:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x98c0e2…
05-05 11:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7cc98e…
05-05 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5c2f4f…
05-05 10:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xec7b2f…
05-05 10:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x91c7a7…
05-05 09:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x21d34b…
05-05 09:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xeff44b…
05-05 08:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xef9bfa…
05-05 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x1c980b…
05-05 07:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x25ccd5…
05-05 07:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xe7d58f…
05-05 07:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x28cd97…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x666278…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x8a2535…
05-05 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x10ac1b…
05-05 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x09415f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	28	$2.58K	140	05-06 05:35
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	27	$3.97K	137	05-06 06:49
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	21	$765	56	05-06 06:49
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	21	$539	35	05-06 06:49
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	20	$1.37K	71	05-05 15:52
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	20	$806	75	05-05 15:52
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	19	$746	66	05-05 15:52
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	18	$1.41K	72	05-05 14:57