Confused-Cover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

143

Trades

1,443

lifetime

Volume

$6.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-25 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 79% $-36

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 574 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	6	$169	167,940	0	+167,940	open	—	04-19 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$140	116	116	+0	open	—	04-29 21:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$120	119,810	0	+119,810	open	—	03-13 20:56
btc updown 5m 1776773700	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-21 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-27 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-30 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	04-30 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	04-27 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-30 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	04-27 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	04-30 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 12:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x3461b0…
05-25 12:55:11	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x3dff67…
05-25 12:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x51a465…
05-25 12:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xbae629…
05-25 12:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0a04be…
05-25 12:48:46	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xef0ecc…
05-25 12:48:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc23387…
05-25 12:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x29d875…
05-25 12:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x74b11c…
05-25 12:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x52b81e…
05-25 11:52:41	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa81ddd…
05-25 11:48:10	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xc11c44…
05-25 11:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4580b2…
05-25 11:46:07	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x96eafd…
05-25 11:46:07	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x70b07c…
05-25 11:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5a50d…
05-25 11:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xda6a6a…
05-25 11:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x74095f…
05-25 11:42:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8eda24…
05-25 11:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x885e29…
05-25 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c2691…
05-25 11:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3cf770…
05-25 10:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x09c099…
05-25 08:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa1c83c…
05-25 05:24:46	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2950b9…
05-25 05:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcb2b9a…
05-25 04:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x1c1554…
05-25 04:34:24	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeec4b5…
05-25 03:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb60dc2…
05-25 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x94b8eb…
05-25 03:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x3d2822…
05-25 03:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf2434d…
05-25 03:14:15	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x99b555…
05-25 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x547972…
05-25 03:09:14	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x355246…
05-25 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xffbb25…
05-25 01:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb1187a…
05-25 01:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1a6d74…
05-25 01:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x43e3bd…
05-25 01:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1ff415…
05-25 01:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	264	1¢	$3	0x363c12…
05-25 01:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc2a34a…
05-25 00:59:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5f21d7…
05-25 00:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	234	1¢	$2	0xd60a3e…
05-25 00:09:32	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xda5e2b…
05-25 00:09:18	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xec1d47…
05-24 23:54:52	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x236933…
05-24 23:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x427c69…
05-24 23:54:19	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4a4b14…
05-24 23:49:42	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xfafe2b…
05-24 23:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x9e6ee0…
05-24 23:49:25	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x94b159…
05-24 23:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x320a68…
05-24 23:29:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3ce80e…
05-24 23:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x34fd4c…
05-24 23:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x23dedb…
05-24 23:19:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xe4a5a9…
05-24 23:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x054ef1…
05-24 23:14:37	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xf84b97…
05-24 23:14:21	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x80ccc9…
05-24 23:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x87e7cc…
05-24 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0828d5…
05-24 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xac416d…
05-24 23:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x5c3f9e…
05-24 23:09:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6e4713…
05-24 22:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf7af98…
05-24 22:39:16	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf3ef24…
05-24 22:39:14	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0d0df2…
05-24 22:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x83df47…
05-24 22:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x41ade0…
05-24 22:29:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xfe4321…
05-24 22:29:16	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xea9b28…
05-24 22:29:14	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1dcf07…
05-24 22:24:18	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe5a4be…
05-24 22:24:16	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x754983…
05-24 22:19:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xccb77c…
05-24 22:14:18	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2212fc…
05-24 22:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6de426…
05-24 22:09:36	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2f6fbe…
05-24 22:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa80506…
05-24 22:09:13	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x32f337…
05-24 21:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x3fc31f…
05-24 21:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xb2b87d…
05-24 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x26d344…
05-24 21:49:44	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	182	1¢	$3	0xa1d2c3…
05-24 21:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb48ea5…
05-24 21:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x496e73…
05-24 21:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xaff345…
05-24 21:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x6103e7…
05-24 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x46e463…
05-24 21:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x836a01…
05-24 21:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x59fbdb…
05-24 21:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7e1cd9…
05-24 21:19:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x3250b8…
05-24 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x31834f…
05-24 21:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x89f9a9…
05-24 21:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1d2924…
05-24 21:04:20	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3d345e…
05-24 20:59:48	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe41b72…
05-24 20:59:47	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x70df35…