Flippant-Hacienda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,113

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-21 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

70% 0% $-73

Other

29% 0% $-11

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	12	$1.2K	1,530	728	+802	open	—	03-19 15:20
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	36	$737	4,609	4,709	-100	open	—	04-06 04:17
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	10	$722	800	0	+800	open	—	01-21 14:25
will iran strike israel on march 3	8	$449	800	600	+200	open	—	03-04 00:31
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	12	$415	467	467	+0	open	—	03-26 06:19
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	18	$377	556	556	+0	open	—	02-28 08:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	6	$325	287	300	-13	open	—	05-25 23:31
will iran strike israel on march 10	11	$265	1,600	1,300	+300	open	—	03-13 05:55
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$204	2,033	200	+1,833	open	—	02-15 04:04
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	2	$195	257	257	+0	open	—	02-28 10:54
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	5	$182	135	135	+0	open	—	02-14 08:50
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	4	$180	190	100	+90	open	—	02-10 04:46
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$172	300	300	+0	open	—	02-04 14:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$168	200	200	+0	open	—	03-04 18:06
will israel strike lebanon on february 20 2026	7	$167	130	130	+0	open	—	02-20 15:18
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	7	$154	900	200	+700	open	—	06-24 10:27
lol hle1 t1 2026 01 16	2	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	01-16 12:29
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	7	$140	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 01:01
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	14	$136	791	791	+0	open	—	04-13 08:49
north korea missile launch by february 28 534	6	$135	310	310	+0	open	—	02-27 13:44
us strikes iraq by february 28	3	$133	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 23:35
lol wb ig1 2026 01 14	2	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	01-14 11:51
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	3	$130	700	100	+600	open	—	03-31 06:12
will israel strike lebanon on february 21 2026	3	$129	99	99	+0	open	—	02-21 19:07
will israel strike lebanon on february 17 2026	5	$124	102	102	+0	open	—	02-17 21:25
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	10	$119	201	201	+0	open	—	05-15 10:04
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	5	$118	103	103	+0	open	—	07-17 18:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$113	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-22 14:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$112	400	200	+200	open	—	04-19 19:44
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	9	$110	400	400	+0	open	—	01-18 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 10:24:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 21	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xd8be1a…
07-21 06:25:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xdbf415…
07-21 03:16:42	iran successfully targets shipping by july 22 20260718200842464	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xdd3a3c…
07-21 03:16:03	iran successfully targets shipping by july 22 20260718200842464	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x520b51…
07-21 03:11:33	iran successfully targets shipping by july 22 20260718200842464	No	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x9d4786…
07-21 03:07:37	iran successfully targets shipping by july 22 20260718200842464	No	BUY	206	4¢	$8	0x2bb677…
07-20 13:19:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xf1335f…
07-19 20:28:22	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbfa44d…
07-19 20:14:37	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x596b66…
07-19 20:14:33	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0xf73436…
07-19 20:14:24	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe647f5…
07-19 19:04:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	SELL	184	0¢	$1	0x233eda…
07-19 16:48:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0x8c2244…
07-19 16:44:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x231c19…
07-19 16:24:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x97bd33…
07-19 15:58:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x937fb4…
07-19 15:49:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0f0ffb…
07-19 12:12:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xec04eb…
07-19 09:03:09	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x091981…
07-19 07:27:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x20266c…
07-19 06:54:12	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x38f34f…
07-19 06:51:57	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x254618…
07-19 00:46:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 18 2026 20260630182730896	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x42dad1…
07-18 10:10:36	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	80	59¢	$47	0xe72bff…
07-18 06:10:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0x8f144e…
07-18 05:28:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x28e250…
07-18 05:01:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x74dbdf…
07-18 04:39:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x96c4fa…
07-18 02:50:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0xf8a2fb…
07-18 02:43:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x506fb3…
07-17 18:51:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x47b80f…
07-17 16:32:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	54	20¢	$11	0x859d57…
07-17 15:41:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x5c728d…
07-17 13:22:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	No	SELL	34	92¢	$32	0x85e664…
07-17 11:08:04	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xaec089…
07-17 09:53:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xe47a10…
07-17 09:34:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x8c3fb7…
07-17 04:08:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	400	1¢	$2	0xd937e8…
07-17 03:20:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0x8e04dc…
07-17 02:44:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xa2847b…
07-17 01:30:41	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	No	BUY	103	27¢	$28	0x90dadb…
07-17 00:18:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xf38c64…
07-16 10:35:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x0f2aab…
07-16 08:52:44	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xf4dd16…
07-16 08:23:47	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x6664e6…
07-16 08:18:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xed8ef5…
07-16 07:50:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x734045…
07-16 05:58:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	No	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x87a289…
07-15 13:31:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xdde5b3…
07-15 11:24:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x527bee…
07-15 07:06:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 15 2026 20260630182730893	No	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xa9a966…
07-14 22:39:23	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 15 2026 20260630182730893	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x5ecac5…
07-14 22:21:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x71a677…
07-14 22:08:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5013d8…
07-14 22:06:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa144c9…
07-14 19:07:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x624e8a…
07-14 17:33:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xe8d348…
07-14 17:32:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	30	15¢	$5	0xa54184…
07-14 17:00:58	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	121	1¢	$2	0x83cc84…
07-14 16:58:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	79	2¢	$1	0x5985c2…
07-14 15:37:53	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x30576e…
07-14 15:04:32	dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 07 14	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xff12c8…
07-14 14:54:14	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xcfdbca…
07-14 08:43:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x0d6cb6…
07-13 14:10:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0x43b10a…
07-11 13:41:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xbc2b52…
07-11 13:38:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$0	0x42b6e1…
07-11 13:38:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x783b17…
07-11 13:38:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe8e37e…
07-11 13:38:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8c9b44…
07-10 11:04:40	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	No	SELL	47	9¢	$4	0x27722b…
07-10 10:58:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x31e0ff…
07-10 10:40:52	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0xfe3fc2…
07-10 10:35:17	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	No	SELL	24	9¢	$2	0x754ec5…
07-10 00:45:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe92d56…
07-09 23:45:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xf932cf…
07-09 21:36:59	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	No	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0xb6e745…
07-09 12:37:50	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3da4e2…
07-09 11:30:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x855445…
07-09 08:54:20	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xac395b…
07-09 03:40:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	SELL	315	0¢	$1	0x81ae7f…
07-08 09:48:49	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	BUY	115	5¢	$5	0xa5ce02…
07-08 05:46:53	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	No	SELL	354	7¢	$25	0x18e041…
07-08 05:06:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xb49436…
07-07 18:16:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x710cd4…
07-07 15:59:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x60c3e1…
07-07 13:25:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x7d14c8…
07-07 13:19:35	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	63	60¢	$38	0xeb7f94…
07-07 11:39:35	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	No	BUY	245	3¢	$8	0x25bd4f…
07-07 11:39:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	No	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x1ea528…
07-07 09:59:50	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0xb3886e…
07-07 09:50:55	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x025553…
07-07 09:07:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x08faff…
07-07 07:52:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	No	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0x871a1b…
07-07 02:23:16	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	No	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x538dfc…
07-06 10:40:20	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	No	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x63c81c…
07-06 02:51:16	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x974f4a…
07-06 01:25:35	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	63	58¢	$36	0x11df91…
07-06 00:53:20	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa514f9…
07-05 15:55:47	Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	168	2¢	$3	0x7c5fd1…